大连市对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证检验
Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Dalian City

中国加入世界贸易组织以来，对外贸易对经济增长的推动作用越来越明显。大连市作为东北地区乃至全国的重要港口，在发展对外贸易上拥有独特的区位优势。文章通过对大连市对外贸易与经济增长之间关系的格兰杰因果检验发现，大连市的出口是大连市经济增长单向的因果关系，即大连市的对外贸易促进了大连市经济的增长，而大连市经济增长对于大连市的对外贸易发展没有作用。文章基于上述的实证检验结果，提出了相应的建议。
Since China’s accession to the WTO, International trade has been playing a more and more crucial role in spurring economic growth, and China has opened up more and more to the outside world. As an important port in northeast China and even in the whole country, Dalian has a unique location advantage in developing foreign trade. Through the Granger causality test of the relationship between Dalian’s foreign trade and economic growth, this paper finds that Dalian’s export is a one-way causal relationship of Dalian’s economic growth, that is, Dalian’s international trade drives the economic expansion of Dalian, but the economic growth of Dalian has no effect on the development of Dalian’s foreign trade. In light of the aforementioned empirical test outcomes, this article presents relevant proposals.