承接产业转移地经济–人口–环境协调发展研究——以江西省赣州市为例
Research on the Coordinated Development of Economy-Population-Environment in the Regions Undertaking Industrial Transfer—A Case Study of Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Province

以赣州市为例，基于耦合协调度模型，研究其2012~2022年经济–人口–环境系统耦合协调度时空特征，并探析未来协调发展难题。结果显示，赣州市该系统耦合协调度处于较低水平且将持续；2020年后人口、环境子系统成短板且持续时间长；经济、人口、环境子系统综合发展指数两两正相关、相互促进；未来协调发展面临老龄化加剧、高层次人才引进放缓压力。因此，建议中西部承接产业转移地从创新驱动、完善人才制度、应对老龄化、绿色生态发展四方面采取措施。
Taking Ganzhou City as a case study, this paper employs the coupling coordination degree model to investigate the spatio-temporal characteristics of the coupling coordination degree within the economic-population-environment system during the period from 2012 to 2022 and delves into the challenges for future coordinated development. The findings indicate that the coupling coordination degree of this system in Ganzhou City is at a relatively low level and is expected to persist in this state. Since 2020, the population and environment subsystems have emerged as the weak points and will likely remain so over an extended period. The comprehensive development indices of the economic, population, and environment subsystems exhibit positive correlations with one another, thereby mutually promoting development. In the future, the coordinated development of Ganzhou City will confront the dual pressures of an accelerating aging population and a deceleration in the introduction of high-level talent. Consequently, it is proposed that the central and western regions undertaking industrial transfer should implement measures in four aspects: driving development through innovation, perfecting talent cultivation and introduction mechanisms, addressing population aging, and promoting green ecological development.