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电网技术  2006 

数据挖掘技术在电价预测中的应用

, PP. 83-87

Keywords: 电力市场,电价预测,数据挖掘,相似性搜索

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Abstract:

简要叙述了数据挖掘技术的特点,分析了影响电价的因素,提出了一种基于数据挖掘技术的电价预测方法。该方法将电价用市场供求关系、上网竞价发电功率、用户负荷需求、燃料价格、物价指数和消费水平等元素来表征,并考虑了不同电价影响因子的影响程度。利用数据挖掘中的相似性搜索技术,引进权重系数对所搜索到的匹配电价序列进行加权平均,进而得到所预测的电价值。最后举例说明了该方法的具体应用过程。

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