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江苏省地质灾害隐患风险双控思考及建议
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Abstract:
江苏省现有地质灾害隐患点800多处，虽然近年来地质灾害发生频率呈明显下降趋势，但仍有一定数量发生的地质灾害不在已掌握的隐患点中，给人民生命财产安全造成较大不确定性。本文在总结江苏省近年来地质灾害历史灾情、隐患点及风险区特征、地质灾害影响因素的基础上，分析目前江苏省地质灾害防治现状以及地质灾害防控中存在的问题和不足，提出了科学划定风险防控区、构建风险防控体系、落实风险防控措施、建立风险防控管理制度等风险管控思路，并从模式创新、科技研发、智能防控三个角度进行了展望。相关成果可为江苏省地质灾害“隐患点 + 风险区”双控提供参考。
There are currently over 800 geological hazard potential points in Jiangsu Province. Although the frequency of geological hazards has shown a significant downward trend in recent years, there are still a certain number of geological hazards that are not among the known potential points, causing significant uncertainty to the safety of people’s lives and property. On the basis of summarizing the historical geological hazard, potential points, and risk area characteristics of geological hazard in Jiangsu Province in recent years, as well as the influencing factors of geological hazards, this article analyzes the current situation of geological hazard prevention and control in Jiangsu Province, as well as the problems and deficiencies in geological hazard prevention and control. It proposes risk control ideas such as scientifically delineating risk prevention and control zones, constructing risk prevention and control systems, implementing risk prevention and control measures, and establishing risk prevention and control management systems, and looks forward to them from three perspectives: model innovation, technological research and development, and intelligent prevention and control. The relevant achievements can provide reference for the double-control of “potential points + risk zones” in geological hazards in Jiangsu Province.
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