全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate Nexus: An Ardl Bound Approach

DOI: 10.4236/oalib.1106072, PP. 1-24

Subject Areas: Socioeconomics

Keywords: Crude Oil Price, Exchange Rate, GDP, Oil Revenue, ARDL Approach and VECM Granger Causality

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of crude oil price on exchange rate in Nigeria using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model covering the period from 1983-2017. The results showed that crude oil price has negative and significant impact on exchange rate in both the long run and the short run whereas oil revenue and Gross Domestic Products have significant positive impact on exchange rate also in both the long-run and the short-run periods. The findings suggested that crude oil price which is the focal point of the study, could affect exchange rate in the both the long-run and the short-run. Therefore the study concludes that crude oil price, oil revenue and Gross domestic Products are among the determinants of exchange rate in Nigeria.

Cite this paper

Musa, K. S. , Maijama’a, R. , Muhammed, N. and Usman, A. (2020). Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate Nexus: An Ardl Bound Approach. Open Access Library Journal, 7, e6072. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1106072.

References

[1]  Nwanna, I.O. and Eyedayi, A.M. (2016) Impact of Crude Oil Price Volatility on Economic Growth in Nigeria. IOSR Journal of Business and Management, 8, 10-19.
[2]  Hathaway, T. (2009) Oil’s Importance to the World’s Economy. http://www.suite101.com
[3]  Mohsen, B.O. and Kandil, M. (2008) Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Output in Oil-Producing Countries: The Case of Iran. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper 07/113. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451866773.001
[4]  Ozturk, I., Feridun, M. and Kalyoncu, H. (2008) Do Oil Prices Affect the USD/YTL Exchange Rate: Evidence from Turkey. Research Paper 115/2008.
[5]  Anderton, R. and Skudelny, R. (2001) Exchange Rate Volatility and Euro Area Imports. European Central Bank Working Paper Series No. 64, Frankfurt/Main.
[6]  Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) (2018) Monthly Financial Operations Report for the Month of December 2018.
[7]  Ewa, A. and Asher, O.J. (2012) The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigeria Economic Growth (1980-2010). Unpublished B.Sc. Thesis of Caritas University Emene, Emene.
[8]  Ufoueze, L.O., Okuma, C.N., Nwakoby, C. and Alayekwu, U.B. (2018) Effect of Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuation in Nigerian Economy. Economic Series Issues, 1, 105-122. https://doi.org/10.26458/1814
[9]  Englama, A., Duke, O.O., Ogunleye, S. and Ismail, F.U. (2010) Oil Price and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria: An Empirical Observation, Central Bank of Nigeria. Economic and Financial Review, 48, 31-42. https://www.cbn.gov.ng/Out/2012/publications/reports/rsd/efr-2010/Economic%20and%20Financial%20Review%20Vol%2048%20No%203,%20September%202010/Full%20Text.pdf
[10]  Kaushik, N., Nag, R. and Kmal, P. (2014) Oil Price and the Real Exchange Rate: The Case of India. International Business and Economics Research Journal, 13, 809-814. https://doi.org/10.19030/iber.v13i4.8688 https://clutejournals.com/index.php/IBER/article/view/8688
[11]  Komain, J. (2015) Oil Price Volatility and Real Effective Exchange Rate: The Case of Thailand. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 5, 574-579. http://www.econjournals.com
[12]  Negi, P. (2015) Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth: A Study of Bric Nations. Indian Journal of Accounting, 47, 144-155.
[13]  Ahmad, R., Qaiser, I. and Yaseen, M. (2016) Nexus between Exchange Rate Volatility and Oil Price Fluctuations: Evidence from Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences, 10, 122-148. http://www.jespk.net/publications/283.pdf
[14]  Mhamad, S.H. and Saeed, S.T. (2016) Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Iraq. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 7, 156-161.
[15]  Ftiti, Z., Guesmi, K., Teulon, F. and Choachi, S. (2016) Relationship between Crude Oil Prices and Economic Growth in Selected OPEC Countries. Journal of Applied Business Research, 32, 11-22. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v32i1.9483
[16]  Apere, O.T. and Ijomah, A.M. (2013) Macroeconomic Impact of Oil Price Levels and Volatility in Nigeria. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 2, 15-25. https://doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v2-i4/48
[17]  Alley, I., Asekomeh, A., Mobolaji, H. and Adeniran, Y.A. (2014) Oil Price Shocks and Nigerian Economic Growth. European Scientific Journal, 10, 375-392.
[18]  Onoja, J.A. (2015) Impact of Oil Price Volatility on the Real Exchange Rate in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model. An International Multidisciplinary Journal, Ethiopia, 9, 15-22. https://doi.org/10.4314/afrrev.v9i1.2 https://www.ajol.info/index.php/afrrev/article/view/113866/103580
[19]  Egbe, O.J. (2015) The Impact of Oil Price Volatility on the Real Exchange Rate in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model. African Research Review, 9, 15-22. https://doi.org/10.4314/afrrev.v9i1.2
[20]  Osuji, E. (2015) International Oil Prices and Exchange Rate in Nigeria: A Causality Analysis. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 4, 11-22. https://doi.org/10.6007/IJAREMS/v4-i3/1798
[21]  Ogboru, I., Rivi, M.T. and Idisi, P. (2017) The Impact of Changes in Crude Oil Prices on Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 8, 78-89.
[22]  Musa, K.S., Maijama’a, R., Shaibu, H.U. and Muhammad, A. (2019) Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate on Economic Growth: ARDL Approach. Open Access Library Journal, 6, e5930. https://doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1105930
[23]  Gummi, U.M., Buhari, A.I. and Muhammad, A. (2017) Oil Price Fluctuations and Economic Growth in Nigeria (Evidence from Granger Causality Test). Australasian Journal of Social Science, 3, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.3923/aujss.2017.1.16
[24]  Sulaiman, C. and Abdur-Rahim, A.S. (2018) Population Growth and CO2 Emission in Nigeria: A Recursive ARDL Approach. Sage Open, 8, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244018765916
[25]  Henry, J.T. (2019) Impact of Crude Oil Price Volatility on Exchange Rate in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Sciences, 3, 1-16.
[26]  Ito, K. (2010) The Impact of Oil Price Volatility on Macroeconomic Activity in Russia. Economic Analysis Working Papers, No. 5, 1-10. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/43420/1/639574653.pdf
[27]  Benhabib, A., Si Mohammed, K. and Maliki, S. (2014) The Relationship between Oil Price and the Algerian Exchange Rate. Topics in Middle Eastern and African Economies, 6, 127-141.
[28]  Babajide, N. and Soile, I.O. (2015) Oil Price Shocks and Nigeria’s Economic Activity: Evidence from ARDL Co-Integration and VECM Analysis. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2624004
[29]  Chikwe, G.C., Ujoh, C. and Uzoma, C.H. (2016) The Effect of Oil Price on Nigerian Macroeconomic Variables. International Journal of Managerial Studies and Research, 4, 13-20. https://doi.org/10.20431/2349-0349.0411002
[30]  Olomola, A. (2009) Oil Price Shock and Aggregate Economic Activity in Nigeria. African Economic and Business Review, 4, 48-61. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/8387/9109c79e52615a338021cec526ec76505bad.pdf
[31]  Adeniyi, O., Omisakin, O., Yaqub, J. and Oyinlola, A. (2012) Oil Price Price-Exchange Rate Nexus in Nigeria: Further Evidence from an Oil Exporting Country. International Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 2, 113-121. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Oil-Price-Exchange-Rate-Nexus-in-Nigeria%3A-Further-Adeniyi-Omisakin/95b7951385bb5724c232afb1478a16efb0f9e45e
[32]  Buetzer, S., Habib, M.M. and Stracca, L. (2012) Global Exchange Rate Configurations: Do Oil Shocks Matter? Working Paper Series, 14(42). https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1442.pdf
[33]  Oluwatoyin, M.A. and Adegboye, F.B. (2014) An Analysis of the Effect of Oil Price Shock and Exchange Rate Instability on Economic Growth in Nigeria. Scottish Journal of Arts, Social Sciences and Scientific Studies, 18, 94-106. http://eprints.covenantuniversity.edu.ng/2607/1/Adegboye%20F.%20B.%204.pdf
[34]  Adegboyega, R.R. (2017) The Impact of Export and Import on Economic Growth in Nigeria: Evidence from VAR Approach. Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 6, 364-349.
[35]  Muhammed Aslam, A.L. (2016) Impact of Exchange Rate on Economic Growth in Srilanka. World Scientific News, 54, 252-266. http://www.worldscientificnews.com
[36]  Jacob, B. (2016) Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Economic Growth. Undergraduate Economic Review, 12, 1-22.
[37]  Koirala, S. (2018) An Analysis of the Impact of Real Effective Exchange Rate on Economic Growth of Nepal. Parvaha Journal of Economic Management, 24, 206-216. https://doi.org/10.3126/pravaha.v24i1.20239
[38]  Ebrahimi, S. (2011) Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Exchange Rate Volatility and Uncertainty on Economic Growth in Selective Oil Countries. Iranian Journal of Trade Studies Quarterly, 59, 83-105.
[39]  Obi, K.O., Oniore, J.O. and Nnad, K.U. (2016) The Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economic and Sustainable Development, 7, 115-127. http://www.iiste.org
[40]  Perpetua, U.I. (2014) Impact of Exchange Rate Variation and Inflation on Economic Growth of Nigeria: An Empirical Research Approach. Journal of Finance and Accounting, 5, 166-176. http://www.iiste.org
[41]  Barguelil, A., Ben-Salha, O. and Zmami, M. (2018) Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth. Journal of Economic Integration, 33, 1303-1336. https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2018.33.2.1302

Full-Text


comments powered by Disqus

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133

WeChat 1538708413