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Interciencia  2006 

Petróleo Versus Energías Alternas: Dilema Futuro

Keywords: celda de combustible, consumo , crisis energética, fuentes alternas de energía, petróleo.

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Abstract:

there are evidences that point out towards a permanent oil crisis. in accordance with this premise, the following issues are analyzed: 1) the origin of the higher energy demand; the consumption per region and per habitant, as well as the motorization per region will be shown and compared with those from the usa. the effects of the developing economies on this aspect will be evaluated. 2) the characteristics of the oil business vs its growing demand, as well as the proven reserves and the refining business. 3) the opinions and strategies of some oil companies (shell, chevron, exxon-mobil y bp) on this matter. two possible solutions to the oil crisis in the short-medium term are pointed out: heavy / extra-heavy oil and methane hydrate exploitation. emphasis should be placed on education and r&d in alternative energy sources, as well as in the substitution of the current use of petroleum by the custom of a nomadic society. the importance of the oil and alternative energy sources dilemma will become more important in the medium and long term. the fuel cell technology and the "long term american strategy", as well as the alternative european community projects, are discussed. an eclectic position about the energy source diversification as a solution to the permanent energy crisis is offered, and a possible energetic strategy for the long term is commented.

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