新质生产力对绿色发展的影响分析
Analysis of the Impact of New Quality Productivity on Green Development

本研究旨在深入探讨新质生产力对中国绿色发展的影响机制，基于2018~2022年全国31个省份的统计数据，构建了基于熵权法的新质生产力评价指标体系与基于DPSIR模型的绿色发展指标体系，建立了双向固定效应基准模型，并结合稳健性检验，验证了模型的稳健性。研究表明，科技创新和研发投入显著增强了新质生产力的水平，并且新质生产力对绿色发展发挥了显著的正向促进作用，特别是在生产要素的创新性配置方面。进一步分析发现，新质生产力对绿色发展的推动不仅体现在本地区，还具有明显的空间溢出效应，通过空间杜宾模型揭示了新质生产力与邻近地区绿色发展之间的互动关系。
This study aims to explore the impact mechanism of new-type productive forces on green development in China. Based on statistical data from 31 provinces across the country from 2018 to 2022, an evaluation index system for new-type productive forces is constructed using the entropy weight method, and a green development index system is developed using the DPSIR model. The study establishes a two-way fixed-effects baseline model, and applies robustness tests to validate the model’s reliability. The results show that technological innovation and R&D investment significantly enhance the level of new-type productive forces, and new-type productive forces have a significant positive effect on green development, especially in the innovative allocation of production factors. Further analysis reveals that the promotion of green development by new-type productive forces is not only evident within the region but also has a notable spatial spillover effect. The spatial Durbin model uncovers the interactive relationship between new-type productive forces and green development in neighboring regions.