天津市农业园区与农户利益联结问题研究
Research on the Interest Connection between Tianjin Agricultural Park and Farmers

基于天津市农业园区与农户利益联结的调研样本数据，采用二元logistic回归模型和序次logistic回归对影响农户增收的影响因素进行实证分析。二元逻辑回归模型表明劳动力数量、是否从事主导产业、农产品售卖方式、合约中约定质量对农户是否实现增收存在显著影响。结合序次logistic回归模型，得出经验和知识、从事主导产业、供给超市的农产品售卖方式对持续促进增收具有显著的正向影响。根据实证分析结果，进一步从要素视角剖析当前农业园区与农户的利益联结中的要素匹配问题，并提出优化路径，以发挥农业园区在持续推进乡村振兴战略促进农户增收中的重要作用。
Based on the survey sample data of the interest linkage between agricultural parks and farmers in Tianjin, the binary logistic regression model and ordinal logistic regression were used to empirically analyze the influencing factors of farmers’ income increase. The binary logistic regression model shows that the number of labor force, whether engaged in leading industries, the way of selling agricultural products, the agreed quality in the contract have a significant impact on whether farmers can increase their income. Combined with the ordinal logistic regression model, it is concluded that experience and knowledge, engaged in leading industries, agricultural products sales methods of supply supermarkets have a significant positive impact on the continuous promotion of income increase. According to the results of empirical analysis, this paper further analyzes the factor matching problem in the interest connection between agricultural parks and farmers from the perspective of factors, and puts forward the optimization path to give full play to the important role of agricultural parks in continuously promoting the rural revitalization strategy and increasing farmers’ income.