广东省水资源利用与经济高质量发展的关系研究
Research on the Relationship between Water Resource Utilization and High Quality Economic Development in Guangdong Province

广东省作为经济龙头地区，且水资源压力大，因此研究水资源的利用与经济高质量发展的关系具有重要意义。本文从《广东省水资源公报》《广东省统计年鉴》中获取相关数据，进行描述性统计分析。依据水足迹理论，测算广东省2003~2021年水足迹以及相关发展指标。利用熵值法确定了各指标在经济高质量发展中的权重，最后通过权重计算出经济高质量发展的年度综合评分。最后利用Tapio脱钩模型研究二者之间的关系。结果表明：广东省水资源利用整体呈向好趋势，并且经济高质量发展综合评分整体上升。2003~2021年水资源利用效率与经济高质量发展综合评分的脱钩状态存在波动，除2007~2009年外，其余均呈现弱脱钩、扩张性连接、扩张性负脱钩的良好发展态势。广东省应当积极落实“四水四定”原则，加强区域之间的合作与交流，进一步优化产业结构，加强科技创新力度等使得广东省的水资源利用更加合理，并促进经济高质量发展。
As a leading economic region, Guangdong Province faces significant pressure on water resources. Therefore, studying the relationship between water resource utilization and high-quality economic development is of great significance. This article obtains relevant data from the Guangdong Provincial Water Resources Bulletin and the Guangdong Provincial Statistical Yearbook for descriptive statistical analysis. Based on the water footprint theory, calculate the water footprint and related development indicators of Guangdong Province from 2003 to 2021. The entropy method was used to determine the weights of each indicator in high-quality economic development, and finally, the annual comprehensive score of high-quality economic development was calculated through the weights. Finally, use the Tapio decoupling model to study the relationship between the two. The results indicate that the overall utilization of water resources in Guangdong Province is showing a positive trend, and the comprehensive score for high-quality economic development is on the rise. There were fluctuations in the decoupling status between the comprehensive evaluation of water resource utilization efficiency and high-quality economic development from 2003 to 2021. Except for 2007~2009, all others showed a good development trend of weak decoupling, expansionary connection, and expansionary negative decoupling. Guangdong Province should actively implement the principle of “four water and four fixed”, strengthen cooperation and exchange between regions, further optimize industrial structure, strengthen scientific and technological innovation to make the utilization of water resources in Guangdong Province more reasonable, and promote high-quality economic development.