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- 2016
一类潜伏期有传染力的离散SEIR传染病模型的Neimark-Sacker分岔
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Abstract:
摘要 目的:传染病模型的研究能更好地显示疾病发展过程,揭示其流行规律,寻求对其预防及控制的最优策略.方法:欧拉向前差分法、Neimark-Sacker分岔准则、 Kuznetsov‘s理论和中心流形定理.结果:构造了1个新的离散的潜伏期具有传染力的SEIR传染病模型.主要研究离散SEIR传染病模型的动力学性质、讨论系统平衡点的存在性,并进一步分析系统无病平衡点的稳定性.结论:对gEIR传染模型在无病平衡点处Neimark-Sacker分岔的存在性、稳定性和方向进行详细的理论分析后,通过数值模拟验证了结论的正确性.
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