%0 Journal Article %T Research and Experiments of the Dynamical Model System for Short-Term Climate Prediction
我国短期气候动力预测模式系统的研究及试验 %A Ding Yihui %A Liu Yiming %A Song Yongjia %A Li Qingquan %A
丁一汇 %A 刘一鸣 %A 宋永加 %A 李清泉 %J 气候与环境研究 %D 2002 %I %X Climate and climate abnormity have important influence on the economical development. In order to improve the accuracy of the short-term climate prediction, it is important to study the new technology of dynamical model system for short-term climate prediction. Sponsored by the National Key Project "Studies on Short-Term Climate Prediction System in China", after 5-year research, the dynamical operational model system has been developed and consists of monthly dynamical extended-range forecast model, coupled ocean-atmosphere model (AGCM + OGCM + sea ice model + high resolution Pacific-Indian Ocean circulation model) and regional climate model. It is primary that the short-term climate prediction is developed from experience statistical level to quantificational and objective level. A synthetical climate prediction system that has combined the statistical method based on physics with the climate dynamical model had been developed. %K short-term climate %K dynamical prediction %K model system
短期气候 %K 动力预测 %K 模式系统 %U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=484C10BAB5333C14751916EACFF8295F&aid=D498426AF759E3FD&yid=C3ACC247184A22C1&vid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=FBCA02DBD05BD4EA&eid=28F9D9CF04F424FF&journal_id=1006-9585&journal_name=气候与环境研究&referenced_num=29&reference_num=2