全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Climate Impact on the Productivity of Sugarcane Varieties in Ferke1 Industrial Plantations

DOI: 10.4236/as.2023.147064, PP. 954-976

Keywords: Climate Parameters, Projections, Yield, Sugarcane, Ferkessédougou

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

This study assesses the climate impact on the productivity of five sugarcane varieties (R579, SP711406, M2593/92, M1400/86, and SP701006) in the industrial plantations of Ferké 1 sugar complex. It is a contribution to research efforts aimed at increasing the productivity of sugarcane varieties in the sugar fields. Also to support agricultural development and guarantee the income of planters. The sugarcane production data are from 2013 to 2017. Climatological data are measured and calculated continuously daily at the production site. In addition, the CMIP-5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) climate database at 1º?× 1º horizontal resolution was used for the predictability of crop yields of the 5 sugarcane varieties in the near future (2021-2050) and far future (2056-2075) to improve the quality of climate services to producers. The statistical methodological approach by multiple linear regression associated with the significativity test shows important and significant coefficients of determination (R2 > 0.90) between the yields of sugarcane varieties with certain climatic parameters such as minimum and maximum temperatures, insolation, global solar radiation, and potential evapotranspiration. The impact of rainfall has not been directly evaluated because the linear models do not explicitly show sensitivities to this parameter and the total water requirements for the plot are completely assured by irrigation. The future climate projections analyzed only from extreme thermal parameters (Tmax and Tmin) highlight their strong sensitivities with yields from an idealized model. In this model, we have assumed that the water supply needed by sugarcane is always met by irrigation on different plots. Moreover, linear models do not evolve fast enough in time and changes due to external environmental constraints are not too important at the plot scale. The projected thermic parameters can thus constitute a limiting factor for the producibility of sugarcane varieties either by excess or by default. In addition, the linear models used allowed us to observe the behavior of yields with respect to observed past climatic conditions. However, for future yields, there is no way to know if these regressions have the ability to predict them since

References

[1]  Péné, C. and Assa, A. (2003) Interannual Variations of Rainfall and Sugarcane Crop Water Uptake in Côte d’Ivoire. Sécheresse, 14, 43-52.
[2]  Péné, C.B., Chopart, J. and Assa, A. (1997) Gestion de l’irrigation à la parcelle en culture de canne à sucre (Saccharum officinarum L.) sous climat tropical humide, à travers le cas des régions nord et centre de la Côte d’Ivoire. Sécheresse, 8, 87-98.
[3]  Konan, E.A., Péné, C. and Emmanuel, D. (2017) Agro-Climatic Characterization of the Sugar Perimeter of Ferké 2 in the North of Côte d’Ivoire. Journal of Applied Biosciences, 14, 11532-11545.
https://doi.org/10.4314/jab.v116i1.2
[4]  Péné, C.B., Kouamé, D.K. and Dove, H. (2016) Irrigated Sugarcane as Affected by Stem Borer Eldana saccharina Infestations Following Varieties and Harvest Seasons in Ivory Coast. Journal of Applied Biosciences, 102, 9687-9698.
[5]  Péné, C.B., N’Diaye, S. and Konan, N.C. (2013) Sprinkler Irrigation and Soil Tillage Practices in Sugarcane Plantations as Influenced by Soil Texture and Water Storage in Northern Ivory Coast. Journal of Life Sciences, 7, 293-301.
[6]  Péné, C.B. (1999) Water Diagnosis in Sugarcane Cultivation and Climatic Risk Management: Cases of Ferké 2 and Zuénoula in Côte d’Ivoire. Agriculture et Développement, 24, 74-80.
[7]  Kouamé, D., Péné, C. and Zouzou, M. (2010) Screening of Promising Commercial Sugarcane Varieties in the Ferké 2 Sugar Field in Northern Côte d’Ivoire: Optimization of Selection Time. Sciences & Nature, 7, 97-106.
https://doi.org/10.4314/scinat.v7i1.59940
[8]  Péné, C.B., Boua, M. and Viremouneix, T. (2012) R579, une variété de canne à sucre très prometteuse en développement sous irrigation et en pluvial à Ferké au Nord de la Côte d’Ivoire. Ile de Réunion, 10 septembre.
https://www.afcas.fr
[9]  Péné, C.B. and Tuo, K. (2007) Early and Late-Season Screening of Sugarcane Varieties in Northern Ivory Coast. 26th ISSCT World Congress on Sugarcane Proceeding, Durban, 29 August 2007, 531-535.
[10]  Davina, M.D.M. (2013) Evaluation of the Fiber and Textile Potential of Sugarcane. University of Haute Alsace, Mulhouse.
[11]  Gindaba, J., Rozanov, A. and Negash, L. (2004) Response of Seedlings of Two Eucalyptus and Three Deciduous Tree Species from Ethiopia to Severe Water Stress. Forest Ecology and Management, 201, 119-129.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2004.07.009
[12]  Moundzeo, L., Nouvellon, Y., Nganga, D. and Epron, D. (2005) Effets des facteurs majeurs de l’environnement sur la productivité du clone de Eucalyptus 1-41 PF1 en plantation au Congo. African Journal of Science and Technology (AJST), 6, 34-42.
[13]  Amani, Y.C. (2012) Production agricole et changement climatique: Vers une tragédie des comportements paysans à Tiassalé? European Journal of Scientific Research, 8, 227-244.
[14]  Assani, A.A. (1999) Analyse de la variabilité temporelle des précipitations (1916-1996) à lumbashi (congo-kinshassa) en relation avec certains indicateurs de la circulation atmosphérique (oscillation australe) et océanique (el niño/ la niña). Sécheresse, 10, 245-252.
[15]  Brou, Y.T., Servat, E. and Paturel, J.E. (1998) Activités humaines et variabilité climatique: Cas du sud forestier ivoirien. In: Servat, E., Hughes, D., Fritsch, J.-M. and Hulme, M., Eds., Water Resources Variability in Africa during the 20th Century, AISH, Wallingford, 365-373.
[16]  Péné, C.B., Boua, M. and Viremouneix, T. (2012) Criblage de variétés de canne à sucre sous irrigation en début de campagne sucrière à Ferké 1 en Côte d’Ivoire sur sol ferralitique selon un nouveau schéma de selection. Reunion Island, September 10.
https://www.afcas.fr
[17]  Avenard, J.M. (1971) Aspect de la géomorphologie. In: Le milieu naturel de la Côte d’Ivoire, Mémoires ORSTOM, ORSTOM, Abidjan, 11-72.
[18]  Tate and Lyle (1975) Etude pédologique de la région comprise entre les rivières Waha et Farakwo en Côte d’Ivoire. Hunting Technical Services Limited, Borehamwood, 99.
[19]  Lereyaha, C., Kouakou, H.K., Gneneyougou, E.S. and Issiaka, S. (2016) Analyse du processus de savanisation du nord de la Côte d’Ivoire par télédétection: Cas du département de Ferkessédougou. International Journal of Innovation and Applied Studies, 17, 136-143.
[20]  Becquerel (Antoine César M) (1865) Mémoire sur les forêts et leur influence climatérique. Harvard University, Cambridge.
[21]  Becquerel (Antoine César M) (1853) Des climats et de l’influence qu’exercent les sols boisés et non boisés. Paris.
[22]  Chen, J.Q., et al. (1999) Microclimate in Forest Ecosystem and Landscape Ecology Variations in Local Climate Can Be Used to Monitor and Compare the Effects of Different Management Regimes. Bioscience, 49, 288-297.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1313612
[23]  Edouard, P., et al. (2020) Prévision des rendements de canne à sucre en Côte d’Ivoire à l’aide de variables météorologiques et satellitaires. AFD, Ferkessédougou, 40.
https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/2020-10-05-38-3..d%E2%80%99Ivoire.pdf
[24]  Moral, P. (1964) Essaisur les régions pluviothermiques de l’Afrique de l’Ouest. Annals of Geography, 400, 660-686.
https://doi.org/10.3406/geo.1964.16735
[25]  Diawara, A., et al. (2014) Climate Variability in the Sudano-Guinean Transition Area and Its Impact on Vegetation: The Case of the Lamto Region in Côte D’Ivoire. Advances in Meteorology, 2014, Article ID: 831414.
https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/831414
[26]  Binbol, N., Adebayo, A. and Kwon-Ndung, E. (2006) Influence of Climatic Factors on the Growth and Yield of Sugar Cane at Numan, Nigeria. Climate Research, 32, 247-252.
https://doi.org/10.3354/cr032247
[27]  Saithanu, K., Sittisorn, P. and Mekparyup, J. (2017) Estimation of Sugar Cane Yield in the Northeast of Thailand with MLR Model. Burapha Science Journal, 22, 197-202.
[28]  Scarpari, M.S. and de Beauclair, E.G.F. (2009) Physiological Model to Estimate the Maturity of Sugarcane. Scientia Agricola (Piracicaba, Braz.), 66, 622-628.
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0103-90162009000500006
[29]  Kendall, M.G. (1975) RANK, Multivariate Nonparametric Tests for Trend in Water Quality.
[30]  Sneyers, R. (1990) On the Statistical Analysis of Series of Observations. Technical Note No. 143, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, 192 p.
[31]  Yoroba, F., et al. (2019) Evaluation of Rainfall and Temperature Conditions for a Perennial Crop in Tropical Wetland: A Case Study of Cocoa in Côte d’Ivoire. Advances in Meteorology, 2019, Article ID: 9405939.
https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/9405939
[32]  Tiémoko, D.T., Yoroba, F., Diawara, A., Kouadio, K., Kouassi, B.K. and Yapo, A.L.M. (2020) Understanding the Local Carbon Fluxes Variations and Their Relationship to Climate Conditions in a Sub-Humid Savannah-Ecosystem during 2008-2015: Case of Lamto in Cote d’Ivoire. ACS, 10, 186-205.
https://doi.org/10.4236/acs.2020.102010
[33]  Samba, G. and M’baye, D. (2000) Water Balance in the Pool Region (Republic of Congo). Cahiers Agricultures, 9, 47-53.
[34]  Del Moral, R. and Deardorff, D.C. (1976) Vegetation of the Mima Mounds, Washington State. Ecology, 57, 520-530.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1936436
[35]  Martiné, J.-F., Bernard-Colombat, J.L. and Jumaux, G. (2012) Variabilité et évolution de la teneur en sucre de la canne à La Réunion Impact des facteurs climatiques et importance du changement climatique. Congrès sucrier ARTAS-AFCAS, 10-14 septembre.
[36]  Study Report (2019) Prospective Western Indian Ocean.
[37]  Dubreuil, V., Pechutti Fante, K., Planchon, O. and Neto, J.L.S. (2017) Les types de climats annuels au Brésil: Une application de la classification de Köppen de 1961 à 2015. Echogeo, 41, 1-27.
https://doi.org/10.4000/echogeo.15017
[38]  Moundzeo, L., Mvoulatsieri, M., Foahom, B. and Sonwa, D. (2013) Facteurs climatiques et productivité des variétés de canne à sucre (Saccharum officinarum L.) dans les plantations industrielles de la vallée du Niari (Congo-Brazzaville). International Journal of Biological and Chemical Sciences, 7, 768-779.
https://doi.org/10.4314/ijbcs.v7i2.31
[39]  Dias, H.B. and Sentelhas, P.C. (2017) Evaluation of Three Sugarcane Simulation Models and Their Ensemble for Yield Estimation in Commercially Managed Fields. Field Crops Research, 213, 174-185.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2017.07.022
[40]  Panthou, G. (2013) Analyse des extrêmes pluviométriques en Afrique de l’Ouest et de leur évolution au cours des 60 dernières années. PhD Thesis, Université de Grenoble (France), Grenoble.
[41]  Kouassi, A.M., Nassa, R.A.-K., Kouakou, K.E., Kouame, K.F. and Biemi, J. (2019) Analysis of the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydrological Standards in West Africa: The Case of the Abidjan District (South of Ivory Coast). Journal of Water Sciences, 32, 207.
https://doi.org/10.7202/1067305ar
[42]  Yapo, A.L.M., et al. (2020) Projected Changes in Extreme Precipitation Intensity and Dry Spell Length in Côte d’Ivoire under Future Climates. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 140, 871-889.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03124-4
[43]  Yapo, A.L.M., et al. (2019) Twenty-First Century Projected Changes in Extreme Temperature over Côte d’Ivoire (West Africa). International Journal of Geophysics, 2019, Article ID: 5610328.
https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/5610328
[44]  Castellanet, C. (1992) Village Irrigation: How to Manage Small Irrigation Schemes in the Sahel. FAO, Synthesis of the Work of GRET (Group of Research and Technological Exchanges).
[45]  IPPC (2011) Mitigation, Climate Change. IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation.
[46]  Gildas, L.D., Ange, H.E. and Guy, S.N. (2015) Variation climatique et production vivrière: La culture du maïs dans le système agricole péri-urbain de la commune de Parakou au Nord-Benin. Afrique Science, 15, 183-194.
[47]  Soubeyroux, J.-M., Ouzeau, G., Schneider, M., Cabanes, O. and Kounkou-Arnaud, R. (2016) Heat Waves in France: Analysis of Summer 2015 and Expected Changes in Future Climate. Meteorology, 8, 45.
[48]  Tiémoko, D.T., et al. (2020) Source-Receptor Relationships and Cluster Analysis of CO2, CH4, and CO Concentrations in West Africa: The Case of Lamto in Côte d’Ivoire. Atmosphere, 11, Article No. 903.
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11090903
[49]  Tiémoko, T.D., et al. (2021) Analysis of the Temporal Variability of CO2, CH4 and CO Concentrations at Lamto, West Africa. Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 73, Article ID: 1863707.
https://doi.org/10.1080/16000889.2020.1863707

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133