新质生产力对农业农村现代化的影响研究——基于数字经济调节的效应
Research on the Impact of New Quality Productivity on Agriculture and Rural Areas Modernization —Based on the Effect of Digital Economy Regulation

当前，新质生产力作为以创新为主导的先进生产力质态，不仅推动乡村经济高质量发展，更是实现农业农村现代化的必由之路，同时以数字化知识与信息为关键生产要素的数字经济，也在此发挥着重要作用。本文基于2013~2021年全国30个省级面板数据，通过基准回归模型，实证检验新质生产力对农业农村现代化的影响并分析数字经济对两者关系的调节效应。结果显示：新质生产力对农业农村现代化的发展具有显著促进作用，这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后依旧成立。在异质性检验上：由于边际效应递减规律的存在，新质生产力并不能显著促进东部地区农业农村现代化的发展，而中西部地区能够通过发展新质生产力显著促进农业农村现代化发展。进一步机制检验中：数字经济对新质生产力与农业农村现代化的关系具有显著正向调节影响，并且新质生产力的发展能够对农业技术创新和数字化转型产生积极影响，从而促进农业农村现代化建设。
Currently, as an advanced productive force dominated by innovation, the new quality productivity not only promotes high-quality development of rural economy, but also is the only way to achieve modernization of agriculture and rural areas. At the same time, the digital economy, which relies on digital knowledge and information as key production factors, also plays an important role in this regard. This article is based on panel data from 30 provincial levels in China from 2013 to 2021. Using a benchmark regression model, it empirically tests the impact of new quality productivity on agricultural and rural modernization, and analyzes the moderating effect of the digital economy on the relationship between the two. The results show that the new quality productivity has a significant promoting effect on the development of agricultural and rural modernization, and this conclusion still holds true after a series of robustness tests. In terms of heterogeneity testing, due to the existence of the law of diminishing marginal effects, the development of new quality productivity does not significantly promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas in the eastern region, while the development of new quality productivity in the central and western regions can significantly promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas. In further mechanism testing, the digital economy has a significant positive moderating effect on the relationship between new quality productivity and agricultural and rural modernization, and the development of new quality productivity can have a positive impact on agricultural technology innovation and digital transformation, thereby promoting the construction of agricultural and rural modernization.