全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
大气科学  2014 

我国南方冬季低温雨雪冰冻事件的大气扰动信号分析

DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2013.13217

Keywords: 中国南方,低温,雨雪冰冻,物理分解,扰动场,前期信号

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

利用中国549个站点的温度和降水资料确定了1960~2008年发生在我国南方冬季的23次低温雨雪冰冻事件。对全球大气变量再分析资料做物理分解得到天气尺度扰动分量用于这些事件的早期信号分析。结果表明,在低温事件发生时,南方地区上空300hPa对应有最大负高度扰动,850hPa有负温度扰动。这些扰动的传播特性可以作为低温事件发生的早期信号。在低温雨雪站日数大于10的11次事件中,它们的扰动信号平均可提前11.2天追踪到。

References

[1]  Brooks C F. 1920. The nature of sleet and how it is formed [J]. Mon. Wea. Rev., 48: 69-73.
[2]  丁一汇, 王遵娅, 宋亚芳, 等. 2008. 中国南方2008年1月罕见低温雨雪冰冻灾害发生的原因及其与气候变暖的关系 [J]. 气象学报, 66 (5): 808-825. Ding Yihui, Wang Zunya, Song Yafang, et al. 2008. Causes of the unprecedented freezing disaster in January 2008 and its possible association with the global warming [J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 66 (5): 808-825.
[3]  李灿, 张礼平, 吴义城, 等. 2010. 南方极端雨雪冰冻过程东亚冬季风环流特征及与El Ni?o/La Ni?a事件的关系 [J]. 暴雨灾害, 29 (2): 142-147. Li Can, Zhang Liping, Wu Yicheng, et al. 2010. Circulation characteristic of East Asia winter monsoon of extremely low temperature and snow-ice weather in southern China and its correlation with El Ni?o /La Ni?a events [J]. Torrential Rain and Disasters (in Chinese), 29 (2): 142-147.
[4]  李崇银, 杨辉, 顾薇. 2008. 中国南方雨雪冰冻异常天气原因的分析 [J]. 气候与环境研究, 13 (2): 113-122. Li Chongyin, Yang Hui, Gu Wei. 2008. Cause of severe weather with cold air, freezing rain and snow over South China in January 2008 [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 13 (2): 113-122.
[5]  Li Z, Yan Z W. 2009. Homogenized daily mean/maximum/minimum temperature series for China from 1960-2008 [J]. Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 2 (4): 237-243.
[6]  彭春华, 张端禹. 2008. 2008年低温雨雪冰冻极端气象灾害预报服务技术交流会议述评 [J]. 暴雨灾害, 27 (2): 177-181. Peng Chunhua, Zhang Duanyu. 2008. Comments on communion conference of prediction and service skills about the extremely low temperature and snow-ice disasters in 2008 [J]. Torrential Rain and Disasters (in Chinese), 27 (2): 177-181.
[7]  Peixoto J P, Oort A H. 1992. Physics of Climate [M]. New York: American Institute of Physics, 520pp.
[8]  钱维宏. 2013. 基于大气变量物理分解的低温雨雪冰冻天气的中期预报系统和方法. 中华人民共和国国家知识产权局, ZL201110061438.7. Qian Weihong. 2013. Medium-range forecast system and method of snow and freezing weather based on physical decomposition of atmospheric variables. State Intellectual Property Office of the People\'s Republic of China, ZL201110061438.7.
[9]  钱维宏. 2012a. 中期—延伸期天气预报原理 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 380pp. Qian Weihong. 2012a. Principles of Medium to Extended Range Weather Forecasts (in Chinese) [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 380pp.
[10]  钱维宏. 2012b. 天气尺度瞬变扰动的物理分解原理. [J]. 地球物理学报, 55 (5): 1439-1448. Qian Weihong. 2012b. Physical decomposition principle of regional-scale atmospheric transient anomaly [J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics (in Chinese), 55 (5): 1439-1448.
[11]  钱维宏, 张宗婕. 2012. 南方持续低温冻雨事件预测的前期信号 [J]. 地球物理学报, 55 (5): 1501-1512. Qian Weihong, Zhang Zongjie. 2012. Precursors to predict low-temperature freezing-rain events in southern China [J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics (in Chinese), 55 (5): 1501-1512.
[12]  Qian W H, Liang H Y. 2012. Propagation of planetary-scale zonal mean wind anomalies and polar oscillations [J]. Chin. Sci. Bull., 57 (20): 2602-2614.
[13]  Rauber R M, Ramamurthy M K, Tokay A. 1994. Synoptic and mesoscale structure of a severe freezing rain event: The St. Valentine\'s Day ice storm [J]. Wea. Forecasting, 9 (2): 183-208.
[14]  Szentimrey T. 1999. Multiple analysis of series for homogenization (MASH)//Proceedings of the Second Seminar for Homogenization of Surface Climatological Data. Budapest, Hungary: WCDMP-41, 27-46.
[15]  陶诗言, 卫捷. 2008. 2008年1月我国南方严重冰雪灾害过程分析 [J]. 气候与环境研究, 13 (4): 337-350. Tao Shiyan, Wei Jie. 2008. Severe snow and freezing-rain in January 2008 in the southern China [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 13 (4): 337-350.
[16]  王东海, 柳崇健, 刘英, 等. 2008. 2008年1月中国南方低温雨雪冰冻天气特征及其天气动力学成因的初步分析 [J]. 气象学报, 66 (3): 405-422. Wang Donghai, Liu Chongjian, Liu Ying, et al. 2008. A preliminary analysis of features and causes of the snow storm event over the southern China in January 2008 [J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 66 (3): 405-422.
[17]  王晓兰, 李象玉, 黎祖贤, 等. 2006. 2005年湖南省特大冰冻灾害天气分析 [J]. 气象, 32 (2): 87-91. Wang Xiaolan, Li Xiangyu, Li Zuxian, et al. 2006. Analysis of freezing-hazard event in 2005 in Hunan Province [J]. Meteorological Monthly (in Chinese), 32 (2): 87-91.
[18]  王遵娅, 张强, 陈峪, 等. 2008. 2008年初我国低温雨雪冰冻灾害的气候特征 [J]. 气候变化研究进展, 4 (2): 63-67. Wang Zunya, Zhang Qiang, Chen Yu, et al. 2008. Characters of meteorological disasters caused by the extreme synoptic process in early 2008 over China [J]. Adv. Clim. Change Res. (in Chinese), 4 (2): 63-67.
[19]  杨贵名, 孔期, 毛冬艳, 等. 2008. 2008年初“低温雨雪冰冻”灾害天气的持续性原因分析 [J]. 气象学报, 66 (5): 836-849. Yang Guiming, Kong Qi, Mao Dongyan, et al. 2008. Analysis of the long-lasting cryogenic freezing rain and snow weather in the beginning of 2008 [J]. Acta Meteorologica Sinica (in Chinese), 66 (5): 836-849.
[20]  张宗婕, 钱维宏. 2012. 中国冬半年区域持续性低温事件的前期信号 [J]. 大气科学, 36 (6): 1269-1279. Zhang Zongjie, Qian Weihong. 2012. Precursors of regional prolonged low temperature events in China during winter half year [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 36 (6): 1269-1279.
[21]  赵思雄, 孙建华. 2008. 2008年初南方雨雪冰冻天气的环流场与多尺度特征 [J]. 气候与环境研究, 13 (4): 351-377. Zhao Sixiong, Sun Jianhua. 2008. Multi-scale systems and conceptual model on freezing rain and snow storm over southern China during January-February 2008 [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 13 (4): 351-377.
[22]  朱红, 黄玲琳. 2003. 南方大雪预报温度条件浅析 [J]. 浙江气象科技, 24 (1): 26-28. Zhu Hong, Huang Linglin. 2003. Analysis on conditions of temperature forecast for winter snow storm in southern China [J]. Zhejiang Meteorology (in Chinese), 24 (1): 26-28.
[23]  朱乾根, 林锦瑞, 寿绍文, 等. 2000. 天气学原理和方法 (第三版) [M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 649pp. Zhu Qian\'gen, Lin Jinrui, Shou Shaowen, et al. 2000. Principles and Methods of Synoptic Meteorology (3rd ed.)[M]. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 649pp.
[24]  高辉, 陈丽娟, 贾小龙, 等. 2008. 2008年1月我国大范围低温雨雪冰冻灾害分析 II成因分析 [J]. 气象, 34 (4): 101-106. Gao Hui, Chen Lijuan, Jia Xiaolong, et al. 2008. Analysis of the severe cold surge, ice-snow and frozen disasters in South China during January 2008: II. Possible climatic causes [J]. Meteorological Monthly (in Chinese), 34 (4): 101-106.
[25]  矫梅燕, 龚建东, 周兵, 等. 2006. 天气预报的业务技术进展 [J]. 应用气象学报, 17 (5): 594-601. Jiao Meiyan, Gong Jiandong, Zhou Bing, et al. 2006. An overview of the development of weather forecasting [J]. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science (in Chinese), 17 (5): 594-601.
[26]  Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, et al. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project [J]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77: 437-470.
[27]  李灿, 张端禹, 冯明, 等. 2009. 南方极端低温雨雪冰冻过程天气学特征分析 [J]. 暴雨灾害, 28 (4): 321-327. Li Can, Zhang Duanyu, Feng Ming, et al. 2009. Analysis of synoptic characteristic of extremely low temperature and snow-ice weather in South China [J]. Torrential Rain and Disasters (in Chinese), 28 (4): 321-327.
[28]  Qian W H, Tang S Q. 2010. Identifying global monsoon troughs and global atmospheric centers of action on a pentad scale [J]. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 3 (1): 1-6.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133