|
|
基于抛物线OWA熵权–灰关联的配电网规划方案综合决策
|
Abstract:
为了解决配电网规划方案综合决策中由于定性指标模糊导致的决策主观性强的问题，提出了抛物线OWA熵权和灰色关联度相结合的配电网规划方案综合决策体系。该方法首先通过抛物线OWA将德尔菲法的专家重要度量值进行优化处理，可根据专家量值区分度之间大小自适应改变专家重要度大小，然后通过熵权法对整体指标赋权，按照给定的最优分辨系数 求取熵权灰色关联度，最后对其排序得到最优方案。文中给出了一套配电网规划方案指标体系，并通过实例将该方法与以往多种方法进行对比，验证了该决策方法运算简单，具备良好的主客观融合等特点，具有一定实际意义。
In order to solve the problem of strong subjectivity of decision making caused by fuzzy qualitative index in the comprehensive decision of distribution network planning scheme, a comprehensive decision system of distribution network planning scheme based on entropy weight and grey correlation optimized by parabolic OWA was presented. Firstly, the important value of Delphi proposed by experts was optimized by parabolic OWA, and the importance value can be changed adaptively according to the size of the expert score value. Secondly, the weight of the whole index was weighted by entropy weight method, and the grey correlation degree of entropy weight was obtained according to the given optimal resolution coefficient . Finally, the best scheme was selected by ranking the degree. In this paper, a set of typical index system of distribution network planning was given, and the decision-making result of this method in this paper is compared with previous works. The case study verified that this method has the characteristics of simple computation and good fusion of both subjective and objective, which can be used in practice to some extent.
| [1] | 王道静, 程双六, 王军燕. 改进型层次-熵权模型的电网施工建设评估方法[J]. 电气自动化, 2022, 44(4): 50-53+56. |
| [2] | 韩一鸣, 徐鹏飞, 宫建锋, 等. 基于用户侧需求的电网发展经营综合评价体系研究[J]. 发电技术, 2022, 43(4): 636-644. |
| [3] | Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979) Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47, 263-291.
https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185 |
| [4] | 史雷, 王莹, 魏联滨, 等. 基于风险熵的增益配电网投资风险评估模型设计[J]. 微型电脑应用, 2020, 36(12): 90-92+96. |
| [5] | Chen, L., Fu, C. and Li, X.Y. (2014) Comprehensive Deci-sion-Making of Power Grid DC De-Icing Plan Based on Equivalent Net-Ability Method. International Conference on Power System Technology, IEEE, Chengdu, 20-22 October 2014, 491-498. |
| [6] | 赖阳雨. 基于熵值法和灰色关联分析法的九江乡镇配电网建设成效分析[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 南昌: 南昌大学, 2022. https://doi.org/10.27232/d.cnki.gnchu.2022.002830 |
| [7] | Wei, G., Liu, Y. and Liu, J. (2009) Comprehensive Deci-sion-Making of Distribution Network Planning Based on Combination Evaluation Method. IEEE International Confer-ence on Sustainable Power Generation and Supply, Nanjing, 6-7 April 2009, 1-5. |
| [8] | Wei, G. and Liu, J. (2009) A DS/AHP Method for Comprehensive Decision-Making in Urban Power System Planning. China International Confer-ence on Electricity Distribution IEEE, Guangzhou, 10-13 December 2008, 1-5.
https://doi.org/10.1109/CICED.2008.5211715 |
| [9] | 秦澔澔, 冯满, 万星辰, 等. 10 kV配电网柱上断路器绝缘作业模糊层次分析法安全性分析[J]. 电气应用, 2022, 41(10): 1-7. |
| [10] | 肖峻, 王成山, 周敏. 基于区间层次分析法的城市配电网规划综合评判决策[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2004(4): 54-61. |
| [11] | 贺军, 李明, 刘莹, 王壮壮. 基于结构熵权-多层次灰色关联的配电网规划方案综合决策[J]. 电子技术应用, 2015, 41(1): 153-155+160. |
| [12] | 易于. 基于层次分析法/逼近理想解法的配电网规划方案的综合决策[J]. 电力与能源, 2014, 35(6): 707-711. |
| [13] | 韦钢, 吴伟力, 刘佳, 张鑫. 基于SE-DEA模型的配电网规划方案综合决策体系[J]. 配电网技术, 2007(24): 12-16+27. |
| [14] | 金义雄, 程浩忠, 严健勇, 张丽. 改进粒子群算法及其在输电网规划中的应用[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2005(4): 48-52+72. |
| [15] | 聂宏展, 聂耸, 乔怡, 吕盼. 基于主成分分析法的输配电网规划方案综合决策[J]. 配电网技术, 2010, 34(6): 134-138. |
| [16] | 王秀丽, 李淑慧, 陈皓勇, 王锡凡, 梅姚. 基于非支配遗传算法及协同进化算法的多目标多区域电网规划[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2006(12): 11-15. |
| [17] | Yager, R.R. (1988) On Ordered Weighted Averaging Aggregation Operators in Multi-Criteria Decision-Making. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 18, 183-190. https://doi.org/10.1109/21.87068 |
| [18] | 颜波, 石平, 丁德龙. 物联网环境下的农产品供应链风险评估与控制[J]. 管理工程学报, 2014, 28(3): 196-202+173. |
| [19] | 章俊, 胡龙伟, 孙雨, 等. 基于OWA算子与BP神经网络的绿色施工评价研究[J]. 青岛理工大学学报, 2021, 42(6): 29-34. |
| [20] | 孙庆. 两种基于圆锥曲线的OWA算子赋权方法[J]. 钦州学院学报, 2017, 32(1): 30-33. |
| [21] | 徐蔼婷. 德尔菲法的应用及其难点[J]. 中国统计, 2006(9): 57-59. |
| [22] | 钱建春, 蔡斌, 任明珠, 等. 上海10 kV配电网发展历程及现状分析[J]. 电力与能源, 2021, 42(2): 265-268. |
| [23] | 上海电力公司. 安亭-上海国际汽车城核心区中压配电网发展规划[Z]. 上海: 上海电力公司, 2002. |
| [24] | 上海电力公司. 安亭新镇一期中压配电网发展规划[Z]. 上海: 上海电力公司, 2002. |
| [25] | 吕锋. 灰色系统关联度之分辨系数的研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 1997, 17(6): 49-54. |
