Theoretical Research on The Predictability of Climate System
气候系统可预报性理论研究

Some theoretical studies on the predictability of climate system are introduced in this paper. The theory of nonlinear fastest growing perturbation is applied to investigate climate predictability. Two kinds of predictability problems are studied from a new view, and three types of predictability sub-problems are present. In light of the computational uncertainty principle, the rela tions between predictability of model and machine precision are revealed. Base on the relationship be tween predictability and spatial-temporal scale a theroy of relativity of predictability is introduced.