基于OLS模型的我国进出口贸易影响因素探究
Research on the Influencing Factors of China’s Import and Export Trade Based on OLS Model

随着中国经济的持续发展和改革开放政策的深化，中国进出口贸易近年来呈现出波动增长态势。本文运用计量经济学知识采用OLS模型分析影响我国进出口贸易的主要因素。影响因素主要有技术进步，人民币对外价值的变动，经济发展水平，外资利用水平，通过对影响因素的回归分析及ADF检验得出与进出口贸易相关的因素，从而促进我国进出口贸易健康发展。
With the sustained development of China’s economy and the deepening of reform and opening-up policy, China’s import and export trade has shown a fluctuating growth trend in recent years. This paper uses econometric knowledge and OLS model to analyze the main factors affecting China’s im-port and export trade. The main influencing factors are technological progress, the change of RMB foreign value, the level of economic development and the level of foreign capital utilization. Through the regression analysis of influencing factors and ADF test, we can get the factors related to import and export trade, so as to promote the healthy development of China’s import and export trade.