|
高铁对云南山地旅游经济发展的影响研究——基于虚拟变量模型的检验
|
Abstract:
2016年12月28日,云南省跨入了高铁时代。交通基础设施的完善在区域发展中发挥着重要作用,并为旅游业的发展奠定了坚实基础。为了从产业的角度探究高铁开通对云南山地旅游经济发展的贡献,本文使用云南省2005~2021年的时间序列数据,建立了影响云南山地旅游总收入的虚拟变量模型,结果显示,高铁开通对云南山地旅游经济有显著的促进作用,平均使得云南山地旅游总收入增加1.13亿元。本文研究高速铁路对云南山地旅游经济发展的影响,首先丰富了高速铁路对山地旅游的经济影响的理论内容和建模内容,其次增加了高铁对区域经济影响视角研究的多样性。
On December 28, 2016, Yunnan Province entered the era of high-speed rail. The improvement of transportation infrastructure plays an important role in regional development and lays a solid foundation for the development of tourism. In order to explore the contribution of high-speed rail to the development of Yunnan’s mountain tourism economy from the perspective of industry, this paper uses the time series data of Yunnan Province from 2005 to 2021 to establish a dummy variable model affecting the total income of Yunnan mountain tourism, and the results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a significant role in promoting the development of Yunnan’s mountain tourism economy, and increases the total income of Yunnan’s mountain tourism by 113 million yuan on average. This paper studies the impact of high-speed railway on the development of mountain tourism economy in Yunnan, which firstly enriches the theoretical and modeling content of the economic impact of high-speed railway on mountain tourism, and secondly increases the diversity of perspectives on the impact of high-speed rail on regional economy.
[1] | 郭向阳, 穆学青, 明庆忠, 等. 旅游地交通服务功能与旅游强度协调时空分异特征——以云南省为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020, 35(6): 1425-1444. |
[2] | Chew, J. (1987) Transport and Tourism in the Year 2000. Tourism Management, 8, 83-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/0261-5177(87)90003-3 |
[3] | Prideaux, B. (2000) The Role of the Transport System in Destination Development. Tourism Management, 21, 53-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0261-5177(99)00079-5 |
[4] | Palhares, G.L. (2003) The Role of Transport in Tourism Development: Nodal Functions and Management Practices. International Journal of Tourism Research, 5, 403-407. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.446 |
[5] | Khadaroo, J. and Seetanah, B. (2008) The Role of Transport Infrastructure in International Tourism Development: A Gravity Model Approach. Tourism Management, 29, 831-840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2007.09.005 |
[6] | Massidda, C. and Etzo, I. (2012) The Determinants of Italian Domestic Tourism: A Panel Data Analysis. Tourism Management, 33, 603-610. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2011.06.017 |
[7] | Hosseini, H.M., Miri, G. and Bstani, M.K. (2015) Effects of Air Transportation on Tourism Growth: Iran as Case Study. International Research Journal of Applied and Basic Sciences, 1691-1695. |
[8] | 侯志强. 交通基础设施对区域旅游经济增长效应的实证分析——基于中国省域面板数据的空间计量模型[J]. 宏观经济研究, 2018(6): 118-132. |
[9] | 杨春华, 吴晋峰, 周芳如, 等. 铁路通达性变化对区域旅游业的影响——以京津冀、长三角地区对比为例[J]. 经济地理, 2018, 38(2): 188-196. |
[10] | 曾玉华, 陈俊. 高铁开通对站点城市旅游发展的异质性影响——基于双重差分方法的研究[J]. 旅游科学, 2018, 32(6): 79-92. |
[11] | Huang, T., Xi, J. and Ge, Q. (2017) Tourism Spatial Competition Pattern of Urban Agglomeration under the Influence of High-Speed Railway Using Spatial Econometrics. Economic Geography, 37, 182-191. |
[12] | Albalate, D., Campos, J. and Jiménez, J.L. (2017) Tourism and High Speed Rail in Spain: Does the AVE Increase lOcal Visitors? Annals of Tourism Research, 65, 71-82. |
[13] | Gao, Y.Y., Su, W. and Wang, K.N, (2019) Does High-Speed Rail Boost Tourism Growth? New Evidence from China. Tourism Management, 72, 220-231. |
[14] | 陈林, 谭海霞, 任唤麟, 等. 煤矿安全生产法律法规实效性的(安全作用)虚拟变量模型分析[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2013, 43(3): 73-82. |
[15] | 邓爱民, 李鹏. 中国旅游经济影响因素分析与实证研究[J]. 宏观经济研究, 2022(3): 106-115, 137. |
[16] | 孙卿. 交通可达性与旅游经济联系空间关系研究——以大西高铁为例[J]. 经济问题, 2023(4): 95-104. |
[17] | 生延超, 刘晴. 人力资本促进区域旅游经济效率的空间差异研究[J]. 地理科学, 2020, 40(10): 1710-1719. |
[18] | 张攀, 杨进, 周星. 中国旅游业发展与区域经济增长——254个地级市的面板数据[J]. 经济管理, 2014, 36(6): 116-126. |
[19] | 鲍鹏程, 黄磊. 生态财富如何促进旅游经济发展——来自中国286个城市的经验证据[J]. 中国地质大学学报(社会科学版), 2023, 23(2): 73-88. |
[20] | 程玉, 杨勇. 互联网发展对旅游经济增长效率的影响——来自中国的经验证据[J]. 华侨大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2023(1): 38-55. |
[21] | 黄凯南, 孙广召. 高铁开通如何影响企业全要素生产率?——基于中国制造业上市企业的研究[J]. 中国地质大学学报(社会科学版), 2019(1): 144-157. |