This paper analyzes the intervention mechanisms and strategic consequences of U.S. artificial intelligence (AI) companies in U.S. government foreign, military, and diplomatic decision-making during the Trump administration’s second term. It argues that AI firms and related chip and software companies—represented by Palantir, Anthropic, OpenAI, Nvidia, and xAI—have penetrated the formulation and implementation of national foreign policy through technology embedding, personnel circulation, and data sharing, forming a tight decision-making alliance with the White House and the Department of War. This paper terms this configuration the “New Silicon Triangle” to distinguish it from the established use of the same phrase to describe the semiconductor relationship among the United States, Chinese Mainland, and the Taiwan region. While the New Silicon Triangle ostensibly enhances executive agility and accelerates resource allocation in great-power technological competition, it systematically erodes democratic accountability, fragments foreign-policy coherence, depletes soft-power resources, and subordinates strategic deliberation to commercial and computational logics. By identifying four embedding mechanisms—formal institutional restructuring, algorithmic monopoly over military power, algorithm-driven populist mobilization, and the reshaping of decision-making architecture—and five strategic consequences—cognitive closure, alliance centrifugality, policy fragmentation, soft-power depletion, and domestic democratic erosion—the paper extends the classical iron-triangle tradition, brings the algorithmic-politics literature into dialogue with Foreign Policy Analysis, and offers the first systematic mapping of Trump-era institutional innovations (DOGE, the reconstituted PCAST under tech-capital leadership, Detachment 201) as a coherent restructuring of U.S. foreign-policy decision-making. The paper concludes that the New Silicon Triangle is not a solution to the American strategic predicament but a profound manifestation of it.
References
[1]
Adams, G. (1981). The Politics of Defense Contracting: The Iron Triangle. Routledge.
[2]
Alic, J. A. (2021). The U.S. Politico-Military-Industrial Complex. In E. Hannah (Ed.), Ox-ford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. Oxford Academic. https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.1870
[3]
Allison, G. T. (1971). Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown and Company
[4]
Avant, D. D. (2005). The Market for Force: The Consequences of Privatizing Security. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511490866
[5]
Boulanin, V., & Verbruggen, M. (2017). Mapping the Development of Autonomy in Weapon Systems. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). https://www.sipri.org/publications/2017/other-publications/mapping-development-autonomy-weapon-systems
[6]
Carpenter, D., & Moss, D. A. (2014). Preventing Regulatory Capture: Special Interest Influence and How to Limit It. Cambridge University Press.
[7]
Cater, D. (1964). Power in Washington. Random House.
[8]
Coyne, C. J., & Goodman, N. (2022). The Military-Industrial Complex. SSRNElectronicJournal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4135811
[9]
Crawford, K. (2021). Atlas of AI: Power, Politics, and the Planetary Costs of Artificial Intelligence. Yale University Press.
Dillman, M. (2026). The New Iron Triangle: How Google, the Pentagon, and MITRE Built the Digital Surveillance State. Medium. https://mitchelldillman.medium.com/the-new-iron-triangle-how-google-the-pentagon-and-mitre-built-the-digital-surveillance-state-3412d025e5f9
[12]
Eisenhower, D. D. (1961). Farewell Address to the Nation. National Archives. https://www.archives.gov/milestone-documents/president-dwight-d-eisenhowers-farewell-address
[13]
Executive Order 14347 (2025). Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Restores the United States Department of War. The White House. https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/09/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-restores-the-united-states-department-of-war/
[14]
Halperin, M. H. (1974). Bureaucratic Politics and Foreign Policy. Brookings Institution.
[15]
Heclo, H. (1978). Issue Networks and the Executive Establishment. In A. King (Ed.), The new American Political System (pp. 87-124). American Enterprise Institute.
[16]
Horowitz, M. C. (2018). Artificial Intelligence, International Competition, and the Balance of Power. Texas National Security Review, 1, 36-57. https://doi.org/10.15781/T2639KP49
[17]
Howell, W. G. (2003). Power without Persuasion: The Politics of Direct Presidential Action. Princeton University Press. https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400874392
[18]
Hudson, V. M. (2014). Foreign Policy Analysis: Classic and Contemporary Theory (2nd ed.). Rowman & Littlefield.
[19]
Khan, M. S., Shoaib, A., & Arledge, E. (2024). How to Promote AI in the US Federal Government: Insights from Policy Process Frameworks. GovernmentInformationQuarterly,41, Article ID: 101908. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.giq.2023.101908
[20]
Kreps, S., & Kriner, D. (2023). How AI Threatens Democracy. JournalofDemocracy,34, 122-131. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2023.a907693
[21]
Lukes, S. (2005). Power: A Radical View (2nd ed.). Palgrave Macmillan.
[22]
Mayer, K. R. (2001). With the Stroke of a Pen: Executive Orders and Presidential Power. Princeton University Press.
[23]
NPR (2025). Trump Tech Adviser David Sacks under Fire over Vast AI Investments. https://www.npr.org/2025/12/12/nx-s1-5631823/david-sacks-ai-advisor-investment-conflicts
[24]
Pasquale, F. (2015). The Black Box Society: The Secret Algorithms That Control Money and Information. Harvard University Press. https://doi.org/10.4159/harvard.9780674736061
[25]
Roland, A. (2021). Delta of Power: The Military-Industrial Complex in the Digital Age. Johns Hopkins University Press.
[26]
Scharre, P. (2018). Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War. W. W. Norton.
[27]
Schwarz, E. (2018). Death Machines: The Ethics of Violent Technologies. Manchester University Press. https://doi.org/10.7765/9781526114839
[28]
Singer, P. W. (2003). Corporate Warriors: The Rise of the Privatized Military Industry. Cornell University Press.
[29]
Skowronek, S. (1993). The Politics Presidents Make: Leadership from John Adams to George Bush. Harvard University Press.
[30]
Stigler, G. J. (1971). The Theory of Economic Regulation. TheBellJournalofEconomicsandManagementScience,2, 3-21. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003160
[31]
Strange, S. (1988). States and Markets: An Introduction to International Political Economy. Continuum.
[32]
Suchman, L. (2020). Algorithmic Warfare and the Reinvention of Accuracy. CriticalStudiesonSecurity,8, 175-187. https://doi.org/10.1080/21624887.2020.1760587
[33]
Xinhua News. (2026). Xi Jinping Meets with American Business Leaders Accompanying US President Trump on His Visit to China. https://www.news.cn/20260514/d3063952b09240c9ad59e2d2ce57a41c/c.html
[34]
Yeung, K. (2018). Algorithmic Regulation: A Critical Interrogation. Regulation&Governance,12, 505-523. https://doi.org/10.1111/rego.12158
[35]
Zuboff, S. (2019). The Age of Surveillance Capitalism: The Fight for a Human Future at the New Frontier of Power. PublicAffairs.