数字科技与城乡融合发展水平测度及区域差异分析
Digital Technology and Urban-Rural Integration: Measurement of Development Level and Analysis of Regional Differences

城乡融合是经济社会协同发展的核心议题，数字科技为破解城乡发展失衡问题提供了关键支撑，但二者深度融合的区域差异特征与内在作用逻辑仍有待明确。本文基于2012~2023年中国30个省级行政区面板数据，构建数字科技与城乡融合双指标体系，运用AHP-熵权组合赋权法、熵权-TOPSIS法、投影寻踪模型测度发展水平，结合变异系数与泰尔指数分析区域差异，最后进行稳健性检验。研究发现：二者均呈稳步上升态势，但增速存在显著异质性，数字科技赋能城乡融合存在时滞效应；差异来源呈现双重分化特征，数字科技以区域间差异为主导，城乡融合则以西部县域内差异为核心；数字科技发展受市场驱动的产业集聚效应影响显著，城乡融合提升得益于政策协调作用。据此，本文针对性提出缩短赋能时滞、破解数字鸿沟、聚焦县域均衡、强化协同保障的政策建议，为数字科技赋能城乡协同高质量发展提供实证参考与实践指引。
Urban-rural integration is a core issue in economic and social coordinated development. Digital technology effectively addresses urban-rural development imbalance, yet the regional differences and internal operational logic of their in-depth integration remain unclear. Using panel data of 30 Chinese provinces (2012~2023), this paper constructs a dual index system and measures development levels via the AHP-entropy weight method, entropy weight-TOPSIS method, and projection pursuit model. Regional differences are analyzed with the coefficient of variation and Theil index, followed by a robustness test. Results show that both maintain a steady upward trend with significant growth heterogeneity and a time-lag effect in digital empowerment; digital technology’s differences are dominated by inter-regional gaps, while urban-rural integration’s differences center on intra-county disparities in the west; digital technology development is driven by market-oriented industrial agglomeration, and urban-rural integration benefits from policy coordination. Targeted recommendations include shortening the time lag, bridging the digital divide, focusing on county-level balance, and strengthening coordinated guarantees, providing empirical reference for digital technology-enabled high-quality urban-rural development.