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快速发展时期的经济发展困境研究——以山西省为例
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Abstract:
党的十四大后，我国进入快速发展时期，在诸多省份迎来经济跨越式发展的同时，山西省的经济发展却陷入困境之中，可知原因之一是来自于山西省充足的能源供给，长期依赖能源消费促进经济增长的粗放型发展模式不适应新时代的发展要求。文章以《山西省统计年鉴》提供的相关数据为研究对象，进行概况分析和实证分析，着重研究经济增长与能源消费之间的关系。研究结果表明，能源消费与经济增长之间呈现典型的格兰杰双向因果关系，即能源消费确实制约了山西省的经济增长，为此必须做出一定的变革以保证山西省经济的可持续发展。
After the 14th National Congress of the CPC, China entered a period of rapid development. While many provinces ushered in leap-forward economic development, the economic development of Shanxi Province fell into a predicament. One of the reasons is that the extensive development model that relies on energy consumption to promote economic growth in Shanxi Province for a long time does not meet the development requirements of the new era. Based on the relevant data provided by Shanxi Statistical Yearbook, this paper makes general analysis and empirical analysis, focusing on the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption. The research results show that there is a typical Granger two-way causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, that is, energy consumption does restrict the economic growth of Shanxi Province, so it is necessary to make some changes to ensure the sustainable development of Shanxi Province’s economy.
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