This study analyses the decadal variability of the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) in the equatorial Atlantic and its impact on the atmospheric circulation over West Africa. The study is based on data from the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation Ocean reanalysis, NCEP reanalyses and observations from the Climate Research Unit covering the period 1948-2008. We calculated the MABL index from potential temperature and analysed the mechanisms governing its variability using correlation and linear regression. The results reveal that the MABL is primarily governed by surface dynamic and thermodynamic forcings, in particular surface winds, sea surface temperature (SST) and its meridional gradient. The seasonal cycle shows MABL peaks in July-August-September, whilst the oceanic mixing layer and the SST gradient in September-October-November indicate a lag between atmospheric and oceanic anomalies associated with the cold tongue. Analysis of moving correlations and regression shows that the relationship between the MABL and oceanic and atmospheric parameters is not stationary. Before the early 1970s, variability in the MABL was primarily driven by local processes in the equatorial Atlantic, linked to SST gradients and thermocline dynamics. After this period, a shift in the climate regime becomes apparent, characterised by a weakening of equatorial temperature gradients and a growing influence of inter-basin teleconnections, particularly those associated with El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation. Variability in the MABL also appears to be linked to low-level atmospheric circulation and interactions with the West African monsoon. Before 1970, there was a strong positive precipitation anomaly across the entire Sahel, with maximum anomalies in the western part and negative anomalies in the regions around the Gulf of Guinea. In contrast, after 1970, negative anomalies began to appear in the western/coastal Sahel region. These results highlight the important role of the MABL in ocean-atmosphere coupling and the importance of improving the representation of lower-atmosphere processes in order to enhance future climate projections for West Africa.
References
[1]
Gill, A.E. (1982) Studies of Moisture Effects in Simple Atmospheric Models: The Stable Case. Geophysical&AstrophysicalFluidDynamics, 19, 119-152. https://doi.org/10.1080/03091928208208950
[2]
Small, R.J., deSzoeke, S.P., Xie, S.P., O’Neill, L., Seo, H., Song, Q., et al. (2008) Air-Sea Interaction over Ocean Fronts and Eddies. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 45, 274-319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2008.01.001
[3]
Zhai, X., Wu, S., Liu, B., Song, X. and Yin, J. (2018) Shipborne Wind Measurement and Motion-Induced Error Correction of a Coherent Doppler Lidar over the Yellow Sea in 2014. AtmosphericMeasurementTechniques, 11, 1313-1331. https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-1313-2018
[4]
Chelton, D.B., Schlax, M.G., Freilich, M.H. and Milliff, R.F. (2004) Satellite Measurements Reveal Persistent Small-Scale Features in Ocean Winds. Science, 303, 978-983. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1091901
[5]
Xie, S. (2004) Satellite Observations of Cool Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety, 85, 195-208. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-85-2-195
[6]
Sweet, W., Fett, R., Kerling, J. and La Violette, P. (1981) Air-Sea Interaction Effects in the Lower Troposphere across the North Wall of the Gulf Stream. MonthlyWeatherReview, 109, 1042-1052. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<1042:asieit>2.0.co;2
[7]
Hsu, S.A. (1984) Sea-Breeze-Like Winds across the North Wall of the Gulf Stream: An Analytical Model. JournalofGeophysicalResearch: Oceans, 89, 2025-2028. https://doi.org/10.1029/jc089ic02p02025
[8]
Lindzen, R.S. and Nigam, S. (1987) On the Role of Sea Surface Temperature Gradients in Forcing Low-Level Winds and Convergence in the Tropics. JournaloftheAtmosphericSciences, 44, 2418-2436. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(1987)044<2418:otross>2.0.co;2
[9]
Minobe, S., Kuwano-Yoshida, A., Komori, N., Xie, S. and Small, R.J. (2008) Influence of the Gulf Stream on the Troposphere. Nature, 452, 206-209. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature06690
[10]
Alexander, M.A. and Deser, C. (1995). A Mechanism for the Recurrence of Winter-time Midlatitude SST Anomalies. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 25, 122-137. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/phoc/25/1/1520-0485_1995_025_0122_amftro_2_0_co_2.xml
[11]
Cassou, C., Deser, C. and Alexander, M.A. (2007) Investigating the Impact of Reemerging Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Winter Atmospheric Circulation over the North Atlantic. JournalofClimate, 20, 3510-3526. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli4202.1
[12]
Kushnir, Y., Robinson, W.A., Bladé, I., Hall, N.M.J., Peng, S. and Sutton, R. (2002) Atmospheric GCM Response to Extratropical SST Anomalies: Synthesis and Evaluation*. JournalofClimate, 15, 2233-2256. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<2233:agrtes>2.0.co;2
[13]
Namias, J. and Born, R.M. (1970) Temporal Coherence in North Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature Patterns. JournalofGeophysicalResearch, 75, 5952-5955. https://doi.org/10.1029/jc075i030p05952
[14]
Folland, C.K., Palmer, T.N. and Parker, D.E. (1986) Sahel Rainfall and Worldwide Sea Temperatures, 1901-85. Nature, 320, 602-607. https://doi.org/10.1038/320602a0
[15]
Rowell, D.P. (2003) The Impact of Mediterranean SSTs on the Sahelian Rainfall Season. JournalofClimate, 16, 849-862. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0849:tiomso>2.0.co;2
[16]
Giese, B.S. and Ray, S. (2011) El Ni?o Variability in Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA), 1871-2008. JournalofGeophysicalResearch, 116, C02024. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jc006695
[17]
Rayner, N.A., Parker, D.E., Horton, E.B., Folland, C.K., Alexander, L.V., Rowell, D.P., et al. (2003) Global Analyses of Sea Surface Temperature, Sea Ice, and Night Marine Air Temperature since the Late Nineteenth Century. JournalofGeophysicalResearch: Atmospheres, 108, D14. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002jd002670
[18]
Harris, I., Osborn, T.J., Jones, P. and Lister, D. (2020) Version 4 of the CRU TS Monthly High-Resolution Gridded Multivariate Climate Dataset. ScientificData, 7, Article No. 109. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-0453-3
[19]
Leduc-Leballeur, M., Eymard, L. and de Co?tlogon, G. (2011) Observation of the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer in the Gulf of Guinea during the 2006 Boreal Spring. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, 137, 992-1003. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.808
[20]
Hashizume, H., Xie, S., Fujiwara, M., Shiotani, M., Watanabe, T., Tanimoto, Y., et al. (2002) Direct Observations of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Response to SST Variations Associated with Tropical Instability Waves over the Eastern Equatorial Pacific. JournalofClimate, 15, 3379-3393. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3379:dooabl>2.0.co;2
[21]
Wayland, R.J. and Raman, S. (1989) Mean and Turbulent Structure of a Baroclinic Marine Boundary Layer during the 28 January 1986 Cold-Air Outbreak (GALE 86). Boundary-LayerMeteorology, 48, 227-254. https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00158326
[22]
Lee, C.M., Jones, B.H., Brink, K.H. and Fischer, A.S. (2000) The Upper-Ocean Response to Monsoonal Forcing in the Arabian Sea: Seasonal and Spatial Variability. DeepSeaResearchPartII: TopicalStudiesinOceanography, 47, 1177-1226. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0967-0645(99)00141-1
[23]
Levitus, S. (1982) Climatological Atlas of the World Ocean. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
[24]
Dilmahamod, A.F. (2014) Links between the Seychelles-Chagos Thermocline Ridge and Large Scale Climate Modes and Primary Productivity; and the Annual Cycle of Chlorophyll-a. http://hdl.handle.net/11427/9212
[25]
Chatfield, C. and Xing, H. (2019) The Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction with R. 7th Edition, CRC Press.
[26]
von Storch, H. and Zwiers, F.W. (2002) Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Cambridge University Press.
[27]
Martín-Rey, M., Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T. and Lazar, A. (2018) Is There Evidence of Changes in Tropical Atlantic Variability Modes under AMO Phases in the Observational Record? JournalofClimate, 31, 515-536. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0459.1
[28]
Rodríguez‐Fonseca, B., Polo, I., García‐Serrano, J., Losada, T., Mohino, E., Mechoso, C.R., et al. (2009) Are Atlantic Ni?os Enhancing Pacific ENSO Events in Recent Decades? GeophysicalResearchLetters, 36, L20705. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009gl040048
[29]
Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Janicot, S., Mohino, E., Losada, T., Bader, J., Caminade, C., et al. (2011) Interannual and Decadal SST-Forced Responses of the West African Monsoon. AtmosphericScienceLetters, 12, 67-74. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.308
[30]
Garratt, J. (1994) Review: The Atmospheric Boundary Layer. Earth-ScienceReviews, 37, 89-134. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-8252(94)90026-4
[31]
Stull, R.B. (2012) An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology. Springer.
[32]
de Szoeke, S.P., Fairall, C.W., Wolfe, D.E., Bariteau, L. and Zuidema, P. (2010) Surface Flux Observations on the Southeastern Tropical Pacific Ocean and Attribution of SST Errors in Coupled Ocean-atmosphere Models. JournalofClimate, 23, 4152-4174. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3411.1
[33]
de Boyer Montégut, C., Madec, G., Fischer, A.S., Lazar, A. and Iudicone, D. (2004) Mixed Layer Depth over the Global Ocean: An Examination of Profile Data and a Profile-Based Climatology. JournalofGeophysicalResearch: Oceans, 109, C12003. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004jc002378
[34]
Foltz, G.R., Schmid, C. and Lumpkin, R. (2013) Seasonal Cycle of the Mixed Layer Heat Budget in the Northeastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean. JournalofClimate, 26, 8169-8188. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-13-00037.1
[35]
Wang, C., Lee, S. and Mechoso, C.R. (2010) Interhemispheric Influence of the Atlantic Warm Pool on the Southeastern Pacific. JournalofClimate, 23, 404-418. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3127.1
[36]
Jouanno, J., Hernandez, O. and Sanchez-Gomez, E. (2017) Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability and Its Relation to Dynamic and Thermodynamic Processes. EarthSystemDynamics, 8, 1061-1069. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1061-2017
[37]
Frankignoul, C. (1985) Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies, Planetary Waves, and Air-Sea Feedback in the Middle Latitudes. ReviewsofGeophysics, 23, 357-390. https://doi.org/10.1029/rg023i004p00357
[38]
Xie, S. and Carton, J.A. (2004) Tropical Atlantic Variability: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Impacts. In: Wang, C., Xie, S.P. and Carton, J.A., Eds., Earth’s Climate: The Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction, Volume 147, American Geophysical Union, 121-142. https://doi.org/10.1029/147gm07
[39]
Wang, W. and McPhaden, M.J. (1999) The Surface-Layer Heat Balance in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part I: Mean Seasonal Cycle. Journal of PhysicalOceanography, 29, 1812-1831. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1999)029<1812:tslhbi>2.0.co;2
[40]
Deser, C., Phillips, A.S. and Alexander, M.A. (2010) Twentieth Century Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Trends Revisited. GeophysicalResearchLetters, 37, L10701. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl043321
[41]
Trenberth, K.E. (1990) Recent Observed Interdecadal Climate Changes in the Northern Hemisphere. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety, 71, 988-993. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1990)071<0988:roicci>2.0.co;2
[42]
Yeh, S., Kug, J., Dewitte, B., Kwon, M., Kirtman, B.P. and Jin, F. (2009) El Ni?o in a Changing Climate. Nature, 461, 511-514. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08316
[43]
Klein, S.A., Hartmann, D.L. and Norris, J.R. (1995) On the Relationships among Low-Cloud Structure, Sea Surface Temperature, and Atmospheric Circulation in the Summertime Northeast Pacific. JournalofClimate, 8, 1140-1155. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1140:otralc>2.0.co;2
[44]
Tokinaga, H., Xie, S. and Mukougawa, H. (2017) Early 20th-Century Arctic Warming Intensified by Pacific and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114, 6227-6232. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1615880114
[45]
Chiang, J.C.H. and Vimont, D.J. (2004) Analogous Pacific and Atlantic Meridional Modes of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Variability. JournalofClimate, 17, 4143-4158. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli4953.1
[46]
Faye, S., Lazar, A., Sow, B.A. and Gaye, A.T. (2015) A Model Study of the Seasonality of Sea Surface Temperature and Circulation in the Atlantic North-Eastern Tropical Upwelling System. FrontiersinPhysics, 3, Article 76. https://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2015.00076
[47]
Worou, K., Goosse, H., Fichefet, T. and Kucharski, F. (2022) Weakened Impact of the Atlantic Ni?o on the Future Equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast Rainfall. EarthSystemDynamics, 13, 231-249. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-231-2022
[48]
Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Mohino, E., Mechoso, C.R., Caminade, C., Biasutti, M., Gaetani, M., et al. (2015) Variability and Predictability of West African Droughts: A Review on the Role of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. JournalofClimate, 28, 4034-4060. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00130.1
[49]
Casselman, J.W., Lübbecke, J.F., Bayr, T., Huo, W., Wahl, S. and Domeisen, D.I.V. (2023) The Teleconnection of Extreme El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Events to the Tropical North Atlantic in Coupled Climate Models. WeatherandClimateDynamics, 4, 471-487. https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-471-2023
[50]
Exarchou, E., Ortega, P., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Losada, T., Polo, I. and Prodhomme, C. (2021) Impact of Equatorial Atlantic Variability on ENSO Predictive Skill. NatureCommunications, 12, Article No. 1612. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21857-2
[51]
Carvalho, L.M.V., Jones, C., Cannon, F. and Norris, J. (2016) Intraseasonal-To-Interannual Variability of the Indian Monsoon Identified with the Large-Scale Index for the Indian Monsoon System (LIMs). JournalofClimate, 29, 2941-2962. https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0423.1
[52]
Thiam, M., Oruba, L., de Coetlogon, G., Wade, M., Diop, B. and Farota, A.K. (2024) Impact of the Sea Surface Temperature in the North-Eastern Tropical Atlantic on Precipitation over Senegal. JournalofGeophysicalResearch: Atmospheres, 129, e2023JD040513. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd040513
[53]
Sutton, R.T. and Hodson, D.L.R. (2003) Influence of the Ocean on North Atlantic Climate Variability 1871-1999. JournalofClimate, 16, 3296-3313. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3296:iotoon>2.0.co;2
[54]
Tamoffo, A.T., Weber, T., Mouassom, F.L., Le-Roy, B., Teichmann, C., Jacob, D., et al. (2025) The Global Sahel Monsoon Ocean-Pressure Index Reconciles Its Regional and Large-Scale Features. npjClimateandAtmosphericScience, 8, Article No. 323. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01226-2