In this article, the transmission dynamics of a Hand-Foot-Mouth disease model with treatment and vaccination interventions are studied. We calculated the basic reproduction number and proved the global stability of disease-free equilibrium when R0 < 1, and the disease persistent when R0 > 1. Meanwhile, we obtained the optimal control strategies minimizing the cost of intervention and minimizing the infected person. We also give some numerical simulations to verify our theoretical results.
References
[1]
Duff, M.F. (1968) Hand-Foot-and-Mouth Syndrome in Humans: Coxackie A10 Infections in New Zealand. BMJ, 2, 661-664. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.2.5606.661
[2]
Xing, W., Liao, Q., Viboud, C., Zhang, J., Sun, J., Wu, J.T., et al. (2014) Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China, 2008-12: An Epidemiological Study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 14, 308-318. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(13)70342-6
[3]
Wang, J.-F., Guo, Y.-S., George, C., et al. (2011) Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease: Spatiotemporal Transmission and Climate. International Journal of Health Geographics, 10, 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/1476-072X-10-25
[4]
Yang, B.Y., et al. (2017) Epidemiology of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in China, 2008 to 2015 Prior to the Introduction of EV-A71 Vaccine. Eurosurveillance, 22, 38-47. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.50.16-00824
[5]
Li, R., Liu, L., Mo, Z., Wang, X., Xia, J., Liang, Z., et al. (2014) An Inactivated Enterovirus 71 Vaccine in Healthy Children. The New England Journal of Medicine, 370, 829-837. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1303224
[6]
Urashima, M., Shindo, N. and Okabe, N. (2003) Seasonal Models of Herpangina and Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease to Simulate Annual Fuctuations in Urban Warming in Tokyo. Japanese Journal ofInfectious Diseases, 56, 48-53.
[7]
Wang, Y.C. and Sung, F.C. (2004) Modeling the Infectious for Entero Viruses in Taiwan Area. http://gra103.aca.ntu.edu.tw/gdoc/D91844001a.pdf
[8]
Tan, H.W. and Cao, H. (2018) The Dynamics and Optimal Control of a Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease Model. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2018, Article ID: 9254794. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/9254794
[9]
Zhang, W., Rui, J. and Cheng, X.Q., et al. (2022) Transmissibility of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in 97 Counties of China. Scientific Reports 12, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07982-y
[10]
Li, Y., Wang, L.W., et al. (2016) The Data Fitting and Optimal Control of a Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease (HFMD) Model with Stage Structure. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 276, 61-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2015.11.090
[11]
Diekmann, O., Heesterbeek, J.A.P. and Metz, J.A. (1990) On the Definition and the Computation of the Basic Reproduction Ratio R0 in Models for Infectious Disease in Heterogeneous Populations. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 28, 365-382. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00178324
[12]
van den Driessche, P. and Watmough, J. (2002) Reproduction Numbers and Sub-Threshold Endemic Equilibria for Compartmental Models of Disease Transmission. Mathematical Biosciences, 180, 29-48. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00108-6
[13]
Xu, D. and Zhao, X.Q. (2005) Dynamics in a Periodic Competitive Model with Stage Structure. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 311, 417-438. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2005.02.062
[14]
Smith, H. and Waltman, P. (1995) The Theory of the Chemostat. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511530043
[15]
Zhao, X.-Q. (2003) Dynamical Systems in Population Biology. Spring-Verlag, New York. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-21761-1
[16]
Lenhart, S. and Workman, J.T. (2007) Optimal Control Applied to Biological Models. Mathematical and Computational Biology Series. Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, London/Boca Raton. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781420011418