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勘误：A单位装配式建筑项目采购风险评价体系构建
Erratum to: Construction of Procurement Risk Evaluation System for Prefabricated Construction Projects in Unit A  [PDF]
罗童柯, 杨冀, 黎明
Operations Research and Fuzziology (ORF) , 2026, DOI: 10.12677/ORF.2026.161013
Abstract: 由于作者失误，发表在《运筹与模糊学》2025年15卷5期228~242页上的文章《A单位装配式建筑项目采购风险评价体系构建》(https://doi.org/10.12677/orf.2025.155245)出现作者单位错误。现勘误附后。
A单位装配式建筑项目采购风险评价体系构建
Construction of Procurement Risk Evaluation System for Prefabricated Construction Projects in Unit A  [PDF]
罗童柯, 杨冀, 黎明
Operations Research and Fuzziology (ORF) , 2025, DOI: 10.12677/orf.2025.155245
Abstract: 本研究针对装配式建筑项目采购风险管理问题，构建了覆盖全流程的风险评价体系，含5个一级指标、15个二级指标。采用AHP-熵权法组合赋权，确定关键风险。基于ABC分类法识别出核心风险，形成装配式工程特点的风险评估模型，为制定精准防控策略提供量化依据，有效解决高原环境适配、标准协同等特殊风险管控难题。
Aiming at the procurement risk management of prefabricated construction projects, this study constructed a risk evaluation system covering the whole process, including 5 first-class indicators and 15 second-class indicators. AHP entropy weight method is used to determine the key risk. The core risks are identified based on ABC classification method, and a risk assessment model with assembly engineering characteristics is formed, which provides a quantitative basis for formulating accurate prevention and control strategies, and effectively solves the special risk management and control problems such as plateau environment adaptation and standard coordination.
基于云模型的装配式建筑供应链风险评价研究
Research on Risk Assessment of Prefabricated Building Supply Chain Based on Cloud Model  [PDF]
冷美琪, 刘文昌
Sustainable Development (SD) , 2024, DOI: 10.12677/sd.2024.146179
Abstract: 鉴于当前装配式建筑普及率逐年升高，在此背景下，强化我国装配式施工供应链的风险管理具有重要的现实意义。首先，通过对现有研究结果的梳理与分析，提炼出我国装配式建筑供应链的风险因素清单，并据此建立相应的供应链风险指标体系。在此基础上，利用组合赋权法对各风险因素进行权重确定，并将其应用于装配式建筑供应链风险评估中。最后，通过具体案例，客观和科学地评价。结果表明，将云模型理论引入评价中，可以有效地计算出装配式建筑供应链的风险综合评价值，进而确定项目的风险等级，并根据权重较大的指标提出风险控制建议，为我国装配式建筑供应链的风险管理提供参考。
Given the increasing popularity of prefabricated buildings, it is of great practical significance to strengthen the risk management of China’s prefabricated construction supply chain. Firstly, by sorting and analyzing the existing research results, a list of risk factors for China’s prefabricated building supply chain is extracted, and a corresponding supply chain risk indicator system is established based on this. On this basis, the combination weighting method is used to determine the weights of various risk factors, and it is applied to the risk assessment of prefabricated building supply chain. Finally, through specific cases, an objective and scientific evaluation was conducted. The results showed that introducing cloud model theory into the evaluation can effectively calculate the comprehensive risk evaluation value of the prefabricated building supply chain, determine the risk level of the project, and propose risk control suggestions based on the indicators with higher weights, providing a reference for risk management of China’s prefabricated building supply chain.
工业遗产改造项目规划设计阶段风险管理研究——以H市A项目为例
Research on Risk Management during the Planning and Design Phase of Industrial Heritage Renovation Projects—The Case of Project A in City H  [PDF]
张笑圆
Modeling and Simulation (MOS) , 2025, DOI: 10.12677/mos.2025.143221
Abstract: 当前，城市更新由于城市化挑战成为了全球关注的焦点，我国在此方面取得了多方面成功，但在环境和社会问题方面，仍然面临着很多问题。本文以H市A工业遗产改造项目为研究对象，探讨了工业遗产改造项目规划设计时期的风险识别、评估和应对策略。通过文献分析对项目规划设计阶段中的设计准备阶段、初步设计阶段、施工图设计阶段、设计评审阶段4个阶段分别进行了风险因素的有效识别，采用层次分析法(AHP)、熵权法并进行组合，构建了风险评价指标体系，确定了风险因素的权重。研究结果表明，项目设计准备阶段和项目初步设计阶段风险等级较为突出。结合实际情况，提出了项目规划设计阶段的风险应对措施，为实现有效的项目风险管理奠定了基础。
Urban renewal has become a global focus due to the challenges of urbanization. China has achieved success in many aspects of urban renewal, but still faces numerous problems in environmental and social issues. This paper takes the A Industrial Heritage Redevelopment Project in City H as the research object and explores the risk identification, assessment, and response strategies during the planning and design phase of industrial heritage redevelopment projects. Through literature analysis, this study effectively identifies risk factors in four stages of the project planning and design phase: project design preparation preliminary, design, construction drawing design, and design review. The study employs the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and entropy weight method in combination to construct a risk evaluation index system and determine the weights of risk factors. The results indicate that the risk levels in the project design preparation stage and the preliminary design stage are relatively prominent. Based on the actual situation, this paper proposes risk response measures for the project planning and design phase, laying the foundation for effective project risk management.
高校校园交通安全风险评估及治理研究——以山东科技大学为例
Research on Traffic Safety Risk Assessment and Management in University Campuses—A Case Study of Shandong University of Science and Technology  [PDF]
曹梦婷
Management Science and Engineering (MSE) , 2026, DOI: 10.12677/mse.2026.152025
Abstract: 为推动校园交通安全治理向数据驱动、精准施策转型，以校园多功能叠加区为研究对象，综合采用安全检查表法和问卷调查法，识别出人车混行、停车资源失衡等六类核心风险，并从物理、管理、行为、文化四方面剖析风险生成机制。建立AHP-熵权法组合评价模型，评价C区餐厅前十字路口区域交通安全风险，并揭示“空间–时间–行为–管理”多维事故致因，进而提出“空间重构、时间错峰、行为引导、动态管控”四位一体的精细化治理方案。研究形成的“识别–评价–致因–治理”框架与组合模型，可为高校类似区域的风险管控提供理论与实践参考。
To advance campus traffic safety governance toward data-driven, precision-targeted measures, this study examines multifunctional overlapping zones on campuses. By integrating safety checklist methods and questionnaire surveys, six core risks were identified—including mixed pedestrian-vehicle traffic and parking resource imbalance—and their generation mechanisms analyzed across physical, managerial, behavioral, and cultural dimensions. An AHP-Entropy Weighting combined evaluation model was established to assess traffic safety risks at the crossroads near Zone C’s cafeteria. This revealed multidimensional accident causes spanning “space - time - behavior - management,” leading to a four-pronged precision governance solution: spatial restructuring, time-shifting, behavioral guidance, and dynamic control. The resulting “identification - evaluation - causation - governance” framework and composite model provide theoretical and practical references for risk management in similar university zones.
基于熵权-TOPSIS法的企业税务风险防控研究——以L公司为例
Research on Enterprise Tax Risk Prevention and Control Based on Entropy Weight-TOPSIS Method—A Case Study of Company L  [PDF]
张利, 蒋宁, 池昊磊, 于皖昆
Sustainable Development (SD) , 2026, DOI: 10.12677/sd.2026.164144
Abstract: 在金税工程持续推进与企业税收监管日益强化的双重背景下，税务风险防控已成为企业实现合规经营与可持续发展的关键议题。文章以L公司为研究对象，系统梳理税务风险相关理论，引入熵权-TOPSIS方法构建企业税务风险评价模型，旨在识别由财务数据、业务流程和税负结构引发的潜在风险点，并评估其演变趋势。通过熵权法客观确定各指标权重，结合TOPSIS法进行贴近度排序，系统识别其税务风险的关键环节与变化趋势。研究发现：L公司在发票管理、税收优惠政策适用和纳税筹划等方面存在显著风险，且风险水平呈逐年上升态势。针对上述问题，文章从完善内部控制、加强税务人员培训和建立动态风险预警机制等方面提出整体性防控建议。研究不仅为L公司优化税收风险管理提供了可操作的实践路径，也为同类企业在复杂税收环境下构建系统化风险评估体系提供了方法借鉴。
Against the dual backdrop of the continuous advancement of the Golden Tax Project and the intensification of corporate tax supervision, the prevention and control of tax risks have become a critical issue for enterprises to achieve compliant operations and sustainable development. This paper takes Company L as the research object, systematically reviews relevant theories of tax risk, and introduces the Entropy-TOPSIS method to construct an enterprise tax risk evaluation model. The aim is to identify potential risk points arising from financial data, business processes, and tax burden structures, and to assess their evolutionary trends. By objectively determining the weight of each indicator using the Entropy method and employing the TOPSIS method for closeness ranking, the study systematically identifies key risk areas and changing trends. The findings reveal that Company L faces significant risks in areas such as invoice management, the application of preferential tax policies, and tax planning, with the overall risk level showing a year-on-year upward trend. In response to these issues, the paper proposes holistic prevention and control recommendations, focusing on improving internal controls, strengthening tax personnel training, and establishing a dynamic risk early warning mechanism. This research not only provides an actionable practical path for Company L to optimize its tax risk management but also offers methodological reference for similar enterprises to build systematic risk assessment systems within a complex tax environment.
我国粮食安全风险分析及粮食安全评价指标体系研究
杨　磊
农业现代化研究 , 2014, DOI: 10.13872/j.1000-0275.2014.0083
Abstract: 我国粮食安全面临着一系列的风险,主要有粮食生产总量和增速的波动、粮食消费的增长、粮食贸易逆差的加大和粮食价格的波动,风险的存在使得粮食安全评价非常有必要。本文从粮食生产安全、消费安全和流通安全三个方面构建粮食安全评价指标体系。采用熵权法确定指标权重,二阶模糊综合评价法对我国粮食安全状况进行动态、定量的评价。结果显示,从2000年至今,我国粮食生产安全状况稳定,粮食消费安全呈现下降趋势,粮食流通安全下降幅度最大,由此引起粮食总体安全状况不断恶化,最主要的影响因素是粮食净进口量的增加和粮食流通成本的变动。调整我国粮食生产结构和完善粮食流通体系是确保我国粮食安全的关键。
代建制下多项目管理风险等级评价
段辉霞,张云波,项剑平,王玉芳
华侨大学学报(自然科学版) , 2014, DOI: 10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.2014.04.0454
Abstract: 为解决代建制下多项目管理中存在的风险问题,根据可拓学理论,建立评价物元模型.采用熵权法计算指标权重,构建基于熵权可拓决策的风险评价模型,并对代建制下多项目管理风险等级进行评价.研究结果表明:由关联度数据,可以获知指标层对准则层的关联重要情况;根据权重,可以得出对于目标层准则层的影响程度.
基于DEMATEL-ISM的装配式建筑项目成本风险管理研究
Research on Cost Risk Management of Prefabricated Construction Projects Based on DEMATEL-ISM  [PDF]
程子聪
Modeling and Simulation (MOS) , 2024, DOI: 10.12677/mos.2024.135467
Abstract: 本文研究了基于DEMATEL-ISM模型的装配式建筑项目成本风险管理。随着城市化进程的加快，装配式建筑作为高效、环保的新型建筑方式逐渐受到关注，但其高成本成为市场推广的主要障碍。文章首先分析了装配式建筑成本的构成及主要风险因素，包括设计、生产、运输、施工及运营维护等阶段。通过物理–事理–人理(WSR)系统方法，识别并构建了装配式建筑成本风险因素指标体系。随后，采用DEMATEL-ISM模型，建立了直接影响矩阵，评估各因素间的相互影响关系，并邀请专家进行打分，以确定关键影响因素。研究结果表明，该方法能有效识别装配式建筑成本风险的关键环节，为项目管理者提供决策支持，降低项目成本风险。
This paper investigates the cost risk management of prefabricated construction projects based on the DEMATEL-ISM model. With the acceleration of urbanization, prefabricated construction, as an efficient and environmentally friendly new construction method, has gradually attracted attention. However, its high cost has become a major obstacle to market promotion. The article first analyzes the composition and main risk factors of prefabricated construction costs, including design, production, transportation, construction, and operation and maintenance phases. Using the Wuli-Shili-Renli (WSR) system methodology, a cost risk factor indicator system for prefabricated construction is identified and constructed. Subsequently, the DEMATEL-ISM model is employed to establish a direct impact matrix, assessing the mutual influence relationships among various factors. Experts are invited to score the factors to determine the key influencing factors. The research results show that this method can effectively identify the critical links in prefabricated construction cost risks, providing decision support for project managers to reduce project cost risks.
改进的国际工程项目投资风险模糊评价
刘进,高轩能
华侨大学学报(自然科学版) , 2011, DOI: 10.11830/ISSN.1000-5013.2011.06.0689
Abstract: 首先在全面分析国际工程项目投资风险影响因素的基础上,建立合理的国际工程项目投资风险评价指标体系; 其次,针对使用层次分析法确定的固定权重存在较大主观性的缺陷,引入激励与惩罚并举的局部变权原理对固定权重进行调整,提出使用变权层次分析法和熵权法相结合的方法确定综合权重,进而提出改进的国际工程项目投资风险模糊综合评价模型; 最后,通过实例分析与计算,验证该模型的有效性和合理性.
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