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决策的躯体标记假说:证据、质疑与启示
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Abstract:
近年来,情绪对决策的影响得到了越来越多的实证证据和理论解释。在诸多理论中,躯体标记假说开创性地提出了情绪指导决策(特别是模糊决策)的观点,为决策研究提供了崭新的视角。然而随着研究的深入,以爱荷华博弈任务为首的模糊决策范式在为假说输送证据的同时,也得出了许多有悖于假说的结论。这种分歧暴露了假说自身和当前研究方法中的不足。考虑到躯体标记假说的理论价值及合理性,今后的研究应进一步细化假说内容,使其更具可操作性,并对研究范式做出改善,以增强研究结果的效度、信度以及结果解释的科学性。
In recent years, the influence of emotions on decision-making has received increasing empirical evidence and theoretical explanations. Among many theories, the somatic marker hypothesis pioneered the viewpoint that emotions guide decision-making (especially the decision-making under ambiguity), providing a new perspective for decision-making research. However, with the deepening of research, the decision-making paradigm led by the Iowa gambling task has not only provided evidence for the hypothesis, but also drawn many conclusions that contradict the hypothesis. This divergence exposes the shortcomings of the hypothesis itself and current research methods. Considering the theoretical value and rationality of the somatic marker hypothesis, future research should further refine the content of the hypothesis to make it more operational, and make improvements to the research paradigm to enhance the validity, reliability, and scientific interpretation of the research results.
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