%0 Journal Article
%T Research on Random Network Model for Synthetic Manoeuver Projection of Military Traffic Transportation Service by Highway<br>公路军事交通运输勤务综合演习项目GERT网络模型研究与分析
%A FANG Zhi-geng
%A GONG Zheng
%A HUANG Xi-lin
%A <br>方志耕
%A 龚正
%A 黄西林
%J 系统工程理论与实践
%D 2000
%I 
%X In this paper, by using the random network theory, a GERT network model is constructed, to describe the process that, under modern high technical conditions, military transportation of service systems are moved when the "red" and "blue" army are antagonizing intensively. For a given example, analytic solutions of the model are made. Then based on the model, the concepts of probability of being defeated and transperring (tactics, campaign and strategic transfer probability) are proposed, and factors that affect the probability as well as rebationship are analyzed.
%K military traffic transportation by highway
%K GERT network
%K probability of being defeated and transferring<br>公路军事运输
%K GERT网络
%K “转移”概率
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=01BA20E8BA813E1908F3698710BBFEFEE816345F465FEBA5&cid=962324E222C1AC1D&jid=1D057D9E7CAD6BEE9FA97306E08E48D3&aid=50BA57D645F1BD8D26F3FCA0204B0BE5&yid=9806D0D4EAA9BED3&vid=A04140E723CB732E&iid=E158A972A605785F&sid=7C72DBC13F2D71EC&eid=5E25104E99903E8A&journal_id=1000-6788&journal_name=系统工程理论与实践&referenced_num=8&reference_num=0