This paper investigates the relationship between advertising and consumption with panel data at the industry level for some European countries. At the macroeconomic level, consumption can increase only if saving decreases. However, the competition effect of advertising is better captured at the industry level, which allows for interaction between firms. We explore possible relationships with a unique dataset of consumption and advertising spending in 27 sectors across 9 years for 5 European Union countries. Our results show that consumption has a significant influence on advertising, but the reverse does not apply. Our findings also suggest that business stealing is the dominant effect of advertising relative to consumption increasing.
References
[1]
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. TheReviewofEconomicStudies,58, 277-297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968
[2]
Ashley, R., Granger, C. W. J., & Schmalensee, R. (1980). Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality. Econometrica,48, 1149-1167. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912176
[3]
Becker, G. S., & Murphy, K. M. (1993). A Simple Theory of Advertising as a Good or Bad. TheQuarterlyJournalofEconomics,108, 941-964. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118455
[4]
Blank, D. M. (1962). Cyclical Behavior of National Advertising. TheJournalofBusiness,35, 14-27. https://doi.org/10.1086/294463
[5]
Bursztyn, L., & Cantoni, D. (2016). A Tear in the Iron Curtain: The Impact of Western Television on Consumption Behavior. ReviewofEconomicsandStatistics,98, 25-41. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00522
[6]
Elliott, C. (2004). Vertical Product Differentiation and Advertising. InternationalJournaloftheEconomicsofBusiness,11, 37-53. https://doi.org/10.1080/1357151032000172228
[7]
Chan-Olmsted, S. M., & Su, L. (2017). Relationship between Advertising and Consumption in China: Exploring the Roles of Economic Development and Mass Media. GlobalMediaandChina,2, 232-250. https://doi.org/10.1177/2059436417744368
[8]
Deweter R., & Heimeshoff, U. (2017). Predicting Advertising Volumes Using Structural Time Series Models: A Case Study. EconomicsBulletin,37, 1644-1652.
[9]
Dorfman, R., & Steiner, P. O. (1954). Optimal Advertising and Optimal Quality. AmericanEconomicReview44, 826-836.
[10]
Driver, C. (2017). Advertising’s Elusive Economic Rationale: Public Policy and Taxation. JournalofEconomicSurveys,31, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12122
[11]
Dubois, P., Griffith, R., & O’Connell, M. (2018). The Effects of Banning Advertising in Junk Food Markets. TheReviewofEconomicStudies,85, 396-436. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdx025
[12]
Dumitrescu, E., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels. EconomicModelling,29, 1450-1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
[13]
Erdem, T., Keane, M. P., & Sun, B. (2006). The Impact of Advertising on Consumer Price Sensitivity in Experience Goods Markets. SSRNElectronicJournal, 49 p. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.965468
[14]
Frank, M. W. (2008). Media Substitution in Advertising: A Spirited Case Study. InternationalJournalofIndustrialOrganization,26, 308-326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijindorg.2007.01.002
[15]
Fridriksson, K. S., & Zoega, G. (2012). Advertising as a Predictor of Investment. EconomicsLetters,116, 60-66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2011.12.079
[16]
García-Zambrano, L., Rodríguez-Castellanos, A., & García-Merino, J. D. (2018). Impact of Investments in Training and Advertising on the Market Value Relevance of a Company’s Intangibles: The Effect of the Economic Crisis in Spain. EuropeanResearchonManagementandBusinessEconomics,24, 27-32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iedeen.2017.06.001
[17]
Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods. Econometrica,37, 424-438. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912791
[18]
Hartwig, J. (2010). Is Health Capital Formation Good for Long-Term Economic Growth? —Panel Granger-Causality Evidence for OECD Countries. JournalofMacroeconomics,32, 314-325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2009.06.003
[19]
Hu, B., & Sanyal, A. (2016). Advertisement Spending and Income: An Aggregative Analysis. TheoreticalEconomicsLetters,6, 356-366. https://doi.org/10.4236/tel.2016.62040
[20]
Squalli, J. (2010). Advertising Expenditure, Enplanement, and Market Concentration. InternationalJournaloftheEconomicsofBusiness,17, 147-166. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571516.2010.483084
[21]
Jung, C., & Seldon, B. J. (1995). The Macroeconomic Relationship between Advertising and Consumption. SouthernEconomicJournal,61, 577-587. https://doi.org/10.2307/1060982
[22]
Kotler, P. (1976). Marketing Management: Analysis, Planning,and Control. Prentice-Hall International.
[23]
Lischka, J. A., Kienzler, S., & Mellmann, U. (2014). Sales Drive Advertising Expenditures: Evidence for Consumer Packaged and Durable Goods in Germany. InternationalJournalofMarketingStudies,6, 31-44. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijms.v6n1p31
[24]
Lopez, L., & Weber, S. (2017). Testing for Granger Causality in Panel Data. TheStataJournal:PromotingcommunicationsonstatisticsandStata,17, 972-984. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867x1801700412
[25]
Mankiw, N. G., & Whinston, M. D. (1986). Free Entry and Social Inefficiency. TheRANDJournalofEconomics,17, 48. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555627
[26]
Molinari, B., & Turino, F. (2018). Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: A Bayesian DSGE Assessment. TheEconomicJournal,128, 2106-2130. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12514
[27]
Rauch, F. (2013). Advertising Expenditure and Consumer Prices. InternationalJournalofIndustrialOrganization,31, 331-341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijindorg.2013.05.001
[28]
Rehme, G., & Weisser, S. (2007). Advertising,ConsumptionandEconomicGrowth:AnEmpiricalInvestigation. Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics Nr.178.
[29]
Schmalensee, R. (1972). TheEconomicsofAdvertising. North Holland.
[30]
Schwarz, G. (1978). Estimating the Dimension of a Model. TheAnnalsofStatistics,6, 461-464. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344136
[31]
Siegel, M., Ross, C. S., Albers, A. B., DeJong, W., King, III, C., Naimi, T. S. et al. (2016). The Relationship between Exposure to Brand-Specific Alcohol Advertising and Brand-Specific Consumption among Underage Drinkers—United States, 2011-2012. TheAmericanJournalofDrugandAlcoholAbuse,42, 4-14. https://doi.org/10.3109/00952990.2015.1085542
[32]
Simon, H., Tellis, G. J., & Tellis, K. (2009). Research on Advertising in a Recession. JournalofAdvertisingResearch,49, 304-327. https://doi.org/10.2501/s0021849909090400
[33]
Simon, J. (1970). IssuesintheEconomicsofAdvertising. University of Illinois Press.
[34]
Tuchman, A. E., Nair, H. S., & Gardete, P. M. (2018). Television Ad-Skipping, Consumption Complementarities and the Consumer Demand for Advertising. QuantitativeMarketingandEconomics,16, 111-174. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-017-9192-y
[35]
van der Wurff, R., Bakker, P., & Picard, R. G. (2008). Economic Growth and Advertising Expenditures in Different Media in Different Countries. JournalofMediaEconomics,21, 28-52. https://doi.org/10.1080/08997760701806827
[36]
Esteve, V., & Requena, F. (2006). A Cointegration Analysis of Car Advertising and Sales Data in the Presence of Structural Change. InternationalJournaloftheEconomicsofBusiness,13, 111-128. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571510500520036
[37]
Tremblay, V. J., Tremblay, C. H., & Isariyawongse, K. (2013). Cournot and Bertrand Competition When Advertising Rotates Demand: The Case of Honda and Scion. InternationalJournaloftheEconomicsofBusiness,20, 125-141. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571516.2012.750045