Research on Random Network Model for Synthetic Manoeuver Projection of Military Traffic Transportation Service by Highway
公路军事交通运输勤务综合演习项目GERT网络模型研究与分析

In this paper, by using the random network theory, a GERT network model is constructed, to describe the process that, under modern high technical conditions, military transportation of service systems are moved when the "red" and "blue" army are antagonizing intensively. For a given example, analytic solutions of the model are made. Then based on the model, the concepts of probability of being defeated and transperring (tactics, campaign and strategic transfer probability) are proposed, and factors that affect the probability as well as rebationship are analyzed.