资源型地区制造业碳排放及碳减排潜力研究
Research on Carbon Emission and Emission Reduction Potential of Manufacturing Industry in Resource-Based Regions

本文以典型资源型地区——山西省为研究对象，基于IPCC法和投入产出法测算2002~2017年制造业的直接碳排放和完全碳排放，并通过构建碳减排潜力模型分析制造业分部门的碳减排潜力。研究表明，山西省金属冶炼和压延加工业、石油、炼焦和核燃料加工业的直接碳排放量和完全碳排放强度远高于其他制造业部门，直接碳排放强度均在1.27吨/万元以上。碳减排潜力方面，纺织业、纺织服装鞋帽皮革羽绒及其制品业等为弱潜力部门；石油、炼焦和核燃料加工业、化学工业、非金属矿物制品业、金属冶炼和压延加工业等为强潜力部门。根据以上研究结论，对山西省制造业各部门的碳减排提出针对性建议。
This paper takes Shanxi Province, a typical resource-based region, as the research object. Based on the IPCC method and the input-output method, the direct carbon emission and complete carbon emission of the manufacturing industry from 2002 to 2017 are calculated, and the carbon emission reduction potential of the manufacturing sector is analyzed by constructing a carbon emission reduction potential model. The study shows that the direct carbon emission and complete carbon intensity of metal smelting and rolling processing industry, petroleum, coking and nuclear fuel processing industry in Shanxi Province are much higher than those of other manufacturing sectors, and their direct carbon intensity are all above 1.27 tons per ten thousand Yuan. In terms of carbon emission reduction potential, the textile industry, textile, clothing, shoes, hats, leather, down and their products are weak potential sectors; the petroleum, coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, chemical industry, non-metallic mineral products industry, metal smelting and rolling processing industry are strong potential sectors. According to the above research conclusions, the paper puts forward specific suggestions for the carbon emission reduction of manufacturing departments in Shanxi Province.