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基于灰色模型的南通市人口老龄化预测
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Abstract:
当前我国已经步入了老龄化社会，老龄化带来的社会各方面的问题也日益加重，如何解决未来的老龄化问题成为了我国当下社会关注的重点。本文将江苏省南通市的整体人口作为研究对象，以南通市统计局公布的2014~2020年老龄人口数据为基础，建立灰色系统GM(1,1)模型对未来6年的南通市老年人人口情况进行预测，为南通市的经济发展提供依据与参照。
At present, my country has entered an aging society, and the social problems brought by aging are becoming more and more serious. How to solve the problem of aging in the future has become the focus of our current society. This paper takes the overall population of Nantong City, Jiangsu Prov-ince as the research object, based on the 2014~2020 elderly population data released by the Nan-tong Municipal Bureau of Statistics, and establishes a grey system GM(1,1) model for the elderly population in Nantong City in the next six years. Predict the situation and provide a basis and ref-erence for the economic development of Nantong City.
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