%0 Journal Article
%T Research and Experiments of the Dynamical Model System for Short-Term Climate Prediction
我国短期气候动力预测模式系统的研究及试验
%A Ding Yihui
%A Liu Yiming
%A Song Yongjia
%A Li Qingquan
%A
丁一汇
%A 刘一鸣
%A 宋永加
%A 李清泉
%J 气候与环境研究
%D 2002
%I
%X Climate and climate abnormity have important influence on the economical development. In order to improve the accuracy of the short-term climate prediction, it is important to study the new technology of dynamical model system for short-term climate prediction. Sponsored by the National Key Project "Studies on Short-Term Climate Prediction System in China", after 5-year research, the dynamical operational model system has been developed and consists of monthly dynamical extended-range forecast model, coupled ocean-atmosphere model (AGCM + OGCM + sea ice model + high resolution Pacific-Indian Ocean circulation model) and regional climate model. It is primary that the short-term climate prediction is developed from experience statistical level to quantificational and objective level. A synthetical climate prediction system that has combined the statistical method based on physics with the climate dynamical model had been developed.
%K short-term climate
%K dynamical prediction
%K model system
短期气候
%K 动力预测
%K 模式系统
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=484C10BAB5333C14751916EACFF8295F&aid=D498426AF759E3FD&yid=C3ACC247184A22C1&vid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=FBCA02DBD05BD4EA&eid=28F9D9CF04F424FF&journal_id=1006-9585&journal_name=气候与环境研究&referenced_num=29&reference_num=2