人口年龄结构与经济增长——基于辽宁省14个市际面板数据的实证检验
Population Age Structure and Economic Growth—An Empirical Test Based on the Panel Data of 14 Cities in Liaoning Province

人口年龄结构的变化会导致储蓄总量与消费结构的变化，进而影响经济增长。第七次全国人口普查数据显示，辽宁省出现低生育率与严重老龄化并存的现象。十年间人口数量减少超过115万。文章基于人口与经济增长理论，在对辽宁省人口年龄结构变化及经济增长现状分析的基础上，根据辽宁省14个城市的面板数据，对2006~2020年的人口年龄结构与经济增长关系进行实证分析。研究结果表明：辽宁省0~17岁和60岁以上人口数量占比经济增长呈现倒U型变动关系，并提出解决辽宁省现阶段人口和经济增长问题的相关建议。
The change in population age structure will lead to changes in total savings and consumption structure, which in turn will affect economic growth. According to the data of the seventh national population census, Liaoning Province has a low fertility rate and a serious aging population. The population has declined by more than 1.15 million in 10 years. Based on the theory of population and economic growth, this paper analyzes the changes in the population age structure and the current state of economic growth in Liaoning Province. Using panel data from 14 cities in Liaoning Province, it conducts an empirical analysis of the relationship between population age structure and economic growth from 2006 to 2020. The results show that the proportion of the population aged 0~17 and over 60 years old in Liaoning Province shows an inverted U-shaped change relationship, and some suggestions are put forward to solve the current population and economic growth problems in Liaoning Province.