风电供热项目发展能力评价研究
Evaluation on the Wind Power Heating Project Development

我国三北地区蕴含大量的风能，但绝大部分未能被有效利用，风电供暖项目作为电能替代的形式之一，能够消除北方地区供暖期在电负荷波谷时段的风电并网障碍，提高风能消纳，促进能源清洁低碳发展，进而实现北方地区大气环境的明显改善，意义重大。本文对风电供暖项目发展潜力的影响因素进行研究，结合层次分析法和模糊综合评价方法，建立了风电供暖项目发展潜力评价指标体系与评价模型。案例分析在一个典型的风电供热项目上开展，评价结果为“良”。本文的科学价值在于所构建的评价指标体系与评价模型为分析影响风电供热项目推广潜力的因素提供了参考，对于风电供热项目的发展能力水平评价具有一定的实际意义。
As one of the forms of electrical energy substitution, wind power heating projects can eliminate the obstacles of wind power grid connection in the northern regions during the heating period in the electric load valley, improve the wind power consumption, promote the clean and low-carbon development of energy, and thus realize the obvious improvement of the atmospheric environment in the northern regions, which is of great significance. In this paper, we study the factors influencing the development potential of wind power heating projects, and establish an evaluation index system and evaluation model for the development potential of wind power heating projects by combining hierarchical analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation methods. The case study is conducted on a typical wind power heating project, and the evaluation result is “good”. The scientific value of this paper is that the evaluation index system and evaluation model provide references for analyzing the factors affecting the promotion potential of wind power heating projects, and are of practical significance for evaluating the development capacity level of wind power heating projects.