全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Use of the Daily Temperatures in Estimating the Climate Change Indices for 1985-2023 in Saudi Arabia

DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2026.151001, PP. 1-25

Keywords: Maximum Daily Temperatures, Minimum Daily Temperature, Homogeneity Test, Variations, Trends, T-Student Test, Mann-Kendall Test, Saudi Arabia

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

Climate change poses significant economic, social, political and environmental challenges, with impacts more effective on dry areas. This research presents an analysis of daily temperatures used in determining the trends of maximum and minimum temperatures (Tx and Tm). The data was collected from NCM (National Center of Meteorology) for 39 years (1985-2023). This study addresses data by analyzing the variability by using the coefficient of variation (CV), homogeneity by applying three tests (Pettit, SNHT and Buishand). The Semi-average and Man-Kendall methods were used to analyze long-term trends in temperature in 10 regions of Saudi Arabia from 1985 to 2023 using Mann-Kendall test. The results of (Tx) frequency analysis showed that the temperature from 10?C to 20?C is the main class at Abha, from 15?C to 25?C at Riyadh and Yanbu, from 20?C to 30?C at seven stations during 1985-2023. The (Tm) from 20?C to 30?C is the main class at Rafha and Al Hassa, from 15?C to 25?C at Al Jouf and Al Bahah, and the class (10?C - 20?C) at Qurayate and Abha. The spatial variability reveals that the maximum Temperature (Tx) higher than 30?C appears in Al Hassa, Yanbu, Riyadh, Rafha and Tabouk, while the (Tx) lower than the 30?C appears at the northern stations and Assir. The lower minimum temperatures (Tm) are greater than 20?C in Eastern Province) and (Western coast), but the minimum temperatures ranged between 15?C and 18?C were recorded in different regions. From Pettit’s test, the computed p-value of maximum daily temperatures (Tx) is greater than the significant level (alpha: 0.05) at the total of stations, except Turayf. The results of SNHT test also consistent with the results of Pettit’s test and indicate the homogeneous data at all stations. The results of Buishand’s test confirmed the results of SNHT test. The results of the T-student test revealed three and seven insignificant increased trends and seven insignificant decreased trends of maximum temperatures, respectively. The results of the semi-averages also showed four and three insignificant decreased and increased trends of the minimum daily temperature, respectively. However, the minimum temperatures showed the significant and increased trend in Abha, Al-Ahsa and Tabuk. This study presents the spatial variation of daily temperatures using the statistical tests for analyzing the data recorded during the period 1985-2023. The integrated employment of the statistical methods and gives more accurate

References

[1]  Abegaz, W. B., & Endalew Assefa Abera, E. A. (2020). Temperature and Rainfall Trends in North Eastern Ethiopia. International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, 25, 97-103.
https://doi.org/10.19080/ijesnr.2020.25.556163
[2]  Al Dughairi, A. (2025). Climate Change Assessment in Middle and Northern Saudi Arabia: Alarming Trends. Dysona Applied Sciences, 6, 60-69.
[3]  Alexandersson, H. (1986). A Homogeneity Test Applied to Precipitation Data. Journal of Climatology, 6, 661-675.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370060607
[4]  Alkolibi, F. M. (2002). Possible Effects of Global Warming on Agriculture and Water Resources in Saudi Arabia: Impacts and Responses. Climatic Change, 54, 225-245.
https://doi.org/10.1023/a:1015777403153
[5]  Almazroui, M. (2013). Simulation of present and future climate of Saudi Arabia using a regional climate model (PRECIS). International Journal of Climatology, 33, 2247-2259.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3721
[6]  Almazroui, M. (2020). Changes in Temperature Trends and Extremes over Saudi Arabia for the Period 1978-2019. Advances in Meteorology, 2020, 1-21.
https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8828421
[7]  Al-Mutairi, M., Labban, A., Abdeldym, A., & Abdel Basset, H. (2023). Trend Analysis and Fluctuations of Winter Temperature over Saudi Arabia. Climate, 11, Article 67.
https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11030067
[8]  Buishand, T. A. (1982). Some Methods for Testing the Homogeneity of Rainfall Records. Journal of Hydrology, 58, 11-27.
https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(82)90066-x
[9]  Chowdhury, S., & Al-Zahrani, M. (2013). Reuse of Treated Wastewater in Saudi Arabia: An Assessment Framework. Journal of Water Reuse and Desalination, 3, 297-314.
https://doi.org/10.2166/wrd.2013.082
[10]  del Río, S., Fraile, R., Herrero, L., & Penas, A. (2007). Analysis of Recent Trends in Mean Maximum and Minimum Temperatures in a Region of the NW of Spain (Castilla Y León). Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 90, 1-12.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-006-0278-9
[11]  Domonkos, P., Kyselý, J., Piotrowicz, K., Petrovic, P., & Likso, T. (2003). Variability of Extreme Temperature Events in South-Central Europe during the 20th Century and Its Relationship with Large‐Scale Circulation. International Journal of Climatology, 23, 987-1010.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.929
[12]  Elagib, N. A., & Addin Abdu, A. S. (1997). Climate Variability and Aridity in Bahrain. Journal of Arid Environments, 36, 405-419.
https://doi.org/10.1006/jare.1996.0237
[13]  Folland, C. K., Karl, T. R., Christy, J. R., Clark, R. A., Gruza, G. V., Jouzel, J. et al. (2001) Observed Climate Variability and Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. In: G. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van de Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, & C. A. Johnson, Eds., Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Climate Change (pp. 99-181). Cambridge University Press.
[14]  Freiwan, M., & Kadioǧlu, M. (2008). Climate Variability in Jordan. International Journal of Climatology, 28, 69-89.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1512
[15]  Hasanean, H. M. (2001). Fluctuations of Surface Air Temperature in the Eastern Mediterranean. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 68, 75-87.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s007040170055
[16]  Hawkins, P. M. (1977). Testing a Sequence of Observations for a Shift in Location. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 72, 180-185.
https://doi.org/10.2307/2286934
[17]  Jarušková, D. (1996). Change-Point Detection in Meteorological Measurement. Monthly Weather Review, 124, 1535-1543.
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1996)124<1535:cpdimm>2.0.co;2
[18]  Kabo-Bah, A., Diji, C., Nokoe, K., Mulugetta, Y., Obeng-Ofori, D., & Akpoti, K. (2016). Multiyear Rainfall and Temperature Trends in the Volta River Basin and Their Potential Impact on Hydropower Generation in Ghana. Climate, 4, Article 49.
https://doi.org/10.3390/cli4040049
[19]  Karl, T. R., Knight, R. W., Gallo, K. P., Peterson, T. C., Jones, P. D., Kukla, G. et al. (1993). A New Perspective on Recent Global Warming: Asymmetric Trends of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 74, 1007-1023.
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1993)074<1007:anporg>2.0.co;2
[20]  Kendall, M., & Gibons, J. D. (1990). Rank Correlation Methods (5th ed.). Edward Arnold.
[21]  Nasrallah, H. A., Nieplova, E., & Ramadan, E. (2004). Warm Season Extreme Temperature Events in Kuwait. Journal of Arid Environments, 56, 357-371.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-1963(03)00007-7
[22]  Nicholls, N., & Collins, D. (2006). Observed Climate Change in Australia over the Past Century. Energy & Environment, 17, 1-12.
https://doi.org/10.1260/095830506776318804
[23]  Nkrumah, F., Klutse, N. A. B., Adukpo, D. C., Owusu, K., Quagraine, K. A., Owusu, A. et al. (2014). Rainfall Variability over Ghana: Model versus Rain Gauge Observation. International Journal of Geosciences, 5, 673-683.
https://doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2014.57060
[24]  Odnoletkova, N., & Patzek, T. W. (2021). Data-Driven Analysis of Climate Change in Saudi Arabia: Trends in Temperature Extremes and Human Comfort Indicators. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 60, 1055-1070.
https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-20-0273.1
[25]  Partal, T., & Kahya, E. (2006). Trend Analysis in Turkish Precipitation Data. Hydrological Processes, 20, 2011-2026.
https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5993
[26]  Pettitt, A. N. (1979). A Non-Parametric Approach to the Change-Point Problem. Applied Statistics, 28, 126-135.
https://doi.org/10.2307/2346729
[27]  Rebetez, M., & Reinhard, M. (2008). Monthly Air Temperature Trends in Switzerland 1901-2000 and 1975-2004. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 91, 27-34.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-007-0296-2
[28]  Rehman, S., & Al-Hadhrami, L. M. (2012). Extreme Temperature Trends on the West Coast of Saudi Arabia. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 2, 351-361.
https://doi.org/10.4236/acs.2012.23031
[29]  Tarawneh, Q., & Chowdhury, S. (2018). Trends of Climate Change in Saudi Arabia: Implications on Water Resources. Climate, 6, Article 8.
https://doi.org/10.3390/cli6010008
[30]  Türkeş, M., Sümer, U. M., & Demi̇r, İ. (2002). Re‐Evaluation of Trends and Changes in Mean, Maximum and Minimum Temperatures of Türkiye for the Period 1929-1999. International Journal of Climatology, 22, 947-977.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.777
[31]  Vorhees, D. C. (2006). The Impact of Global Scale Climate Variation on Southwest Asia. Master’s Thesis, Naval Postgraduate School Monterey.
[32]  Yirga, S. A. (2017). Rainfall and Temperature Trend Analysis at Indibir Station, Gurage Zone, Ethiopia. Journal of Environmental & Earth Sciences, 7, 1-11.
[33]  Zhang, X., Alexander, L., Hegerl, G. C., Jones, P., Tank, A. K., Peterson, T. C. et al. (2011). Indices for Monitoring Changes in Extremes Based on Daily Temperature and Precipitation Data. WIREs Climate Change, 2, 851-870.
https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.147

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133