This experiment investigated the relationship between tobacco canopy spectral characteristics and tobacco biomass. A completely randomized design, with plantings on the 15th of September, October, November, and December, each with 9 variety × fertiliser management treatments, was used. Starting from 6 weeks after planting, reflectance measurements were taken from one row, using a multispectral radiometer. Individual plants from the other 3 rows were also measured, and the above ground whole plants were harvested and dried for reflectance/dry mass regression analysis. The central row was harvested, cured, and weighed. Both the maximum NDVI and mass at untying declined with later planting and so was the mass-NDVI coefficient of determination. The best fitting curves for the yield-NDVI correlations were quadratic. September reflectance values from the October crop reflectance were statistically similar ( ), while those for the November and the December crops were significantly different ( ) from the former two. Mass at untying and NDVI showed a quadratic relationship in all the three tested varieties. The optimum stage for collecting spectral data for tobacco yield estimation was the 8–12 weeks after planting. The results could be useful in accurate monitoring of crop development patterns for yield forecasting purposes. 1. Background Crop yield estimation in many countries is based on conventional techniques of data collection and ground-based field reports [1]. A variety of mathematical models relating to crop yield have also been proposed in recent years for many crops [2, 3]. In Zimbabwe crop surveys are mostly used in estimating crop yield [4]. The method is costly, time consuming, and is prone to large errors due to incomplete ground observations, leading to poor crop yield assessment and crop area estimations [1]. Remote sensing data has the potential and the capacity to provide spatial information in a global scale of features and phenomena on earth on an almost real-time basis [1]. Use of remote sensing techniques has the potential to provide quantitative and timely information on agricultural crops over large areas, and many different methods have been developed to estimate crop yields [5–7]. In general, the use of remote sensing was aimed at reducing the number of samples of ground surveys, making it less expensive [8]. With the application of remote sensing in agriculture, there is potential not only in identifying crop classes but also in estimating crop yield [1]. Spectral measurements from crops can be used in estimating crop parameters such
References
[1]
C. A. Reynolds, M. Yitayew, D. C. Slack, C. F. Hutchinson, A. Huetes, and M. S. Petersen, “Estimating crop yields and production by integrating the FAO Crop Specific Water Balance model with real-time satellite data and ground-based ancillary data,” International Journal of Remote Sensing, vol. 21, no. 18, pp. 3487–3508, 2000.
[2]
S. Landau, R. A. C. Mitchell, V. Barnett, J. J. Colls, J. Craigon, and R. W. Payne, “A parsimonious, multiple-regression model of wheat yield response to environment,” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 101, no. 2-3, pp. 151–166, 2000.
[3]
T. R. Wheeler, P. Q. Craufurd, R. H. Ellis, J. R. Porter, and P. V. Vara Prasad, “Temperature variability and the yield of annual crops,” Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, vol. 82, no. 1–3, pp. 159–167, 2000.
[4]
SADC, Selected Technical Papers: Methodology of Food Crop Forecasting in SAD, SADC Secretariat, Gaborone, Botswana, 2009.
[5]
P. C. Doraiswamy, B. Akhmedovb, L. Beardc, A. Sterna, and R. Mueller, “Operational prediction of crop yields using MODIS data and products,” in Proceedings of the International Achives of Photogrametry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, vol. 38, pp. 45–50, 2011.
[6]
F. Tao, M. Yokozawa, Z. Zhang, Y. Xu, and Y. Hayashi, “Remote sensing of crop production in China by production efficiency models: models comparisons, estimates and uncertainties,” Ecological Modelling, vol. 183, no. 4, pp. 385–396, 2005.
[7]
P. C. Doraiswamy, J. L. Hatfield, T. J. Jackson, B. Akhmedov, J. Prueger, and A. Stern, “Crop condition and yield simulations using Landsat and MODIS,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 92, no. 4, pp. 548–559, 2004.
[8]
F. Rembold, C. Atzberger, I. Savin, and O. Rojas, “Using low resolution satellite imagery for Yield prediction. and yield anomaly detection,” Remote Sensing, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 1704–1733, 2013.
[9]
A. D. Baez-Gonzalez, J. R. Kiniry, S. J. Maas et al., “Large-area maize yield forecasting using leaf area index based yield model,” Agronomy Journal, vol. 97, no. 2, pp. 418–425, 2005.
C. J. Tucker, “Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 127–150, 1979.
[12]
J. Verrelst, B. Koetz, M. Kneubühler, and M. Schaepman, “Directional sensitivity analysis of vegetation indices from multiangular CHRIS/PROBA data,” in Proceedings of the ISPRS Commission VII Mid-Term Symposium, N. Kerle and A. Skidmore, Eds., Enschede, The Netherlands.
[13]
D. Gross, Monitoring Agricultural Biomass Using NDVI Time Series, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy, 2005.
[14]
A. Vi?a, A. A. Gitelson, A. L. Nguy-Robertson, and Y. Peng, “Comparison of different vegetation indices for the remote assessment of green leaf area index of crops,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 115, no. 12, pp. 3468–3478, 2011.
[15]
S. C. Liew, “Principles of Remote Sensing,” Centre for Remote Imaging, Sensing and Processing, National University of Singapore, Singapore, 2001, http://www.crisp.nus.edu.sg/~research/tutorial/rsmain.htm.
[16]
J. T. Woolley, “Reflectance and Transmittance of Light by Leaves,” Plant Physiology, vol. 47, pp. 656–662, 1970.
[17]
A. K. Prasad, L. Chai, R. P. Singh, and M. Kafatos, “Crop yield estimation model for Iowa using remote sensing and surface parameters,” International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 26–33, 2006.
[18]
J. U. H. Eitel, R. F. Keefe, D. S. Long, A. S. Davis, and L. A. Vierling, “Active ground optical remote sensing for improved monitoring of seedling stress in nurseries,” Sensors, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 2843–2850, 2010.
[19]
X. Yin, A. McClure, and D. Tyler, “Relationships of plant height and canopy NDVI with nitrogen nutrition and yields of corn,” in Proceedings of the 19th World Congress of Soil Science, Soil Solutions for a Changing World, Brisbane, Australia, August 2010.
[20]
R. D. Jackson, P. N. Slater, and P. J. Pinter Jr., “Discrimination of growth and water stress in wheat by various vegetation indices through clear and turbid atmospheres,” Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 187–208, 1983.
[21]
C. S. Muthy, S. Jonna, P. V. Raju, S. Thurivengadachari, and K. A. Hakeem, “Crop Yield Prediction in Command Area using Satellite Data,” GISdevelopment.net, AARS, ACRS 1994, Poster Session.
[22]
T. Engel, G. Hoogenboom, J. W. Jones, and P. W. Wilkens, “AEGIS/WIN: a computer program for the application of crop simulation models across geographic areas,” Agronomy Journal, vol. 89, no. 6, pp. 919–928, 1997.
[23]
Tobacco Industries Marketing Board (T.I.M.B), Annual Report and Accounts For the Year Ended 30 June, 2011, T.I.M.B, Harare, Zimbabwe, 2012.
[24]
C. Atzberger, “Advances in remote sensing of agriculture: context description, existing operational monitoring systems and major information needs,” Remote Sensing, vol. 5, pp. 949–981, 2012.
[25]
C. Ferencz, P. Bognár, J. Lichtenberger et al., “Crop yield estimation by satellite remote sensing,” International Journal of Remote Sensing, vol. 25, no. 20, pp. 4113–4149, 2004.
[26]
S. A. Mohammad, “Spectral indices and agronomic variables relationship of cotton (Gossypium sps.) under sowing dates and nitrogen levels,” Asian Conference for Remote Sensing, 2008, http://www.gisdevelopment.net/application/agriculture/yield/mi08_305.htm.
[27]
K. Dalsted and L. Queen, “Interpreting remote sensing data,” The Site-Specific Management Guideline SSMG-26.
[28]
H. Zhang, H. Chen, and G. Zhou, “The model of wheat yield forecast based on modis-ndvi: a case study of xinxiang,” in Proceedings of the ISPRS Annals of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences Congress, Melbourne, Australia, August 2012.
[29]
I. W. Nuarsa, F. Nishio, and H. Chiharu, “Rice yield estimation using landsat ETM+ data and field observation,” Journal of Agricultural Science, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 45–56, 2012.
[30]
R. C. Nageswara-Rao, J. H. Williams, M. V. K. Sivakumar, and K. D. R. Wadia, “Effect of water deficit at different growth phases of groundnut. II. Response to drought during pre-flowering phas,” Agronomy Journal, vol. 80, pp. 431–438, 1988.
[31]
W. Gunnula, M. Kosittrakun, T. L. Righetti, P. Weerathaworn, and M. Prabpan, “Normalized difference vegetation index relationships with rainfall patterns and yield in small plantings of rain-fed sugarcane,” Australian Journal of Crop Science, vol. 5, no. 13, pp. 1852–1857, 2011.
[32]
D. M. Gates, H. J. Keegan, J. C. Schleter, and V. R. Weidner, “Spectral properties of plants,” Applied Optics, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 11–20, 1965.
[33]
H. Qiao, W. Mei, Y. Yang, W. Yong, J. Zhang, and Y. Hua, “Study on relationship between tobacco canopy spectra and LAI,” IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, vol. 345, no. 2, pp. 650–657, 2011.
[34]
V. Povkh, G. L. Shljakhova, Garbuzov, and E. Vorobeychik, “Operational monitoring of the agricultural production based on the observational MODIS data as a support for improving regional planning,” in Proceedings Of The International Symposium On Remote Sensing Of Environment, South Regional Information and Analytical Center (SRIA-Center), Rostov-on-Don, RUSSIA, 2005.
[35]
D. Jiang, N.-B. Wang, X.-H. Yang, and J.-H. Wang, “Study on the interaction between NDVI profile and the growing status of crops,” Chinese Geographical Science, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 62–65, 2003.
[36]
I. C. T. International, Multispectral Radiometers, ICT International, 2003.
[37]
C. Yang, J. H. Everitt, and J. M. Bradford, “Using high resolution QuickBird satellite imagery for cotton yield estimation,” in Proceedings of the ASAE Annual International Meeting, pp. 893–904, August 2004.