西方未来学和马克思主义未来预测方法论差异研究
A Study on the Difference between Western Futurology and Marxist Future Prediction Methodology

自从“未来”被资本主义生产方式创造出来以后，预测未来也成为了人类长期性的事业，就当下而言，作为一个充满变局的时代，预测未来无疑是增加确定性的重要方式。作为现代理论，马克思主义和西方未来学都尝试解答时代问题，在充满变动的时代下对未来做出预测，但是其方法论有着本质的差异，对于两者差异的分析一方面是有利于正确看待西方未来学的研究成果，另外一方面也有助于完善马克思主义预测未来方法论体系。这个“变局”时代要求的不仅仅是面对“当下”，而更应该是超越“当下”，面向“未来”。
Since the “future” was created by the capitalist mode of production, predicting the future has also become a long-term cause of mankind, and as far as the present is concerned, as an era full of changes, predicting the future is undoubtedly an important way to increase certainty. As modern theories, Marxism and Western futurology both try to answer the questions of the times and predict the future in the era full of changes, but their methodologies have essential differences, and the analysis of the differences between the two is conducive to a correct view of the research results of Western futurology on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is also helpful to improve the Marxist methodological system for predicting the future. This era of “change” requires not only facing the “present”, but also going beyond the “present” and facing the “future”.