供给侧结构性改革视角下财政政策对经济增长的影响探求——基于VAR模型的脉冲响应分析 The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Growth from the Perspective of Supply-Side Structural Reform—Impulse Response Analysis Based on VAR Model
财政政策是经济增长的重要杠杆，对经济增长具有不容忽视的影响作用。通过对财政政策与经济增长的VAR模型分析分析得出结论：我国财政政策与经济增长之间存在明显统计相关性，但也存在时滞，财政政策工具对经济增长的波动影响也不尽相同。要结合供给侧结构性改革背景，统筹协调财政政策，既把握时效性又兼具审慎性，既简政放权又真抓实干，更好地服务经济发展。
Fiscal policy is an important lever
of economic growth, which cannot be ignored. Through the VAR model analysis of fiscal
policy and economic growth, it is concluded that there is a significant statistical
correlation between China’s fiscal policy and economic growth. But there is
also a time lag, and the impact of fiscal policy tools on the fluctuation of
economic growth is not the same. In light of the background of supply-side
structural reform, we need to coordinate fiscal policies as a whole to ensure
that they are both timely and prudent, streamline administration and delegate
power, and work hard, so as to better serve economic development.
Smith, A. and Ebrary, I. (2013) An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Liberty Classics.
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Malthus, T.R. (1992) An Essay on the Principle of Population, or a View of Its Past and Present Effects on Human Happiness, with an Inquiry into Our Prospects Respecting the Future Removal or Mitigation of the Evils Which It Occasions (Rev. Ed.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
[4]
Keynes, J.M. (1935) The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. Harcourt Brace and Co., Harcourt.
