中国应急产业高质量发展测度与时空演化研究——基于五大发展理念
A Study on the Measurement of High-Quality Development and Spatial-Temporal Evolution of China’s Emergency Industry—Based on the Five Development Concepts

文章基于五大发展理念，构建了应急产业高质量发展体系，将中国划分为东部、中部、西部三大区域。使用纵横向拉开档次法对2010年至2020年的应急产业发展水平进行了综合评价。根据评价结果分析，应急产业发展水平呈现东部 > 中部 > 西部的产业结构，创新要素在其中起到主要的推动作用。Dagum基尼系数分析显示，我国各省份的应急产业发展水平存在较大差距，并且差距逐年增大，差异主要源于区域间发展差异。全局莫兰指数分析结果显示，我国各地区的应急产业发展呈现明显的空间集聚现象。经分析发现，全国应急产业发展水平稳步提升，但三大区域内部差异均增大。使用收敛模型进行分析，表明我国应急产业发展整体上不呈现σ收敛趋势。综合以上分析，最终得出结论并提出有利于促进应急产业发展的相关建议。
In this paper, based on the five development concepts, a high-quality development system for the emergency industry was constructed, dividing China into three regions: East, central and West. The development level of the emergency industry from 2010 to 2020 is comprehensively evaluated using the vertical and horizontal slotting method. According to the analysis of the evaluation results, the development level of the emergency industry shows the industrial structure of East > Central > West, in which the innovation factor plays a major role in promoting the development, and the analysis of Dagum’s Gini coefficient shows that there is a large gap in the development level of China’s emergency industry in each province, and the gap increases year by year, and the difference mainly comes from the development difference between regions. The analysis of global Moran index shows that the development of emergency industry in all regions of China presents obvious spatial agglomeration phenomenon. After analysis, it is found that the development level of the national emergency industry has steadily increased, but the differences within the three major regions have all increased. Analysis using the convergence model shows that the development of China’s emergency industry as a whole does not show a σ-convergence trend. Based on the above analysis, it finally draws conclusions and puts forward relevant suggestions in favor of promoting the development of the emergency industry.