Research and Experiments of the Dynamical Model System for Short-Term Climate Prediction
我国短期气候动力预测模式系统的研究及试验

Climate and climate abnormity have important influence on the economical development. In order to improve the accuracy of the short-term climate prediction, it is important to study the new technology of dynamical model system for short-term climate prediction. Sponsored by the National Key Project "Studies on Short-Term Climate Prediction System in China", after 5-year research, the dynamical operational model system has been developed and consists of monthly dynamical extended-range forecast model, coupled ocean-atmosphere model (AGCM + OGCM + sea ice model + high resolution Pacific-Indian Ocean circulation model) and regional climate model. It is primary that the short-term climate prediction is developed from experience statistical level to quantificational and objective level. A synthetical climate prediction system that has combined the statistical method based on physics with the climate dynamical model had been developed.