%0 Journal Article
%T Theoretical Research on The Predictability of Climate System<br>气候系统可预报性理论研究
%A Mu Mu
%A Li Jianping
%A Chou Jifan
%A Duan Wansuo
%A Wang Jiacheng
%A <br>穆穆
%A 李建平
%A 丑纪范
%A 段晚锁
%A 王家城
%J 气候与环境研究
%D 2002
%I 
%X Some theoretical studies on the predictability of climate system are introduced in this paper. The theory of nonlinear fastest growing perturbation is applied to investigate climate predictability. Two kinds of predictability problems are studied from a new view, and three types of predictability sub-problems are present. In light of the computational uncertainty principle, the rela tions between predictability of model and machine precision are revealed. Base on the relationship be tween predictability and spatial-temporal scale a theroy of relativity of predictability is introduced.
%K climate system
%K predictability
%K nonlinear fastest growing perturbation
%K spatio-temporal scale<br>气候系统
%K 可预报性
%K 非线性
%K 扰动
%K 时空尺度
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=484C10BAB5333C14751916EACFF8295F&aid=E2FEA92AC9386A01&yid=C3ACC247184A22C1&vid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=0DEB7A8A66C33AAD&eid=6CCE24D86D03D083&journal_id=1006-9585&journal_name=气候与环境研究&referenced_num=12&reference_num=41