|
|
E-Commerce Letters 2025
基于空间计量的江苏农业发展韧性影响因素研究
|
Abstract:
本研究旨在深入探究江苏省农业韧性的时空分异特征及影响因素，并从政策、产业结构以及技术创新等方面构建适用于农业韧性评价的指标体系，采用空间杜宾等方法对数据进行处理和分析。研究结果显示，区位优势、财政支持、农业技术等因素对农业韧性发展具有显著的影响。此外，农业韧性与农业经济增长之间存在显著的正向关系。因此，本文基于江苏省2007~2022年农业韧性发展情况，通过分析农业韧性与农业经济之间的关系，旨在为江苏农业的可持续发展作出积极而有益的贡献。
This study aims to explore the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of agricultural resilience in Jiangsu Province and its influencing factors, and construct an index system suitable for evaluating agricultural resilience from the perspectives of policy, industrial structure, and technological innovation. The data are processed and analyzed using spatial Dubein methods. The research results show that geographical advantage, fiscal support, agricultural technology, etc. have significant impacts on the development of agricultural resilience. In addition, there is a significant positive relationship between agricultural resilience and agricultural economic growth. Therefore, based on the agricultural resilience development situation of Jiangsu Province from 2007 to 2022, this paper analyzes the relationship between agricultural resilience and agricultural economy, aiming to make positive and beneficial contributions to the sustainable development of Jiangsu agriculture.
| [1] | 方天龙, 曾靖. 数字普惠金融赋能农业经济发展韧性的实证分析[J/OL]. 河北农业科学, 2024: 1-9. http://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/13.1197.s.20240919.1701.002.html, 2024-09-20. |
| [2] | 张园, 金雅晴, 陈玉萍. 数字经济、资源配置与农业产业韧性[J/OL]. 中国农业资源与区划, 2024: 1-23. http://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/11.3513.S.20240829.1324.006.html, 2024-08-30. |
| [3] | 李义姝, 严奉宪. 数字普惠金融对农业经济韧性的空间溢出及门槛效应——以长江中下游地级市为例[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2024, 29(9): 282-295. |
| [4] | 朱迪, 叶林祥. 中国农业绿色韧性: 水平测度与时空演变[J]. 统计与决策, 2024, 40(13): 118-123. |
| [5] | 王向彬, 朱铨. 乡村韧性研究进展与展望[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2022, 38(3): 321-327. |
| [6] | Li, Y., Westlund, H. and Liu, Y. (2019) Why Some Rural Areas Decline While Some Others Not: An Overview of Rural Evolution in the World. Journal of Rural Studies, 68, 135-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2019.03.003 |
| [7] | Elhorst, J.P. (2010) Spatial Panel Data Models. Springer. |
| [8] | 邓晗, 苏岚岚, 孙同全. 小农户衔接现代农业有助于提升农户韧性吗?——基于中国乡村振兴综合调查数据[J]. 经济与管理研究, 2024, 45(9): 78-99. |
| [9] | 王瑞雪, 陈建成, 方宜亮, 等. 中国粮食主产区农业韧性的空间分异、演化特征与驱动力[J]. 农业经济与管理, 2023(4): 23-36. |
| [10] | Marrero, A., Lόpez Cepero, A., Borges Méndez, R., et al. (2003) Narrating Agricultural Resilience after Hurricane María: How Smallholder Farmers in Puerto Rico Leverage Self-Sufficiency and Collaborative Agency in a Climate-Vulnerable Food System. Agriculture and Human Values, 39, 555-571. |
| [11] | 石涛. 黄河流域生态保护与经济高质量发展耦合协调度及空间网络效应[J]. 区域经济评论, 2020(3): 25-34. |
| [12] | 张明斗, 惠利伟. 中国农业经济韧性的空间差异与影响因素识别[J]. 世界农业, 2022(1): 36-50. |
| [13] | 蒋辉. 中国农业经济韧性的空间网络效应分析[J]. 贵州社会科学, 2022, 392(8): 151-159. |
| [14] | 于伟, 张鹏. 中国农业发展韧性时空分异特征及影响因素研究[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2019, 35(1): 102-108. |
| [15] | 郝爱民, 谭家银. 农村产业融合赋能农业韧性的机理及效应测度[J]. 农业技术经济, 2023(7): 88-107. |
| [16] | 朱红根, 陈晖. 中国数字乡村发展的水平测度、时空演变及推进路径[J]. 农业经济问题, 2023(3): 21-33. |
| [17] | Rockström, J., Williams, J., Daily, G., Noble, A., Matthews, N., Gordon, L., et al. (2016) Sustainable Intensification of Agriculture for Human Prosperity and Global Sustainability. Ambio, 46, 4-17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-016-0793-6 |
