America has a return on degree problem. This study uses data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) to test whether the amount of wealth at different key transitional periods in a child’s life increases their return on degree. Further, wealth is measured at birth (ages 0 - 3), at college enrollment (age 18), and at college graduation (age 25). Median net worth in U.S. households is used as the main proxy for return on degree. In the PSID, median net worth in U.S. households is measured at ages 37 - 42 (financially established adulthood) and 55 - 64 in the NLSY79 (pre-retirement). Findings reveal that even having $500 of either enrollment wealth or graduation wealth can have a substantial positive impact on the odds (42% and 52%, respectively) that a college graduate reaches median net worth of U.S. households by the time they are middle age. Further, findings indicate that the most impactful time for college graduates to receive a wealth transfer that has the best chance to maximize their return on degree is between ages 25 to 30. This is a period when the racial wealth gap college graduates experience is at its lowest (about $15,788). An implication of these findings is that, at the end of the spectrum, policies like the student loan policy can cause college graduates to have negative wealth. In the middle of the spectrum are policies like free college tuition, leaving children with no debt. Even these polices are unlikely to have the biggest impact on addressing America’s return on degree problem. To equip the education system to fulfill its role as the “great equalizer”, policies may be needed to provide college graduates with a wealth transfer shortly after graduating from college when the wealth gap is at its smallest.
References
[1]
Addo, F. R., Houle, J. N., & Simon, D. (2016). Young, Black, and (Still) in the Red: Parental Wealth, Race, and Student Loan Debt. Race and Social Problems, 8, 64-76. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12552-016-9162-0
[2]
Ambrose, B. W., Cordell, L., & Ma, S. (2015). The Impact of Student Loan Debt on Small Business Formation (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 2417676). Social Science Research Network.
[3]
Ando, A., & Modigliani, F. (1963). The “Life Cycle” Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate Implications and Tests. The American Economic Review, 53, 55-84.
[4]
Angrisani, M., Burke, J., Lusardi, A., & Mottola, G. (2023). The Evolution of Financial Literacy over Time and Its Predictive Power for Financial Outcomes: Evidence from Longitudinal Data. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 22, 640-657. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1474747222000154
[5]
Banterle, C. B. (2002). Incentives to Contributing to Supplementary Pension Funds: Going Beyond Tax Incentives. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance—Issues and Practice, 27, 555-570. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0440.00191
[6]
Baum, S. (2014). Higher Education Pays off, So Why the Misunderstanding? Urban Institute. https://www.urban.org/urban-wire/higher-education-pays-so-why-misunderstanding
[7]
Beaule, A., Campbell, F., Insolera, N., Juska, P., McAloon-Fernandez, R., McGonagle, K., Mushtaq, M., Simmert, B., & Warra, J. (2023). PSID-2021 Main Interview User Manual: Release 2023. Institute for Social Research. https://psidonline.isr.umich.edu/data/Documentation/UserGuide2021.pdf
[8]
Behrman, J. R., Mitchell, O. S., Soo, C. K., & Bravo, D. (2012). How Financial Literacy Affects Household Wealth Accumulation. American Economic Review, 102, 300-304. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.3.300
[9]
Bialowolski, P., Weziak-Bialowolska, D., Lee, M. T., Chen, Y., VanderWeele, T. J., & McNeely, E. (2021). The Role of Financial Conditions for Physical and Mental Health. Evidence from a Longitudinal Survey and Insurance Claims Data. Social Science & Medicine, 281, Article ID: 114041. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.114041
[10]
Blagg, K. (2018). Underwater on Student Debt: Understanding Consumer Credit and Student Loan Default. Urban Institute.
[11]
Blagg, K., Choi, J. H., Baum, S., Cohn, J., Reynolds, L., Terrones, F., & Young, C. (2022). Student Loan Debt and Access to Homeownership for Borrowers of Color. Urban Institute. https://www.urban.org/research/publication/student-loan-debt-and-access-homeownership-borrowers-color
[12]
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2023). Survey of Consumer Finances, 1989-2022.
[13]
Brown, M., Atherton, S., McKernan, S.-M., & Santillo, M. (2024). What Do We Know about Baby Bonds? A Condensed Literature Review. Using Wealth and Income Policies to Forge a New Social Contract: Giving People Something to Live for, University of Michigan, School of Social Work, Center on Assets, Education, and Inclusion. http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/handle/2027.42/195249
[14]
Bureau of Labor Statistics (2025). National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 Cohort. Topical Guide to the Data. Income, Assets & Program Participation. The Center for Hu-man Resource Research (CHRR), The Ohio State University. https://www.nlsinfo.org/content/cohorts/nlsy79/topical-guide/income/assets-and-debts
[15]
Carnevale, A. P., & Strohl, J. (2010). How Increasing College Access Is Increasing Inequality, and What to Do about It. In R. Kahlenberg (Ed.), Rewarding Strivers: Helping Low-Income Students Succeed in College (pp. 1-231). Century Foundation Books.
[16]
Carnevale, A. P., Cheah, B., & Van Der Werf, M. (2022). The Colleges Where Low-Income Students Get the Highest ROI. Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce. https://cew.georgetown.edu/cew-reports/lowincome/
[17]
Charles Schwab (2025). Waiting to Save for Retirement Could Cost You. Schwab Brokerage. https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/waiting-to-save-retirement-could-cost-you
[18]
Chetty, R., Deming, D. J., & Friedman, J. N. (2023). Diversifying Society’s Leaders? The Determinants and Causal Effects of Admission to Highly Selective Private Colleges (Working Paper No. 31492). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w31492
[19]
Conley, D. (1999). Being Black, Living in the Red: Race, Wealth, and Social Policy in America. University of California Press. https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520945340
[20]
Cooper, D., & Wang, J. C. (2014). Student Loan Debt and Economic Outcomes (Current Policy Perspectives). Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
[21]
Davenport, A., Levell, P., & Sturrock, D. (2021). Why Do Wealthy Parents Have Wealthy Children? Research Report No. R196. IFS Report. https://doi.org/10.1920/re.ifs.2021.0196
[22]
Day, D. V., Harrison, M. M., & Halpin, S. M. (2008). An Integrative Approach to Leader Development: Connecting Adult Development, Identity, and Expertise. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203809525
[23]
De La Fuente, A., & Navarro, M. A. (2020). Black and Latinx Students Are Getting Less Bang for Their Bachelor’s Degrees. Center for American Progress. https://www.americanprogress.org/article/black-latinx-students-getting-less-bang-bachelors-degrees/
[24]
Egoian, J. (2013). 73 Will Be the Retirement Norm for Millennials. Nerd-Wallet. https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/social-security/73-retirement-norm-millennials
[25]
Elandt‐Johnson, R. C., & Johnson, N. L. (1999). Survival Models and Data Analysis. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119011040
[26]
Elliott, W. (2024). Assessing the Evidence for Children’s Savings Accounts (CSAs) as an Effective Strategy for Improving Children’s Postsecondary Outcomes: The Continuum of Evidence of Effectiveness. University of Michigan. Center on Assets, Education, and Inclusion (AEDI). https://aedi.ssw.umich.edu/sites/default/files/documents/Reports/evolution-of-csa-research.pdf?v=1.1
[27]
Elliott, W., & Lewis, M. (2018). Making Education Work for the Poor: The Potential of Children’s Savings Accounts. Oxford University Press.
[28]
Elliott, W., & Nam, I. (2013). Is Student Debt Jeopardizing the Long-Term Financial Health of U.S. Households? (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review). St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank.
[29]
Elliott, W., & Rauscher, E. (2018). When Does My Future Begin? Student Debt and Intragenerational Mobility. Sociology Mind, 8, 175-201. https://doi.org/10.4236/sm.2018.82015
[30]
Elliott, W., Grant, P., & Case, J. (2023). Unleashing the Power of Children’s Savings Accounts (CSAs): Doorway to Multiple Streams of Assets (Early Award Scholarship (EAS) Program Case Study). Center on Assets, Education & Inclusion.
[31]
Elliott, W., Rauscher, E., & Nam, I. (2018). Unequal Returns: Intragenerational Asset Accumulation Differs by Net Worth in Early Adulthood. Children and Youth Services Review, 85, 253-263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.childyouth.2018.01.006
[32]
Elliott, W., Sorensen, N., & O’Brien, M. (2024). Kindergarten to College (K2C) College Enrollment Findings: Fuel for an Evidence-Based Movement. https://doi.org/10.7302/24441
[33]
Emmons, W. R., & Noeth, B. J. (2015). Why Didn’t Higher Education Protect Hispanic and Black Wealth? Issue 12. https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/in-the-balance/2015/why-didnt-higher-education-protect-hispanic-and-black-wealth
[34]
Emmons, W. R., & Ricketts, L. (2017). College Is Not Enough: Higher Education Does Not Eliminate Racial and Ethnic Wealth Gaps (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 2918731). Social Science Research Network.
[35]
Emmons, W. R., Kent, A. H., & Ricketts, L. (2019). Is College Still Worth It? The New Calculus of Falling Returns (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 3494169). Social Science Re-search Network.
[36]
Feiveson, L., & Sabelhaus, J. (2018). How Does Intergenerational Wealth Transmission Affect Wealth Concentration? FEDS Notes. https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2209
[37]
Finn, J. (2023). At What Age Do You Graduate College? Smarter Degree. https://www.smarterdegree.com/what-age-do-you-graduate-college/
[38]
Friedline, T., & Elliott, W. (2013). Connections with Banking Institutions and Diverse Asset Portfolios in Young Adulthood: Children as Potential Future Investors. Children and Youth Services Review, 35, 994-1006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.childyouth.2013.03.008
[39]
Friedline, T., Johnson, P., & Hughes, R. (2014). Toward Healthy Balance Sheets: Are Savings Accounts a Gateway to Young Adults’ Asset Diversification and Accumulation? The Balance Sheets of Younger Americans: Is the American Dream at Risk? Review, 96, 359-389. https://doi.org/10.20955/r.96.359-389
[40]
Hamilton, D., & Darity, W. (2010). Can “Baby Bonds” Eliminate the Racial Wealth Gap in Putative Post-Racial America? The Review of Black Political Economy, 37, 207-216. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12114-010-9063-1
[41]
Hamilton, D., Darity Jr., W., Price, A. E., Sridharan, V., & Tippett, R. (2015). Umbrellas Don’t Make It Rain: Why Studying and Working Hard Isn’t Enough for Black Ameri-cans. The Duke University Center for Social Equity and Insight Center for Community Economic Development.
[42]
Health and Retirement Study (2006). Health and Retirement Study 2004 Core Final, Version 1.0. https://hrsdata.isr.umich.edu/sites/default/files/documentation/data-descriptions/h04dd.pdf
[43]
Helhoski, A. (2020). Why Rich Students Get More Financial Aid than Poor Ones. Nerdwallet. https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/loans/student-loans/why-rich-students-get-more-financial-aid-than-poor-ones
[44]
Hershbein, B. (2016). A College Degree Is Worth Less If You Are Raised Poor. Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/a-college-degree-is-worth-less-if-you-are-raised-poor/
[45]
Hiltonsmith, R. (2013). At What Cost? How Student Debt Reduces Lifetime Wealth. Demos. https://www.demos.org/research/what-cost-how-student-debt-reduces-lifetime-wealth
[46]
Honaker, J., King, G., & Blackwell, M. (2011). Amelia II: A Program for Missing Data. Journal of Statistical Software, 45, 1-47. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v045.i07
[47]
Hossler, D., & Vesper, N. (1993). An Exploratory Study of the Factors Associated with Parental Saving for Postsecondary Education. The Journal of Higher Education, 64, 140-165. https://doi.org/10.1080/00221546.1993.11778420
[48]
Huber, P. J., & Ronchetti, E. M. (2009). Robust Statistics. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470434697
[49]
Huelsman, M. (2015). The Debt Divide: The Racial and Class Bias behind the “New Normal” of Student Borrowing. Demos. https://www.demos.org/sites/default/files/publications/Mark-Debt%20divide%20Final%20%28SF%29.pdf
[50]
Jones, T., & Jackson, V. (2020). The Crisis in Black Student Debt Was Dire before Coronavirus—Now It’s More Urgent than Ever. The Hechinger Report. http://hechingerreport.org/opinion-how-the-coronavirus-exacerbated-the-black-student-debt-crisis/
[51]
Juster, F. T., Smith, J. P., & Stafford, F. (1999). The Measurement and Structure of Household Wealth. Labour Economics, 6, 253-275. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0927-5371(99)00012-3
[52]
Kaplan, E. L., & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric Estimation from Incomplete Observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53, 457-481. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1958.10501452
[53]
Kelly, P. J., & Lim, L. L.-Y. (2000). Survival Analysis for Recurrent Event Data: An Application to Childhood Infectious Diseases. Statistics in Medicine, 19, 13-33. https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(20000115)19:1<13::aid-sim279>3.0.co;2-5
[54]
Lachman, M. E., Teshale, S., & Agrigoroaei, S. (2015). Midlife as a Pivotal Period in the Life Course: Balancing Growth and Decline at the Crossroads of Youth and Old Age. International Journal of Behavioral Development, 39, 20-31. https://doi.org/10.1177/0165025414533223
[55]
Levinson, D. J., McKee, B., Levinson, M. H., Darrow, C. N., & Klein, E. B. (1986). The Seasons of a Man’s Life. Random House.
[56]
Liang, K., & Zeger, S. L. (1986). Longitudinal Data Analysis Using Generalized Linear Models. Biometrika, 73, 13-22. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/73.1.13
[57]
Loke, V. (2013). Parental Asset Accumulation Trajectories and Children’s College Outcomes. Economics of Education Review, 33, 124-133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2012.12.002
[58]
Loke, V., & Sacco, P. (2011). Changes in Parental Assets and Children’s Educational Outcomes. Journal of Social Policy, 40, 351-368. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0047279410000516
[59]
Lusardi, A., & Mitchell, O. S. (2007). Baby Boomer Retirement Security: The Roles of Planning, Financial Literacy, and Housing Wealth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 54, 205-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.12.001
[60]
Lusardi, A., Michaud, P.-C., & Mitchell, O. S. (2013). Optimal Financial Knowledge and Wealth Inequality (No. Working paper 18669). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18669/w18669.pdf
[61]
Mann, H. (1848). Twelfth Annual Report of the Board of Education. Dutton and Went-worth.
[62]
McKay, L. C. (2022). How the Racial Wealth Gap Has Evolved—And Why It Persists. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2022/how-the-racial-wealth-gap-has-evolved-and-why-it-persists
[63]
Mehta, C. M., Arnett, J. J., Palmer, C. G., & Nelson, L. J. (2020). Established Adulthood: A New Conception of Ages 30 to 45. American Psychologist, 75, 431-444. https://doi.org/10.1037/amp0000600
[64]
Meschede, T., Taylor, J., Mann, A., & Shapiro, T. M. (2017). “Family Achievements?”: How a College Degree Accumulates Wealth for Whites and Not for Blacks (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. 2918739). Social Science Research Network.
[65]
Minicozzi, A. (2005). The Short-Term Effect of Educational Debt on Job Decisions. Economics of Education Review, 24, 417-430. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.05.008
[66]
Modigliani, F. (1986). Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations. Science, 234, 704-712. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.234.4777.704
[67]
Modigliani, F., & Brumberg, R. (1954). Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data. In K. K. Kurihara (Ed.), Post-Keynesian Economics (Vol. 1, pp. 388-436). Rutgers University Press. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/1923.001.0001
[68]
Neelakantan, U. (2023). Black-White Differences in Student Loan Default Rates among College Graduates. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Economic Brief. https://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/economic_brief/2023/eb_23-12
[69]
Next Gen Personal Finance (2022). NGPF’s 2022 State of Financial Education Report. https://d3f7q2msm2165u.cloudfront.net/aaa-content/user/files/Files/NGPFAnnualReport_2022.pdf
[70]
Nolan, B., Palomino, J. C., Van Kerm, P., & Morelli, S. (2021). Intergenerational Wealth Transfers and Wealth Inequality in Rich Countries: What Do We Learn from Gini Decomposition? Economics Letters, 199, Article ID: 109701. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109701
[71]
Oliver, M., & Shapiro, T. (1995). Black Wealth/White Wealth: A New Perspective on Racial Inequality. Taylor & Francis Group. http://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/umichigan/detail.action?docID=1433723
[72]
Pence, K. M. (2006). The Role of Wealth Transformations: An Application to Estimating the Effect of Tax Incentives on Saving. Contributions in Economic Analysis & Policy, 5, 1-24. https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0645.1430
[73]
Pew Research Center (2020). Most Americans Say There Is Too Much Economic Inequality in the U.S., but Fewer than Half Call It a Top Priority. https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2020/01/09/most-americans-say-there-is-too-much-economic-inequality-in-the-u-s-but-fewer-than-half-call-it-a-top-priority/
[74]
Pfeffer, F. T. (2018). Growing Wealth Gaps in Education. Demography, 55, 1033-1068. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-018-0666-7
[75]
Pfeffer, F. T., & Killewald, A. (2019). Intergenerational Wealth Mobility and Racial Inequality. Socius: Sociological Research for a Dynamic World, 5, 1-2. https://doi.org/10.1177/2378023119831799
[76]
Pfeffer, F. T., Schoeni, R. F., Kennickell, A., & Andreski, P. (2016). Measuring Wealth and Wealth Inequality: Comparing Two U.S. Surveys. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 41, 103-120. https://doi.org/10.3233/jem-160421
[77]
Rank, M. R., Hirschl, T. A., & Foster, K. A. (2014). Chasing the American Dream: Understanding What Shapes Our Fortunes. OUP USA.
[78]
Rauscher, E. (2016). Passing It on: Parent-to-Adult Child Financial Transfers for School and Socioeconomic Attainment. RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences, 2, 172-196. https://doi.org/10.7758/rsf.2016.2.6.09
[79]
Rubin, D. B. (2018). Multiple Imputation. In S. van Buuren (Ed.), Flexible Imputation of Missing Data (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC.
[80]
Schmeiser, M. D., & Seligman, J. S. (2013). Using the Right Yardstick: Assessing Financial Literacy Measures by Way of Financial Well-Being. Journal of Consumer Affairs, 47, 243-262. https://doi.org/10.1111/joca.12010
[81]
Schoeni, R. F., Stafford, F., Mcgonagle, K. A., & Andreski, P. (2013). Response Rates in National Panel Surveys. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 645, 60-87. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716212456363
[82]
Schuetz, J. (2020). Rethinking Homeownership Incentives to Improve Household Financial Security and Shrink the Racial Wealth Gap. Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/rethinking-homeownership-incentives-to-improve-household-financial-security-and-shrink-the-racial-wealth-gap/#1
[83]
Scott-Clayton, J., & Li, J. (2016). Black-White Disparity in Student Loan Debt More than Triples after Graduation. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83265
[84]
Shapiro, T., Meschede, T., & Osoro, S. (2013). The Roots of the Widening Racial Wealth Gap: Explaining the Black-White Economic Divide. Institute on Assets and Social Poli-cy.
[85]
Sullivan, L., Meschede, T., Shapiro, T., Asante-Muhammed, D., & Nieves, E. (2016). Equitable Investments in the Next Generation: Designing Policies to Close the Racial Wealth Gap. https://heller.brandeis.edu/iere/pdfs/racial-wealth-equity/racial-wealth-gap/equitable-investments.pdf
[86]
Tough, P. (2023). Americans Are Losing Faith in the Value of College. Whose Fault Is That? The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/05/magazine/college-worth-price.html
[87]
Traub, A., Sullivan, L., Meschede, T., & Shapiro, T. (2017). The Asset Value of Whiteness: Understanding the Racial Wealth Gap. https://dataspace.princeton.edu/handle/88435/dsp016q182p29t
[88]
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (2014). Independence for Young Millennials: Moving out and Boomeranging Back (Monthly Labor Review). U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2014/article/pdf/independence-for-young-millennials-moving-out-and-boomeranging-back.pdf
[89]
van Rooij, M. C. J., Lusardi, A., & Alessie, R. J. M. (2012). Financial Literacy, Retirement Planning and Household Wealth. The Economic Journal, 122, 449-478. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2012.02501.x
[90]
Vieira, K. M., Moreira Júnior, F. D. J., & Potrich, A. C. G. (2020). Measuring Financial Literacy: Proposition of an Instrument Based on the Item Response Theory. Ciência e Natura, 42, e38. https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460x39864
[91]
Wang, H., Kim, K., Burr, J. A., & Fingerman, K. L. (2023). Financial Problems in Established Adulthood: Implications for Depressive Symptoms and Relationship Quality with Parents. Journal of Adult Development, 30, 167-177. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10804-022-09409-4
[92]
Weller, C. (2024). What Would Be the Likely Impact of Large Progressive Proposals on the Black-White Wealth Gap? https://doi.org/10.7302/24447
[93]
Yeung, W. J., & Conley, D. (2008). Black-White Achievement Gap and Family Wealth. Child Development, 79, 303-324. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8624.2007.01127.x
[94]
Zagorsky, J. L. (1999). Young Baby Boomers’ Wealth. Review of Income and Wealth, 45, 135-156. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.1999.tb00325.x
[95]
Zapp, D. (2019). Money Matters on Campus. EVERFI. https://everfi.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/MoneyMatters-2019.pdf