近十年我国托幼一体化研究的热点与展望——基于CiteSpace的可视化分析
Hotspots and Prospects of Integrated Childcare and Early Childhood Education Research in China over the Past Decade—A Visual Analysis Based on CiteSpace

本研究采用文献计量学方法，使用CiteSpace软件对2015年1月至2025年6月间中国知网(CNKI)收录的307篇关于“托幼一体化”的中文文献进行可视化分析。研究旨在梳理近十年来该领域的研究现状、时空分布、热点问题与未来发展趋势。研究发现：1) 发文量整体呈上升趋势且表现出明显的政策导向性；2) 研究机构与核心作者的合作网络不紧密，中心性普遍偏低；3) 核心研究主题主要有“托幼机构”“托育服务”等；4) 研究热点集中于低生育率背景下的服务体系构建、托育供需变化引发的人才培养问题，以及国际经验的本土化应用；5) 未来研究方向可能包括探索“托–幼–养 + 园–家–社”新模式、构建生成式人工智能服务体系新生态以及开拓农村地区服务新路径。
Using bibliometric methods and CiteSpace, this study visualizes 307 Chinese articles on “integrated child-care and early-childhood education” indexed by CNKI from January 2015 to June 2025. It maps the field’s research output, spatiotemporal distribution, hotspots and future trajectories. Findings: 1) publication volume shows a steady upward trend clearly steered by policy; 2) collaboration among institutions and core authors is loose, with low centrality; 3) key topics center on “child-care institutions” and “child-care services”; 4) research hotspots focus on service-system construction amid low fertility, talent-training driven by supply-demand shifts, and localizing international experience; 5) future agendas may include exploring a new “care-early education-nurturing + kindergarten-family-community” model, building a generative-AI service ecosystem, and opening rural pathways.