全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

ESG Performance as a Buffer against Market Volatility: Quantitative Evidence from Global Equity Markets

DOI: 10.4236/vp.2026.122022, PP. 370-400

Keywords: ESG Performance, Market Volatility, Idiosyncratic Risk, DCC-GARCH, Panel Data, Sustainable Investing, Portfolio Risk, Quantitative Finance

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

Background: The integration of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria into investment decision-making has accelerated considerably in the post-pandemic era, driven by both regulatory mandates and growing investor awareness of non-financial risks. Despite this proliferation, empirical evidence on whether superior ESG performance systematically attenuates market volatility remains fragmented, methodologically heterogeneous, and regionally uneven. Objective: This study investigates the relationship between firm-level ESG performance and stock return volatility, with particular emphasis on whether high-ESG portfolios serve as a structural buffer against market-wide and idiosyncratic volatility shocks. We additionally examine whether this buffering effect is moderated by market conditions, firm size, leverage, and regional market development. Methods: Using a balanced panel dataset of 3450 firm-year observations drawn from 22 countries across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific over the period 2018-2023, we employ a multi-method quantitative strategy combining i) two-way fixed-effects panel regressions, ii) Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC-GARCH) modeling for volatility connectedness, iii) System Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to address endogeneity, and iv) quantile regression to capture heterogeneous effects across the volatility distribution. ESG scores are sourced from Refinitiv Eikon, MSCI, and Sustainalytics, with composite scores constructed via Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to mitigate provider divergence. Results: High-ESG-performing firms exhibit statistically significant reductions in idiosyncratic volatility (β = ?0.147, p < 0.001) and conditional return variance (DCC coefficient = ?0.089, p < 0.01) relative to low-ESG peers. The buffering effect is most pronounced during periods of elevated market stress (VIX > 25), in developed markets, and for the Environmental and Governance pillars specifically. Systematic (market) beta is not significantly reduced by ESG performance, suggesting the mechanism operates primarily through firm-specific risk channels. GMM estimates confirm robustness to endogeneity, and quantile regressions reveal that the protective effect intensifies in the upper tail of the volatility distribution. Conclusions: ESG performance functions as a meaningful, though partial, hedge against market volatility, primarily operating through idiosyncratic risk reduction. Investors, portfolio managers, and regulators should recognize ESG

References

[1]  Amihud, Y. (2002). Illiquidity and Stock Returns: Cross-Section and Time-Series Effects. Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31-56.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s1386-4181(01)00024-6
[2]  Antoncic, M., & Herring, R. J. (2022). ESG and Systemic Risk: Toward a New Framework. Journal of Financial Stability, 61, Article 101021.
[3]  Beloskar, V. D., & Rao, S. V. D. N. (2022). Did ESG Save the Day? Evidence from India during the COVID-19 Crisis. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 30, 73-107.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-022-09369-5
[4]  Berg, F., K?lbel, J. F., & Rigobon, R. (2022). Aggregate Confusion: The Divergence of ESG Ratings. Review of Finance, 26, 1315-1344.
https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfac033
[5]  Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(98)00009-8
[6]  Bofinger, Y., Heyden, K. J., & Rock, B. (2022). Corporate Social Responsibility and Market Efficiency: Evidence from ESG and Misvaluation Measures. Journal of Banking & Finance, 134, Article 106322.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106322
[7]  Bouteska, A., Hajek, P., Fisher, B., & Abedin, M. Z. (2023). ESG Performance and Firm Financial Performance: A Review and Research Agenda. Finance Research Letters, 56, 104-116.
[8]  Cai, Y. (2025). Impact of ESG News Sentiment Analysis Based on Natural Language Processing on Investment Portfolio Performance. Applied and Computational Engineering, 14, 112-128.
[9]  Dash, A., & Rout, H. S. (2025). Unpacking the ESG-Financial Performance Nexus: The Moderating Effect of Volatility on Indian Companies. Business and Society Review, 130, 444-464.
https://doi.org/10.1111/basr.70020
[10]  De Spiegeleer, J., H?cht, S., Jakubowski, D., Reyners, S., & Schoutens, W. (2023). ESG: A New Dimension of Risk. Journal of Risk, 25, 1-31.
[11]  Diebold, F. X., & Yilmaz, K. (2012). Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers. International Journal of Forecasting, 28, 57-66.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.02.006
[12]  Dimson, E., Marsh, P., & Staunton, M. (2022). Divergent ESG Ratings. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 47, 75-87.
https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.2020.1.175
[13]  El Ghoul, S., Guedhami, O., Kim, H., & Park, K. (2022). Corporate Environmental Responsibility and the Cost of Capital: International Evidence. Journal of Business Ethics, 175, 307-329.
[14]  Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20, 339-350.
https://doi.org/10.1198/073500102288618487
[15]  Freeman, R. E. (1984). Strategic Management: A Stakeholder Approach. Pitman.
[16]  Fung, J. K. W., Lam, F. Y. E., & Tse, Y. (2024). The Impact of ESG Rating on Hedging Downside Risks: Evidence from a Weight-Tilted Hang Seng Index. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17, Article 57.
https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm17020057
[17]  Garman, M. B., & Klass, M. J. (1980). On the Estimation of Security Price Volatilities from Historical Data. The Journal of Business, 53, 67-78.
https://doi.org/10.1086/296072
[18]  Giese, G. (2025). ESG Ratings in Global Equity Markets: A Long-Term Performance Review. Journal of Impact and ESG Investing, 5, 1-22.
[19]  Glossner, S. (2023). Repeat Offenders: ESG Incident Recidivism and Investor Underreaction. Journal of Financial Economics, 149, 372-394.
[20]  Hapsari, U., Siregar, H., Novianti, T., & Zulbainarni, N. (2025). Analysis of LQ45 and ESG Stock Return Volatility on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi Kesatuan, 13, 1001-1012.
https://doi.org/10.37641/jiakes.v13i4.3533
[21]  Hong, H., Karolyi, G. A., & Scheinkman, J. A. (2023). Climate Finance. Review of Financial Studies, 36, 1315-1363.
[22]  Iannone, B., Duttilo, P., & Gattone, S. A. (2025). Evaluating the Resilience of ESG Investments in European Markets during Turmoil Periods.
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2501.03269
[23]  Ilhan, E., Sautner, Z., & Vilkov, G. (2022). Carbon Tail Risk. The Review of Financial Studies, 34, 1540-1571.
https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaa071
[24]  In, S. Y., Park, K., Park, Y., & Monk, A. (2022). Is “Being Green” Rewarded in the Market? An Empirical Investigation of Decarbonization Risk and Stock Returns. Journal of Cleaner Production, 380, 134-151.
[25]  Jensen, K., & van der Laan, G. (2023). ESG Integration and Portfolio Tail Risk: Evidence from Factor Investing. Journal of Alternative Investments, 25, 1-19.
[26]  Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the Firm: Managerial Behavior, Agency Costs and Ownership Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 305-360.
https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(76)90026-x
[27]  Koenker, R., & Bassett, G. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46, 33-50.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1913643
[28]  Krueger, P., Sautner, Z., Tang, D. Y., & Zhong, R. (2023). The Effects of Mandatory ESG Disclosure around the World. Journal of Accounting Research, 62, 1795-1847.
https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-679x.12548
[29]  Onomakpo, H. E. O. (2025). ESG Performance, Financial Risk, and Returns in the Renewable Energy Sector: A Multi-Method Analysis of Heterogeneous Impacts.
https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202507.0513
[30]  Pastor, L., Stambaugh, R. F., & Taylor, L. A. (2022). Sustainable Investing in Equilibrium. Journal of Financial Economics, 142, 550-571.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.12.011
[31]  Pedersen, L. H., Fitzgibbons, S., & Pomorski, L. (2022). Responsible Investing: The ESG-Efficient Frontier. Journal of Financial Economics, 142, 572-597.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.11.001
[32]  Serafeim, G., & Yoon, A. (2023). Which Corporate ESG News Does the Market React to? Financial Analysts Journal, 78, 59-78.
https://doi.org/10.1080/0015198x.2021.1973879
[33]  Shaik, M., & Rehman, M. Z. (2022). The Dynamic Volatility Connectedness of Major Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Stock Indices: Evidence Based on DCC-GARCH Model. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 30, 231-246.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-022-09393-5
[34]  Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87, 355-374.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010
[35]  Suchman, M. C. (1995). Managing Legitimacy: Strategic and Institutional Approaches. The Academy of Management Review, 20, 571-610.
https://doi.org/10.2307/258788
[36]  Sudirman, S., Normiyati, N., Sumanto, D. et al. (2025). The Effect of ESG Scores on Financial Performance and Stock Volatility in Emerging Markets: Empirical Evidence from ASEAN-5.
https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202510.0766.v1
[37]  Tan, Y., Zhu, Z., & Li, X. (2022). ESG Performance and Corporate Risk-Taking: Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 75, Article 101867.
[38]  Windmeijer, F. (2005). A Finite Sample Correction for the Variance of Linear Efficient Two-Step GMM Estimators. Journal of Econometrics, 126, 25-51.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.02.005
[39]  Xu, X. (2023). Has ESG Performance Reduced Stock Price Volatility. Journal of Innovation and Development, 3, 59-66.
https://doi.org/10.54097/jid.v3i1.8421
[40]  Xu, Z. (2024). The Impact of ESG Performance on Stock Market Volatility. Journal of Applied Economics and Policy Studies, 15, 11-16.
https://doi.org/10.54254/2977-5701/2024.19656
[41]  Yu, E. P., & Xiao, Y. (2022). ESG Performance and Firm Value: A Stakeholder Theory Perspective on Chinese Listed Firms. Journal of Business Ethics, 178, 401-418.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133