The study investigated the effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Private Investment in Rwanda. The aim of the study was to examine the impact of fiscal policies on private investment in Rwanda, evaluate the influence of monetary policies on private investment dynamics in the Rwandan economy, and assess the combined effects of fiscal and monetary policies on the overall private investment climate in Rwanda. The VAR model was applied to analyze the relationship between fiscal and monetary policy variables on private investment in Rwanda. The results show a discernible legacy effect of past government spending on current expenditures, highlighting the importance of targeted investment and public-private partnerships. Additionally, the inverse relationship between interest rates and private investment underscores the need for transparent monetary policies. Recommendations include implementing open market operations for inflation control, providing taxation incentives for investors, fostering long-term planning, and enhancing global economic awareness to create a conducive environment for private investment in Rwanda.
Cite this paper
Mudacumura, E. and Kabanda, R. (2024). The Effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Private Investment in Rwanda. Open Access Library Journal, 11, e1770. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1111770.
El Husseiny, I.A. (2023) The Relative Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Promoting Egypt’s Output Growth: An Empirical Investigation Using an ARDL Approach. Journal of Economic Structures, 12, Article No. 4. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-023-00298-8
Khosravi, A. and Karimi, M.S. (2010) To Investigation the Relationship be-tween Monetary, Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Iran: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach to Cointegration. American Journal of Applied Sciences, 7, 415-419. https://doi.org/10.3844/ajassp.2010.415.419
Dodzi, E., Havi, K., Havi, K. and Enu, P. (2014) The Effect of Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy on Ghana’s Economic Growth: Which Policy Is More Potent? The Effect of Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy on Ghana’s Economic Growth: Which Policy Is More Potent? International Journal of Empirical Finance, 3, 61-75.
Moro, A. and Rachedi, O. (2022) The Changing Structure of Government Consumption Spending. In-ternational Economic Review, 63, 1293-1323. https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12568
Lavronenko, B. (2024) Easy Entry and Fast Strengthening Economy with the Monetary and Fiscal Policy. Modern Economy, 15, 192-218. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2024.152010
Devereux, M.P., Griffith, R. and Klemm, A. (2004) Why Has the UK Corporation Tax Raised So Much Revenue? Fiscal Studies, 25, 367-388. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5890.2004.tb00543.x
Mokyr, J. (1977) Demand vs. Supply in the Industrial Revolution. The Journal of Economic History, 37, 981-1008. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022050700094778
Chumacero, R. and Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2005) General Equilibrium Models for the Chilean Economy. Repositorio Digital Banco Central. https://repositoriodigital.bcentral.cl/xmlui/handle/20.500.12580/1646
Langston, C. and Crowley, C. (2022) Fiscal Success: Creating Quality Infrastructure in a Post-Covid World. Sustainability, 14, Article 1642. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031642
Friedman, B.M. and Kuttner, K.N. (2010) Chapter 24—Implementation of Monetary Policy: How Do Central Banks Set Interest Rates? Handbook of Monetary Economics, 3, 1345-1438. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780444534545000128
Kallianiotis, J. (2017) Central Banks, Monetary Policy, and Their Efficiency. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/JohnKallianiotis/publication/317778798_Central_banks_monetary_policy_and_their_efficiency/links/5e552e064585152ce8ede0df/Central-banks-monetary-policy-and-their-efficiency
Davis, G.F. (2009) The Rise and Fall of Finance and the End of the Society of Organizations. Academy of Management Perspectives, 23, 27-44. https://doi.org/10.5465/amp.2009.43479262
Muhammed, A.B., Mohammed Tela, U. and Ab Wahab, S.N.A. (2022) West African Monetary Policy, External Shocks and Economic Growth Dynamics: An S-VAR Model. Labuan Bulletin of International Business and Finance (LBIBF), 20, 154-181. https://doi.org/10.51200/lbibf.v20i2.3900
Wong, D.K.T. and MacDonald, R. (2023) Identifying Long-Run Relationships between the Exchange Rate, Interest Rates and Stock Prices. Applied Economics, 56, 2671-2687. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2023.2198194
Mogaji, P.K. (2017) Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Tests for Monetary Dominance in the West African Monetary Zone. http://sure.sunderland.ac.uk/id/eprint/14532/
Triki, T. and Faye, I. (2013) Financial Inclusion in Africa. https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Project-and-Operations/Financial_Inclusion_in_Africa.pdf
Monamodi, N.E. and Choga, I. (2022) The Impact of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Economic Growth in Southern African Custom Union: A Panel ARDL Approach. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 15, 86-102. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijepee.2022.120059
Tung, L.T. (2022) Effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Private Investment in Vietnam. Business: Theory and Practice, 23, 427-434. https://doi.org/10.3846/btp.2022.15154
Ochieng, I.A., Thornton, H.C. and Owusu, R.A. (2024) Internationalisation Patterns of African Sharing Economy Companies: The Role of Gateway Markets. Journal of Business Research, 170, Article ID: 114297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2023.114297
Mutegi, J., Adolwa, I., Kiwia, A., Njoroge, S., Gitonga, A., Muthamia, J., et al. (2024) Agricultural Production and Food Security Implications of Covid-19 Disruption on Small-Scale Farmer Households: Lessons from Kenya. World Development, 173, Article ID: 106405. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106405
Lonzo Lubu, G., Musonda Kalusambo, J.C., Tondi Kikola, C. and Ambroise, J.E. (2023) Infrastructure Spending, Political Instability and Economic Growth. iBusiness, 15, 119-139. https://doi.org/10.4236/ib.2023.152009
Kibiwot, M. and Samwel, K. (2012) Effects of Fiscal Policy on Private Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 3, 8-17.https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=e08e0956d19a2b221f4101fff34d1c477da3f093
Olweny, T. and Chiluwe, M. (2012) The Effect of Monetary Policy on Private Sector In-vestment in Kenya. Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, 2, 239-287. https://www.scienpress.com/Upload/JAFB/Vol%202_2_9.pdf
Hu, S. and Li, R. (2021) Investigating the Effects of the United States’ Economic Slowdown Related to the COVID-19 Pandemic on Energy Consumption in Other Countries—A Global Vector Autoregressive Model. Energies, 14, Article 2984. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14112984
Christopher, M.A. (2022) Trade Liberalization and Performance of Private Sector in Rwanda: A Case Study of PSF Nyagatare District. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 12, 78-88. https://doi.org/10.29322/ijsrp.12.12.2022.p13209
Ruranga, C. (2013) Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Rwanda: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Business Management and Corporate Affairs, 2, 11-18.
Ronald, K., Seun, A.A. and Abel, C. (2022) Rwanda Mice Strategy and Its Influence on the Tourism Industry. Case Study of Rwanda Convention Bureau. African Journal of Tourism and Hospitality Management, 1, 15-32. https://doi.org/10.37284/ajthm.1.1.1034
Olasunkanmi, O.R. and Oladipo, O.S. (2020) Factors Af-fecting Inflation in Nigeria. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 13, 545-568. https://doi.org/10.1504/ijmef.2020.112191
David, N. (2023) Government Expenditures and Economic Growth in Rwanda: A Disaggregated Analysis. GSJ, 11, 2113-2132.https://www.globalscientificjournal.com/researchpaper/Government_expenditures_and_economic_growth_in_Rwanda_A_disaggregated_analysis_.pdf
Subair Awode, S. (2019) Fiscal Policy Management and Private Investment in Nigeria. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 20, 11-26. https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.20.1.5011
Apergis, N. and Payne, J.E. (2009) CO2 Emissions, Energy Usage, and Output in Central America. Energy Policy, 37, 3282-3286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.03.048
Al-Masbhi, A. and Du, X. (2021) Vector Error Correction Models: Application in Time Series Forecasting. Interna-tional Journal of Forecasting, 37, 567-584.