中国西部地区财政民生支出对经济增长的影响——以云南省为例
The Impact of Financial Expenditure on Livelihood on Economic Growth in Western China—Taking Yunnan Province as an Example

党的二十大报告强调，高质量发展是全面建设社会主义现代化国家的首要任务。在深入贯彻新发展理念实践中，云南省坚持把民生支出作为优化供给结构与促进经济增长的结合点，本研究以云南省1998~2021年数据为样本，构建多元线性回归模型，分析云南省财政民生支出规模与结构同经济增长之间的关系，并进行中介效应传导机制分析。结果显示，云南省财政民生支出对经济有明显的促进作用；财政民生支出结构中的科教文卫事业费支出推动了经济发展，社会保障支出则抑制经济增长。对此，云南省政府要不断优化财政民生支出结构，继续稳步增加科教文卫支出，同时将社会保障支出控制在合理区间。加强对民生资金的监管，促进经济又好又快地发展。
The report of the 20th Party Congress emphasizes that high-quality development is the primary task of building a modern socialist country in an all-round way. In the practice of implementing the new development concept in depth, Yunnan Province insists on taking the livelihood expenditure as the combination of optimizing the supply structure and promoting economic growth. Taking the data of Yunnan Province from 1998 to 2021 as a sample, this study constructs a multiple linear regression model to analyze the relationship between the scale and structure of the financial expenditure on livelihood and mediation effects transmission mechanism analysis. The results show that the financial expenditure on livelihood in Yunnan Province has an obvious promotion effect on the economy; the expenditure on science, education, culture and health in the structure of financial expenditure on livelihood promotes the economic development, while the expenditure on social security inhibits the economic growth. In this regard, the government of Yunnan Province should continue to optimize the structure of financial expenditure on livelihood, continue to steadily increase the expenditure on science, education, culture and health, and at the same time control the expenditure on social security within a reasonable range, strengthen the supervision of livelihood funds to promote sound and rapid economic development.