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OALib Journal期刊
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Viabilidad para pronósticos hidrológicos de niveles diarios, semanales y decadales en colombia

Keywords: hydrological forecasting, mathematical modelling, optimal linear adaptive combination.

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Abstract:

this paper analyses the feasibility of forecasting daily, weekly and ten-day water-levels at 20 hydrological stations forming part of the monitoring network supporting the institute of hydrology, meteorology and environmental studies? (ideam) alert service in colombia (http://www.ideam.gov.co). such viability was determined by a set of orthogonal performance criteria and implementing optimally adaptive linear combinations (oalc) was recommended for this study as a viable operator for configuring a real-time hydrological forecast system. it is shown that the forecast for daily, weekly and ten-day levels had satisfactory viability for 70% of the cases studied.

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