中国建筑陶瓷出口东南亚实证分析——基于扩展的引力模型
An Empirical Analysis of China’s Architectural Ceramics Exports to Southeast Asia—Based on an Extended Gravitational Model

随着我国经济发展由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段，我国建筑陶瓷行业面临自身要素成本的上升、部分建筑陶瓷产品生产环节比较优势弱化以及发达国家建筑陶瓷回流带来的内外部压力，为寻求新的出口增长机遇，企业选择将产品出口至东南亚国家。本文设定X_1-5五个自变量(地理距离、文化距离、距离、汇率、自由贸易协定)并结合计量经济软件，对回归曲线进行拟合，得出文化距离是影响我国建筑陶瓷出口东南亚的主要因素。
With China’s economic development from the high-speed growth stage to the high-quality development stage, China’s architectural ceramics industry is facing the rise of its own factor costs, the weakening of the comparative advantages of some architectural ceramics products and the internal and external pressure brought about by the return of architectural ceramics in developed countries. In this paper, the five independent variables (geographical distance, cultural distance, distance, exchange rate, and free trade agreement) from X1 to 5 are set and combined with econometric software to fit the regression curve, and it is concluded that cultural distance is the main factor affecting the export of China’s architectural ceramics to Southeast Asia.