全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Modeled Implications of Global Warming Conditions on Precipitation Totals in Valley and Highland Areas of Nigeria

DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2023.123022, PP. 489-503

Keywords: Physiographic, Regions, Harmonics, Rainfall, Patterns

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

Global temperature has been increasing causing differences in precipitation response in different physiographic regions as feedback mechanism. The aim of this work is to model the implications of the global warming conditions on precipitation occurrences in the valley and highland areas of Nigeria. Harmonic analysis on the average monthly rainfall observations was performed for 56 years (1961-2016) using the Turbo Pascal for windows programming language in order to implement the computation. This was carried out by fitting a periodic function of sinusoidal character to enhance the determination of the contribution of each harmonic, the amplitude of each harmonic and the time at which each harmonic is maximum. The result of harmonic plots of the grand average monthly rainfall for the valley area of Makurdi and highland area of Jos shows that there exists a similarity in the trend of variations of harmonic series plots of the data as either plots exhibit single rainfall maxima or peak, meaning that rainfall patterns are mono-modal in nature. Modeled result of average monthly rainfall for the valley area of Makurdi shows an increase in rainfall occurrences from the month of January to August but a decrease from September to December, meaning an expectation of more rains immediately after onsets and lesser rains before cessations. The modeled result for the highland area of Jos however shows a decrease in the occurrence of rainfall in the months of January and February but an increase from the month of March to December. The implication is that there will be water deficiency for late crops and aquifer recharge in the valley areas while highland areas will experience delayed onset of agricultural calendar. The study recommends timely release and adherence to weather/climate forecasts.

References

[1]  Aliba, N. V., Lekwot, V. E., Yakubu, A. A., Eziashi, A. C., & Kwesaba, D. A. (2015). Perception and Responds to Gully Erosion in Jos South Local Government Area of Plateau State, Nigeria. Journal of Multidisciplinary Scientific Research, 3, 14-18.
[2]  Chukwuma, K. H. (2020). Constructing the Herder-Farmer Conflict as (In)Security in Nigeria. Journal of African Security, 13, 54-76.
https://doi.org/10.1080/19392206.2020.1732703
[3]  Federal Ministry of Environment (2014). Nigeria’s Second National Communication under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Federal Ministry of Environment.
[4]  Ikusemoran, M., Dami, A., & Maryah, U. M. (2013). GIS Based Assessment of Flood Risk and Vulnerability of Communities in the Benue Flood Plains, Adamawa State, Nigeria. Journal of Geography and Geology, 5, 148-160.
https://doi.org/10.5539/jgg.v5n4p148
[5]  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate (IPCC) (2007). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Summary for Policymakers.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_spm.pdf
[6]  Ishaku, H. T., & Majid, M. R. (2010) X-Raying Rainfall Pattern and Variability in Northeastern Nigeria: Impacts on Access to Water Supply. Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 2, 952-959.
https://doi.org/10.4236/jwarp.2010.211113
[7]  Isikwue, B. C., Ameh, M. E., & Utah, E. Y. (2013). Analysis of Rainfall Variability over Some Cities in Nigeria Using Harmonic Analysis Technique. Nigerian Journal of Physics, 24, 16-24.
[8]  Kirkyla, K. I., & Hammed, S. (1989). Harmonic Analysis of the Seasonal Cycle in Precipitation over the United States: A Comparison between Observations and General Circulation Model. Journal of Climate, 12, 1463-1475.
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1989)002<1463:HAOTSC>2.0.CO;2
[9]  Korner, C. (2004). Mountain Biodiversity, Its Causes and Function. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, 13, 11-17.
https://doi.org/10.1007/0044-7447-33.sp13.11
[10]  Meehl, G. A. (1992). Effect of Tropical Topography on Global Climate. Annual Review of Earth Planet Science, 20, 85-112.
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ea.20.050192.000505
[11]  Odjugo, P. A. (2010). General Overview of Climate Change Impacts in Nigeria. Journal of Human Ecology, 29, 47-55.
https://doi.org/10.1080/09709274.2010.11906248
[12]  Ogungbenro, S. B., & Morakinyo, T. E. (2014). Rainfall Distribution and Change Detection across Climatic Zones in Nigeria. Weather and Climate Extremes, 5, 1-6.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2014.10.002
[13]  Olayide, E. O., Tetteh, I. K., & Popoola, L. (2016). Differential Impacts of Rainfall and Irrigation on Agricultural Production in Nigeria: Any Lessons for Climate-Smart Agriculture? Journal of Agricultural Water Management, 178, 30-36.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2016.08.034
[14]  Park, S. (2008). Harmonic Analysis of Long Term Modis Time Series Data for Vegetation Dynamics in Hawaii. In ASPRS 2008 Annual Conference.
[15]  Spore (2008). Special Issue August 2008: Climate Change (p. 23). Technical Centre for Agricultural and Rural Cooperation (CTA).
[16]  Viviroli, D., & Weingartner, R. (2004). Hydrological Significance of Mountains: From Regional to Global Scale. Hydrological Earth Systems Science, 8, 1016-1029.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-8-1017-2004
[17]  Wong, C. L., Venneker, R., Uhlenbrook, S., Jamil, A. B. M., & Zhou, Y. (2009). Variability of Rainfall in Peninsula, Malaysia. Journal of Hydrology and Earth System Science Discussion, 6, 5471-5503.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-6-5471-2009

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133