全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Generalized Bayesian Inference for Regression-Type Models with an Intractable Normalizing Constant

DOI: 10.4236/apm.2025.155016, PP. 319-338

Keywords: Intractable Normalizing Constant, Fisher Divergence, Conway-Maxwell-Poisson Regression

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

Regression models with intractable normalizing constants are valuable tools for analyzing complex data structures, yet parameter inference for such models remains highly challenging—particularly when observations are discrete. In statistical inference, discrete state spaces introduce significant computational difficulties, as the normalizing constant often requires summation over extremely large or even infinite sets, which is typically infeasible in practice. These challenges are further compounded when observations are independent but not identically distributed. This paper addresses these issues by developing a novel generalized Bayesian inference approach tailored for regression models with intractable likelihoods. The key idea is to employ a specific form of generalized Fisher divergence to update beliefs about the model parameters, thereby circumventing the need to compute the normalizing constant. The resulting generalized posterior distribution can be sampled using standard computational tools, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), effectively avoiding the intractability of the normalizing constant.

References

[1]  Jin, I.H. and Liang, F. (2014) Use of SAMC for Bayesian Analysis of Statistical Models with Intractable Normalizing Constants. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 71, 402-416.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2012.07.005
[2]  Park, J. and Haran, M. (2018) Bayesian Inference in the Presence of Intractable Normalizing Functions. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 113, 1372-1390.
https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2018.1448824
[3]  Murray, I., Ghahramani, Z. and Mackay, D. (2006) MCMC for Doubly-Intractable Distributions. Proceedings of the 22nd Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Cambridge, 13-16 July 2006, 359-366.
[4]  Møller, J., Pettitt, A.N., Reeves, R. and Berthelsen, K.K. (2006) An Efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for Distributions with Intractable Normalising Constants. Biometrika, 93, 451-458.
https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/93.2.451
[5]  Marin, J., Pudlo, P., Robert, C.P. and Ryder, R.J. (2011) Approximate Bayesian Computational Methods. Statistics and Computing, 22, 1167-1180.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-011-9288-2
[6]  Gutmann, M. and Hyvärinen, A. (2010) Noise-Contrastive Estimation: A New Estimation Principle for Unnormalized Statistical Models. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, Sardinia, 13-15 May 2010, 297-304.
[7]  Matsubara, T., Knoblauch, J., Briol, F. and Oates, C.J. (2022) Robust Generalised Bayesian Inference for Intractable Likelihoods. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 84, 997-1022.
https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12500
[8]  Matsubara, T., Knoblauch, J., Briol, F. and Oates, C.J. (2023) Generalized Bayesian Inference for Discrete Intractable Likelihood. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 119, 2345-2355.
https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2023.2257891
[9]  Key, J.T., Pericchi, L.R. and Smith, A.F.M. (1999) Bayesian Model Choice: What and Why? In: Bernardo, J.M., et al., Eds., Bayesian Statistics, Vol. 6, Oxford University Press, 343-370.
https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198504856.003.0015
[10]  Bissiri, P.G., Holmes, C.C. and Walker, S.G. (2016) A General Framework for Updating Belief Distributions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 78, 1103-1130.
https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12158
[11]  Jewson, J., Smith, J.Q. and Holmes, C. (2018) Principles of Bayesian Inference Using General Divergence Criteria. Entropy, 20, Article No. 442.
https://doi.org/10.3390/e20060442
[12]  Sellers, K.F. and Shmueli, G. (2010) A Flexible Regression Model for Count Data. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 4, 943-961.
[13]  Hyvrinen, A. and Dayan, P. (2005) Estimation of Non-Normalized Statistical Models by Score Matching. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 6, 695-709.
[14]  Lyu, S. (2012) Interpretation and Generalization of Score Matching. Proceedings of the 25th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Montreal, 18-21 June 2009, 359-366.
[15]  Xu, J., Scealy, J.L., Wood, A.T. and Zou, T. (2022) Generalized Score Matching for Regression.
[16]  Hyvärinen, A. (2007) Some Extensions of Score Matching. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 51, 2499-2512.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2006.09.003
[17]  Kutner, M.H., Nachtsheim, C.J. and Neter, J. (1984) Applied Linear Regression Models. Technometrics, 26, 415-416.
https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1984.10487998

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133