降雨诱发下的晋城地质灾害气象风险等级研究
Research on Meteorological Risk Levels of Geological Hazards Induced by Rainfall in Jincheng

本文首先根据晋城境内实际地质地形和历史灾害情况，绘制晋城辖区范围内的地质灾害潜在危险度分布图和易损度分布图，然后利用晋城气象区域站网布局，建立晋城地区有效雨量致灾概率拟合方程，最后确定预报点地质灾害气象风险度和等级。研究结果为降雨型地质灾害气象风险预报预警业务提供技术依据，对指导地方政府应急决策具有积极作用。
Based on the actual geological topography and historical disasters in Jincheng, this paper first draws the Potential Risk Degree Distribution map and Vulnerability Degree Distribution map of geological disasters within the jurisdiction of Jincheng, then uses the layout of Jincheng meteorological regional network to establish the effective probability fitting equation of rainfall disaster in Jin-cheng, and finally determines the meteorological risk degree and grade of geological disasters of the prediction point. The research results provide technical basis for the rainfall induced geological disasters and meteorological risk prediction, and have a positive role in guiding local government emergency decision-making.